Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Resilience 2017
Stockholm Waterfront Congress Centre, Sweden, August 20-23, 2017
Monday, 21 August - Floor 2 - 08:50 - 19:00
Patterns of the biosphere
Art session
”The biosphere is the thin outer layer of this planet in which life exists. We humans are part of
the biosphere and completely dependent on the air, the oceans, the forests and all other ecological
systems in order to survive and thrive.” This is the overarching message for this exhibition where
contemporary Swedish artists have interpreted key concepts and insights from the
transdisciplinary research of the Beijer Institute of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
Created together with Swedish interior design company Svenskt Tenn, whose profit goes to
supporting research, the exhibition consists of four illustrations and the centrepiece is the
transformation Josef Frank’s classic cabinet into a sculpture interpreting the adaptive cycle
model.
By Eric Ericson, Jesper Waldersten, Liselotte Watkins, Stina Wirsén and Guringo design studio.
With Svenskt Tenn and the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics.
Monday, 21 August - Floor 2 - 08:50 - 19:00
In between Som’ Town
Art session
Rising tensions around migration globally is placing increasing stress on refugees and other
migrants living abroad, as well as the communities they support through remittance. Yet in
between the mid-day shadow of high-rise apartment buildings and the flickering glow of worn
out florescent strip-lights, Somali Town has become a rallying point. An informal sanctuary of
the African diaspora, gathered on the southern tip of a continent. An unexpected home to those
fleeing xenophobia, resource wars, failed states and collapsing ecosystems. Those beginning to
re-establish a new-normal. The mixed media collection of photography and film explores Som’
Town, using food as an entry point for an exploration into memory, migration and resilience.
By Luke Metelerkamp, Steve McDonald and Jules Mecer
Monday, 21 August - Floor 2 - 08:50 - 19:00
Picturing Resilience in Foodways: Northern Ethiopia
Art session
Ethiopia is associated with devastating famine and food insecurity, and at the same time, its
traditional food-ways (the way people grow, process, sell and eat food) are complex connected
knowledge environments. Markets are the central nodes of these food-ways. They reinforce
social connectivity, link rural and urban networks and in this way foster aspects of social
resilience. Markets also distribute seasonal food and provide culturally relevant food for religious
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
occasions, strengthening cultural practices. As Ethiopia rapidly modernizes, and supermarkets
link to global food chains, the ways of being embodied in these ‘vernacular’ food-ways are being
reconfigured.
By Gwendolyn Meyer
Monday, 21 August - M1, Floor 4 - 08:50 - 19:00
Radical Ocean Futures
Art session
Sometimes science fiction can attract attention where scientific papers fall short. Stockholm
Resilience Centre staff member Andrew Merrie commissioned conceptual artist Simon
Stålenhag to bring a set of scenarios about the future oceans to life. Stålenhag came up with four
eerie and thought-provoking images. Two of the scenarios represent more utopian visions of the
future, the other two are more dystopian. They are written as speculative fiction in different,
engaging narrative styles: a travel magazine article, an obituary, the transcript of a “TED”-like
talk, and a series of recovered journal entries. K. La Luna is the talented musical alter ego of Dr.
Kaitlyn Rathwell, herself a sustainability scientist. K. La Luna created original musical
interpretations for each of the stories about our future oceans. The collaboration with Stålenhag
is part of an ongoing science-communications project called ‘Radical Ocean Futures.’ The
project was financed through a science communications grant from The Swedish Research
Council Formas and has received extensive attention in various media.
By Andrew Merrie, Simon Stålenhag and K. La Luna
Monday, 21 August - M1, Floor 4 - 08:50 - 19:00
Nature / Society / Economy
Art session
This biosphere sculpture installation was inspired by a workshop at the SARAS Institute in
Uruguay. In a group discussing icons in art and science, Stockholm Resilience Centre’s scientific
director Carl Folke drew a diagram on a board depicting how nature can survive even if the
economy and our societies collapse. But if our ecosystems, biodiversity and the climate as we
know it collapses, then everything falls apart. The social and economic systems we have built
cannot exist independently from the environment. Therefore, in a conflict between these three,
nature must always come first.
By Tone Bjordam
Monday, 21 August - Floor 5 - 08:50 - 19:00
Reflections – on people and the biosphere
Art session
Swedish Art Director Lars Hall has taken photos from the very same spot on the island Grillskäret
in the Baltic Sea over a period of 30 years. Three decades of persistence is documented here
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through the pictures, reflecting diverse impressions and a changing environment. The exhibition
presents a selection of these images together with texts by Stockholm Resilience Centre’s
scientific director Carl Folke. Art photography, science and music quotes reinforce each other
and reflect resilience – the capacity to live, persist and develop with changing conditions in a
globally intertwined world of humans, societies and nature. This exhibition offers a truly
reflective and beautiful way to re-connect to the biosphere and engage with the science of
resilience. Carl Folke will give a guided tour of the exhibition Tuesday and Wednesday at 13.00
during the conference.
By Lars Hall and Carl Folke
Monday, 21 August - - 08:50 - 19:00
Studios
Pop-up event
These studios will provide you with a chance to move and step out of the conference mode,
especially that of sitting. Take a few minutes to be good to yourself – it is worth it!
Monday, 21 August - Floor 3, LANDING - 08:50 - 19:00
Craft corner
Pop-up event
The craft corner will provide a comfortable space where you can sit down and take a break from
the sessions, engage in some handicraft, and have informal talks with peers. Material and
instructions for crocheting “granny squares” will be provided for those keen to use their hands.
At the end of the conference Katja and Marika will collect the squares in the aim of creating a
quilt – a physical reminder of those moments and the conference.
With Katja Malmborg & Marika Haeggman
Monday, 21 August - A1 (1350) - 09:00 - 10:00
Opening Plenary: Resilience 2017 - Exploring the Frontiers
Chair/s:
This plenary is the official opening of the Resilience 2017 conference. The plenary speakers will
reflect on the rapid progress and diffusion of resilience thinking, and emerging frontiers and
challenges. Speakers include two of the world's leading scholars in the field of resilience science.
Presenter 1: Carl Folke, Professor and Science Director, Stockholm Resilience Centre; Director
of the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
Presenter 2: Katrina Brown, Professor of Social Science at the University of Exeter, UK
Discussant: Victor Galaz, Ass. Professor, Deputy Science Director, Stockholm Resilience Centre
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Monday, 21 August - C3 (180) - 10:15 - 11:00
Stewardship theme plenary I: Biosphere stewardship across scales and
knowledge systems
Chair/s: Maria Tengö, Stockholm Resilience Centre
Speakers:
Rosemary (Ro) Hill, Principal Research Scientist CSIRO and Adjunct Associate Professor,
James Cook University, Australia – The role of communities and indigenous knowledge for
stewardship across scales
Terry Chapin, Professor Emeritus of Ecology, University of Alaska Fairbanks – The role of
science in stewardship across scales
Monday, 21 August - A1 (1350) - 10:15 - 11:00
Transformations theme plenary I: Learning from the history of largescale social innovations and transformations
Chair/s: Per Olsson, Stockholm Resilience Centre
Speaker:
Frances Westley, JW McConnell Chair in Social Innovation at the University of Waterloo,
Canada – The Evolution of Social Innovation
Monday, 21 August - C1/C2 (250) - 10:15 - 11:00
Approaches theme plenary I: Frontiers of Social-Ecological-Systems
research - Theories and Methods
Chair/s: Marty Anderies, Professor, Arizona State University
Speakers:
Simon Levin, James S. McDonnell Distinguished University Professor in Ecology and
Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University - Challenges in managing social-environmental
systems
Marten Scheffer, Professor at the Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen
University, Netherlands - What are the key questions and how can we address them?
Claudia Pahl-Wostl, Professor, Institute for Environmental Systems Research at the University
of Osnabrück, Germany - The many facets of human-environmental interactions
Monday, 21 August - C4 (125) - 10:15 - 11:00
Connectivity Theme plenary I: Cross scale dynamics and resilience
Chair/s: Garry Peterson, Professor, Stockholm Resilience Centre
Speakers:
Lance Gunderson, Professor and Chair of Environmental Sciences, Emory University
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Elena Bennett, Associate Professor, McGill School of Environment & Department of Natural
Resources, Canada
Monday, 21 August - M1, Floor 4 - 11:00 - 11:30
Forró
Pop-up event
Forró is a Brazilian music and dance style. It originates from the rural communities living in the
Sertão – the dry hinterlands of Northeastern Brazil. Traditional forró songs tell stories about rural
life with all its hardships such as droughts, out-migration and longing for home, as well as joys
such as love and folk festivals. Nowadays, forró is popular throughout Brazil and Europe, and
the dance has taken influences from other couple dances. However, the cultural heritage of the
Sertão is still alive in modern forró.
By Vivika Mäkelä and Luiz Fernando Caldeira
Monday, 21 August - C1/C2 (250) - 11:30 - 13:00
Nurturing resilience through adaptive co-management – what have we
learned? Key insights and emerging questions
Contributed session - Multi-level governance and biosphere stewardship
Chair/s: Lisen Schultz
Adaptive co-management (ACM) represents an approach to biosphere stewardship emerging out
of the social-ecological resilience literature. ACM has received considerable attention, but
systematic multi-case comparisons of ACM are largely lacking. In this session we will present a
series of robust and empirically grounded comparisons between four ACM initiatives that enable
a quantitative assessment of the contribution of learning and collaboration to perceived socialecological outcomes. We will further demonstrate our diagnostic framework, and how we used
it to provide conceptual consistency thus enabling cross-case comparisons. The session thus
presents a series of different but coherent studies advancing our understanding of ACM.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Coordination and cooperation in collaborative environmental governance
Örjan Bodin 1, Julia Baird 2, Lisen Schultz 1, Ryan Plummer 1, 2, Derek Armitage 3
1
Stockholm Resilience Centre at Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Brock University, St. Catharines, Canada
3
University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada
2
Different collaborative approaches are commonly suggested as the best available mean to
accomplish sustainable environmental governance. But collaborative challenges are plentiful.
Here, we will focus on two broad classes of collective action problems, coordination and
cooperation. Coordination mainly involve finding effective ways for actors to accomplish a
commonly agreed upon objective through, for example, efficient resource allocation,
synchronization of different activities, and a suitable division of labor for common tasks.
Cooperation, as we use the term here, however typically also involve actors and coalitions of
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
actors with conflicting interests to seek and find commonly agreed upon ways to solve collective
problems. Further, coordination and cooperation is often associated with low- versus high risk,
respectively. It has also been proposed that the higher risk, the more bonding structures in the
collaborative social network. In this work, we challenge this notion and instead propose that as
actors over time get to know each other, they will be able to address high-risk cooperative
collective action problems without relying on bonding network structures that often are very
time-consuming to develop and maintain. But this ability is contingent upon three criteria: (i)
one or a few actors will take on the role as centrally positioned facilitators, or (ii) specific types
of actors emerge as risk mediators, and (iii) that the social-ecological context is fairly stable
over time. This proposition is empirically evaluated using four biosphere areas (UNESCOs Man
and the Biosphere areas, MAB), two in Sweden and two in Canada as case studies. Our results
lend support to our proposition, although more data is definitely needed to confirm this. Further,
our results also suggest that the stability of social-ecological context plays a significant role in
explaining why actors engage in bonding versus bridging structures.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Developing and using a diagnostic approach to understand adaptive comanagement: Reflections and frontiers
Ryan Plummer 1, 2, Derek Armitage 3, Julia Baird 1, Örjan Bodin 2, Lisen Schultz 2, Angela
Dzyundzyak 1
1
Environmental Sustainability Research Centre, Brock University, St. Catharines, Canada
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm,, Sweden
3
School of Environment, Resources and Sustainability, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada
2
The success of initiatives in accomplishing better biosphere stewardship relies on the ability to
engage participants in activities and processes that lead to positive social and ecological
outcomes. Adaptive co-management (ACM) is argued to nurture resilience in this regard, and
yet moving forward in understanding the concept and application requires systematic and
coordinated research efforts. In the biosACM research project we developed and made
operational a diagnostic framework to study Biosphere Reserves in Canada and Sweden over a
four-year time period. We reflect here on the salient conclusions from the project: a coherent
framework that emphasizes conceptual and terminological specificity for comparative
assessment; robust measures of key variables for greater internal validity; effective employment
of mixed methods and analytical techniques; a more nuanced understanding of processes and
outcomes; and, an approach that recognizes complexity and spatio-temporal feedback while
also framing policy relevant insights. Based on these conclusions knowledge of biosphere
stewardship may be advanced from uptake and utilization of the diagnostic framework.
Increasing the number of cases and the variety of contexts is imperative to generate transferable
insights across the gamut of stewardship initiatives. Additional opportunities for important
contributions at the frontier of future research involve disentangling the contested matter of
stakeholders’ perceptions, including direct measures of social and ecological outcomes, and
amassing a database large enough to analyze feedbacks from outcomes to subsequent
participation and processes.
Contributed session oral presentation:
An empirical assessment of learning conditions, effects and outcomes in
environmental governance settings
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Derek Armitage 1, Angela Dzyundzyak 2, Julia Baird 2, Orjan Bodin 3, Ryan Plummer 2, 3, Lisen
Schultz 3
1
University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada
Brock University, St. Catharines, Canada
3
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
2
Disentangling the factors that foster learning with the outcomes of learning, and the subsequent
implications for sustainability, is challenging to do empirically. Our aim here is to outline a
novel model and analytical process to quantitatively assess relationships among the conditions
that enable learning (e.g., activities and collaboration), the effects on learning (e.g., changes in
understanding about sustainability issues), and substantive and process-related sustainability
outcomes. We draw on insights from research in four biosphere reserves in Canada and Sweden.
Key findings highlight the effectiveness of different measures of learning, how to empirically
differentiate the factors that foster learning with the outcomes of learning, and the opportunity
to better inform the design of learning activities and processes through the annual work planning
exercises in organizations committed to sustainability. The model and suite of metrics applied
in this study is a useful reference point for future empirical studies of learning in different
sustainability settings.
Contributed session oral presentation:
From conflict to coalition: stakeholder participation in the Biosphere Reserve
nomination process
Julia Baird 1, Lisen Schultz 2, Derek Armitage 3, Örjan Bodin 2, Ryan Plummer 1, 2
1
Environmental Sustainability Research Centre, Brock University, St. Catharines, Canada
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
3
School of Environment, Resources and Sustainability, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada
2
Collaborative approaches to environmental governance are argued to be effective in situations
of system complexity, change and uncertainty. However, creating collaborative approaches in
circumstances where diverse stakeholders bring multiple, sometimes opposing values and
perspectives often create conflict, and engaging in collaboration in these circumstances can be
difficult. There is dearth of research related to how stakeholders move beyond conflict to form
coalitions to collaboratively govern the environment, particularly in situations of selforganization. In this case study of a Biosphere Reserve in Ontario, Canada the causal
mechanisms by which stakeholders self-organize and build a coalition for the purposes of
securing a Biosphere Reserve designation over a period of several years is probed. Causal
mechanisms are drawn from the scholarship on collective action, policy change and social
innovation. A process tracing method reveals that four causal mechanisms are important in the
process: the perceived severity of the problem, emulation, entrepreneurship and fear of
marginalization. While the first three mechanisms are relatively well-known, the fear of
marginalization is a causal mechanism not discussed in depth in the collective action literature.
While not a positive reason for participating in a coalition, the fear of marginalization plays an
important role in the case and may be an important mechanism to consider and acknowledge in
situations of conflict. This study adds a focus on a new, potential causal mechanism operating
for self-organization as a precursor to collective action in environmental governance that is
important for the literature and for practitioners. Further research to understand the prevalence
of this mechanism and its implications for collective action over time is needed.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
A comparative study of adaptive co-management and social-ecological resilience
in four Biosphere Reserves
Lisen Schultz 1, Ryan Plummer 2, Julia Baird 2, Örjan Bodin 1, Derek Armitage 3
1
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm university, Stockholm, Sweden
Environmental Sustainability Research Centre, Brock University, St. Catharines, ON, Canada
3
School of Environment, Resources and Sustainability, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada
2
Adaptive co-management (ACM) is an approach that brings together the learning aspect of
adaptive management and the collaborative aspect of co-management, in order to foster the
capacity to adapt and transform in face of social-ecological change (i.e. social-ecological
resilience). In the academic literature, the concept has been applied to describe a range of
initiatives, in forestry, fisheries, water governance, and even climate change adaptation. Natural
resource management policies and initiatives have also embraced the concept, often in response
to failures of more conventional approaches. In biosphere reserves (BRs), the concept has
generally not been used by people involved, but given that BRs a) aim to reconcile conservation
and development (i.e. take a social-ecological approach), b) are promoted as learning sites in
this regard, and c) are managed in collaboration between a variety of stakeholders, both state
and non-state, we consider them as natural experiments with ACM. In this study, we followed
two Canadian BRs and two Swedish BRs, making structured comparisons between processes
and outcomes across the four contexts. We aimed to gather comparable data across the BRs by
adopting a shared diagnostic framework, clear definitions of variables, and systematic
investigation (shared instruments for interviews, surveys, and resilience assessment workshops
as well as common analysis techniques). This has allowed us to improve understanding of
several important aspects of ACM. These include how network structures change with the
collaborative challenge at hand; the way various conditions for learning affect what kinds of
learning actually emerge and how various kinds of learning in turn affect outcomes; how
diversity of stakeholders and institutions affect flexibility, novelty and efficiency of
governance; and finally, what causes actors to move from conflict to coalition. In this session,
we present our key findings, and then engage session participants to refine these for a synthesis
paper on ACM.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Mapping biodiversity, setting measurable goals and involve stakeholders - tools
for acting in a biosphere reserve landscape
Claes Hellsten, Magnus Apelqvist
East Vättern Scarp Landscape Biosphere Reserve, Jönköping, Sweden
One of biosphere reserves most important functions is to act by involving stakeholders to create
model areas for sustainable development – man and nature in harmony. This includes linking
conservation efforts with socioeconomic perspectives. It also means being an arena for
innovation and use of new tools for landscape management . The project Living Ecosystem In
the Future (LEIF) , initiated by the biosphere reserve, is a unique tool for prioritization of
conservation work. It represents an ecological landscape deficiency and functionality analysis
(including tipping points for 202 species representing six of the region's most important
ecosystems). The implementation in projects support both the long-term goals of ecological
sustainability in the Biosphere program and serve as an example of cooperation with a number
of stakeholders (County administration board, board of forestry, land owners, WWF and
residents). In the Biosphere (East Vätterna Scarp Landscape) this tool has been tightly coupled
to two practical projects: "Lövsuccé" (production of deciduous trees and replacing spruce
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
plantations) and "Lona-Odeshog" (restoration of semi-natural grasslands and forest pastures).
The maps produced in LEIF has shown to be a very good pedagogical tool to show the
connection between landscape values and different stands and to inspire landowners to be
proactive. Both projects includes social, economic and ecological dimensions as they promote
ecological values, farmer's economy, tourism and residents well-being. The results in the
primary report and from implementation in the projects has validity well beyond the border of
the biosphere reserve and spin-off projects are planned in the surrounding area. The connection
between research and practical results in the landscape displays the unique role of the biosphere
reserve as a platform and a bridge that initiates actions and catalytic processes involving
stakeholders with diverse interests a synergistic effect in line with the goals of the biosphere
reserve.
Monday, 21 August - Room 35/36 (72) - 11:30 - 13:00
Exploring biosphere stewardship as care, knowledge, agency
Contributed session - Social-ecological transformations for sustainability
Chair/s: Maria Tengö
In an age of increasing human pressure on the planet’s ecosystems, biosphere stewardship is
emerging as a guiding concept for moving towards trajectories of sustainable development. We
propose a framework of biosphere stewardship as a function of three aspects: care, knowledge,
and agency. We argue that all three are required but view care as an underexplored aspect and a
distinguishing feature that sets stewardship aside from concepts such as adaptive co-management
and adaptive governance. The aim of the session is to test and further develop the framework,
with particular focus on the aspect of care, in conversation with invited speakers and attending
participants.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Biosphere stewardship as care, knowledge, agency – introducing a framework
Johan Enqvist
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
The Anthropocene poses pressing challenges for human relations to the environment, including
how we understand, act in and care for the world around us. The concept of stewardship is
increasingly used in sustainability research to describe responses these challenges. There are
many different interpretations and uses of stewardship – including ecosystem, earth and
biosphere stewardship – informed by different (inter-)disciplinary assumptions and expertise,
as well as the long history of the concept in academic and lay contexts. Stewardship thus
represents a potentially useful boundary object for contemporary sustainability research,
enabling collaboration and dialogue between different parties while acknowledging that
approaches may vary. To enhance the utility of stewardship as a boundary object, it is necessary
to clarify different interpretations, highlight connections and identify tensions in how
stewardship is used. In this paper, we establish some waypoints to help researchers and
practitioners navigate the challenges and opportunities that come with using the concept. We
do this by (a) providing the first systematic literature review of stewardship, and (b) articulating
a novel framework for thinking through and relating different uses of stewardship based on
three ‘attractors’ in the literature – care, knowledge and agency. We use the framework as a
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
platform to identify further avenues for stewardship research in relation to the sustainability
challenges of the Anthropocene.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Framing Biosphere Stewardship: An Ecological Solidarity Perspective
Raphaël Mathevet 1, François Bousquet 2, Christopher M. Raymond 3
1
CNRS UMR 5175 CEFE, Montpellier, France
CIRAD GREEN, Montpellier, France
3
Department of Landscape Architecture, Planning and Management, Swedish University of
Agricultural Sciences, Alnarp, Sweden
2
The concept of Ecological Solidarity is a key feature of the laws reforming National Park policy
(2006) and biodiversity conservation policy in France (2016). The objectives of this
presentation are (i) to show how ecological solidarity could be the core concept of a new socialecological stewardship; (ii) to present a typology of the environmental stewardship approaches
and to help positioning this social-ecological stewardship in an already rich conceptual
landscape. First, we highlight how ecological solidarity provides a focus on the
interdependencies among humans and non-human components of the SES. In doing so we
identify ecological solidarity within a framework that distinguishes ecological, socialecological and social-political interdependencies. In making such interdependencies apparent
to humans who are not aware of their existence, the concept of ecological solidarity promotes
collective action and reinforces the adaptive capacity of the SES and builds or makes stronger
its resilience to changes. By focusing on the awareness, knowledge and acknowledgement of
interdependencies between actors and between humans and non-humans, we present and
discuss how an extension of a care approach from humans to non-humans and their interactions
may lead the way for a grounded stewardship approach. In a second part we focus on the
development and meaning of the stewardship concept in the current environmental science,
ecology and biodiversity conservation literature. We present an adaptation of a political science
framework and the 4 main types of stewardship we identified: reformist, adaptive, sustainability
and transformative stewardship. The key distinctions between stewardship types are (i) the role
of science, (ii) the exploration and integration of the plurality of values, and (iii) the capacity to
modify values, rules and decision-making system. We then discuss on the consequences of these
results, the place of social-ecological stewardship and present future directions for both research
and integrated conservation and development policy.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Biosphere stewardship - reflections from indigenous governance systems and
ethics of care and reciprocity
Rosemary (Ro) Hill
CSIRO, ATHERTON, Australia
Ro Hill is a human geographer dedicated to collaborative environmental governance,
indigenous peoples and social-ecological sustainability. She will contribute to the session
reflecting on stewardship as care-knowledge-agency based on her experiences and perspectives
from cross-cultural research with indigenous peoples and in collaborative knowledge platforms
in Australia and elsewhere, including engagement with IPBES and the Task Force on
Indigenous and Local Knowledge. In particular she will elaborate on indigenous worldviews
and governance systems and ethics of care and reciprocity in relation to stewardship.
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Changing linkages of care to action at local to global scales
Terry Chapin
University of Alaska, Fairbanks, United States
Evolution has endowed the human species with two primal instincts: One is to scramble to
acquire and hoard the resources needed to survive and reproduce. The second is to care for
others, so they may survive, reproduce, and thrive over the longer term. This second instinct is
strongest for family, but extends to our community and the local environment on which we
depend. One of the greatest challenges of the Anthropocene is to extend the application of care
to larger scales. It is the scaling of care that has fostered those features of civilizations, cultures,
and religions that we most value. At the local scale, the selfish motivations for stewardship are
clear—protect my home, my lake, my community. A logical local stewardship strategy is to
convey the ethical and instrumental benefits of stewardship, with an emphasis on locally
relevant ecosystem and social services. At the global scale, instrumental benefits are distant and
diffuse, so the most compelling arguments are ethical—protecting vulnerable people and places
and options (resilience) for future generations. The global challenges are to bridge across issues,
silos and scales and to communicate the opportunities to foster care as a foundation for shaping
a more sustainable planet.
Monday, 21 August - Room 31 (26) - 11:30 - 13:00
Resettlement as transformation
Contributed session - Social-ecological transformations for sustainability
Chair/s: Helen Adams
Involuntary resettlements are deliberate actions, often decided upon by a few external actors,
implemented for positive objectives but with unpredictable outcomes. Thus, they represent a
microcosm to understand trade-offs and uncertainties in transformation. Disaster and
development related resettlement are common, yet mechanisms to use resettlement for positive
change remain opaque, in a world where climate change will increasingly render places
uninhabitable. A resilience framework represents an opportunity to fully explore the dynamics
of such change – in structure and function at multiple scales, and the impact of such change on
all groups affected, whether directing the transformation or not.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Challenges of 'deliberate transformation': Lessons from post-tsunami
resettlement in the Andaman Islands, South India
Sophie Blackburn
King's College London, London, United Kingdom
There is a burgeoning literature within disasters and climate scholarship on the relationship
between environmental risk and social transformation. Disasters scholars have documented the
role of extreme events as ‘tipping points’ for deep changes in social-political systems (Pelling
and Dill 2010), whilst climate literature has increasingly called for incremental or ‘deliberate’
transformations as a proactive adaptive mechanism (O’Brien 2012). Often embedded in this
literature are normative visions of interrupting the inequitable value systems, norms and power
relations which produce vulnerability and poverty, in ways that enable more equitable and
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
resilient development trajectories to emerge. Alongside resilience, non-governmental
organisations are now increasingly using the language of transformation in DRR and
humanitarian programming – however, to date evidence of what ‘good’ or ‘proper’
transformation looks like remains thin, presenting a barrier to the development of such
interventions. This paper addresses this knowledge gap, identifying potentially transformational
outcomes of post-disaster resettlement in the Andaman Islands (South India). These include the
catalytic role of resettlement processes in stimulating local political engagement, activism and
representation. However, the evidence also suggests these changes were spontaneous, highly
context-specific, and accompanied by the parallel disempowerment and marginalisation of
certain groups. This demonstrates the unevenness and selectivity of resettlement outcomes, and
suggests it will be very difficult to design pre- or post-disaster interventions that can predictably
achieve deliberate transformation at scale. Particularly given political resistance to overtly
interventionist programming, this paper asks whether it is realistic, practical or even desirable
to try and ‘do’ deliberate transformation.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Resettlement as refugia under extreme environmental change scenarios
Christopher Lyon
University of Dundee, Dundee, United Kingdom
Environmental change induced resettlement read through a social-ecological lens is a
transformation, but not uniform in appearance at differing scales and timeframes, with
implications for people and subjective understandings of positive change. At short time scales,
resettlement is a local event affecting community or small group scales, such as relocating a
village due to rising sea levels, and may be contained within states and regions. However, this
resettlement regime only remains valid within specific critical planetary boundaries such as
biodiversity loss thresholds and climate stability. Once these boundaries are passed at planetary
scales where more severe the impacts of climate change or biodiversity loss render larger
geographical areas uninhabitable, resettlement may mean the relocation populations at much
larger scales and distances from place of origin, and may take intergenerational characteristics.
Historical examples of such relocations exist as the human refugia under past climate regimes
(e.g. glaciation). Reference to human refugia remain absent from current and future-oriented
discourses on human resettlement in response to climate change. However, current futureoriented ecological literature describe refugia for nonhuman organisms and may serve as a
rough guide for human resettlement locations under severe environmental change scenarios.
Such extreme considerations necessarily challenge contemporary notions of place rooted social
organisation and politics, raising the difficult question of both winners and losers, but also what
social, cultural, and political discourses and practices constitute resilience in the face of such
radical geographical dislocation.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Risks of involuntary resettlement initiatives in Bangladesh
Anwara Begum 1, Ricardo Safra de Campos 2
1
2
Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies, Dhaka, Bangladesh
University of Exeter, exeter, United Kingdom
Resettlement of individuals and communities can occur within a spectrum that includes on one
end voluntary initiatives, and on the other involuntary or planned responses. The literature
argues that voluntary resettlement initiatives tend to result in more favourable outcomes because
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
there is scope for preventive responses, especially those that aim to reduce people’s motivation
to migrate, by ensuring an acceptable livelihood in their established homelands. On the other
hand, empirical evidence suggests that involuntary resettlement through planned action by
government agencies, for the purposes of economic development or to avoid hazards, can have
significant social consequences on different socioeconomic groups, particularly vulnerable
communities that have historically resisted being evicted from their homeland, and that now are
faced with limited choices due to projected impacts of Climate Change. This paper explores
challenges and issues associated with resettlement initiatives in Bangladesh, particularly
focusing on livelihood transitions, infrastructure development and social services that are
needed in order to increase vulnerable migrants’ chances of a positive change in new resettled
areas. In-depth qualitative interviews (n=6) conducted in resettled communities were
thematically coded to investigate the issues impacting on the multiple interactions between
resettlement and resilience. Findings suggest that more efficient communication and
coordination between the government and affected communities should sought. In addition,
other forms of planned intervention, such as the “cluster village” model should be explored for
potential application to future climate displaced individuals.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Integrating place attachment and resilience for positive resettlement outcomes
Helen Adams
King's College London, London, United Kingdom
Climate change will increasingly render places in which people live uninhabitable. While our
understanding of the differentiated outcomes of population movements under environmental
change has increased, less attention has been paid to the processes of resettling entire
communities when places become uninhabitable. This is despite resettlement consistently
undermining resilience of the affected populations. Resettlement represents a rupture of bonds
to place, and thus place attachment can offer some insights as to why this is the case. However,
the relationship is complex. Here, four potential interactions between place and resilience in
resettlement are discussed from the perspective of place attachment: 1) Teleconnectivity and
mobility of place attachment: Emotional bonds to places left behind can both increase and
undermine resilience in new circumstances; 2) Temporal considerations in breaking and
creating place attachment: Benefits and disadvantages of anticipatory versus post-hoc
resettlement and questions on the appropriate timescale for measuring resilience after
resettlement; 3) Scale of influence: External support from systems operating at higher scales is
required for resettlement, with implications for agency and rights of those resettling; 4) A
panarchy framing can be mapped onto the stages of resettlement. Resettlement has significant
negative psychological and material impacts that can span generations. But is there also the
latent capacity for desirable transformative change within resettlement? This paper discusses
some of the interactions between place attachment and resilience during resettlement in order
to inform discussions on resettlement for positive and intentional transformations under climate
change.
Monday, 21 August - Room 24/25 (70) - 11:30 - 13:00
Just green? How do we make green infrastructure become a tool for cross
dimensional urban sustainability?
Contributed session - Social-ecological transformations for sustainability
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Chair/s: Dagmar Haase
In this session, we will discuss the need to critically engage with nature based solutions and their
role in supporting urban sustainability and resilience. Nature in cities is not fully employed to
better the lives and the health of urban dwellers and, vice versa, nor is societies’ capacity to
protect urban ecosystems and species. Furthermore, cities are characterized by increasing sociospatial differences, with some residents benefiting more from urban nature than others, as well
as increasing diversity regarding perceptions of and demands on urban nature. What needs to be
added to the nature base of the solutions to remedy these and other problems?
Contributed session oral presentation:
Innovating continuity - a biocultural perspective on cities
Erik Andersson 1, Stephan Barthel 1, 2
1
2
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Faculty of Sustainable Development, University of Gävle,, Gävle, Sweden
History matters, and can be an active and dynamic component in the present. A closer look at
cities from the perspective of biocultural dimensions and complexity offer common and
potentially fertile ground for different knowledge traditions and sectors to meet. To help this
process gain momentum we present social-ecological memory as way to address, diagnose and
engage with urban green space performance and resilience. Rapidly changing cities pose a threat
and a challenge to the continuity that has helped to support biodiversity and ecological functions
by upholding similar or only slowly changing adaptive cycles over time. Continuity is
perpetuated through memory carriers, slowly changing variables and features that retain or
make available information on how different situations have been dealt with before. Ecological
memory carriers comprise memory banks, spatial connections and mobile link species. These
can be supported by social memory carriers, represented by collectively created social and
cultural features like habits, oral tradition,rules-in-use and artefacts, as well as media and
external sources. Loss or lack of memory can be diagnoses by the absence or disconnect
between memory carriers, as will be illustrated by several typical situations. Drawing on a set
of example situations, we present an outline for a look-up table approach that connects
ecological memory carriers to the social memory carriers that support them and use these
connections to set diagnoses and indicate potential remedies. The inclusion of memory carriers
in planning and management considerations may facilitate preservation of feedbacks and
disturbance regimes as well as specie sand habitats, and the cultural values and meanings that
go with them. The diversity of memory carriers and the complex relations between them make
for an argument to case for the need to combine methods and perspectives from the different
sciences as well as the humanities, and the examples demonstrate that this is not merely of
academic interest.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Trade-offs between ecological and social sustainability
Annegret Haase
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany
Sustainability claims to be a comprehensive concept; at its heart, there are three dimensions:
ecological, economic and social sustainability are forming its three main pillars. Inherently, we
believe that real sustainability can be only reached when all three pillars go hand in hand or
nicely fit with each other. In sustainability research, there is not so much focus on the trade-offs
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
between the pillars. But these trade-offs exist, and it is more than ever necessary to address
them. In my talk, I will focus on trade-offs between ecological and social sustainability. All too
often, we assume that ecological sustainability automatically serves for social equity and
inclusiveness as well. But, when looking closer at this relationship, it becomes obvious that
ecological sustainability is not inherently socially just; sometimes, projects aiming at greening
or the protection of resources such as thermal insulation even lead to social problems,
segregation or increase the vulnerability of the poor. My talk will also have a focus on urban
areas. Cities are those places where the majority of humanity lives and where most of the
planetary resources are being needed and exploited. At the same time, cities are places
characterized by high levels of segregation and social inequalities. Hitherto ecological and
climate adaptation projects did not stop or even change the trends towards increasing social
polarization. Set against this background, I will try to disentangle some critical relations
between ecological and social sustainability in cities, will ask whether and, if yes, how we can
reach “green” and “just” cities and what are conditions/frameworks to be changed/challenged
for that.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Relationship between structure of urban land and surface temperature: inner
class and neighborhood effects
Peleg Kremer 1, Neele Larondelle 2, 3
1
Department of Geography and the Environment, Villanova University, Villanova, United States
Humboldt Universität zu Berlin | Landscape Ecology Lab, Berlin, Germany
3
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | Climate Impacts & Vulnerabilities - Research
Domain II, Potsdam, Germany
2
The structure of urban landscapes (STURLA) classification was developed as a simple and
reproducible approach to urban structure classification that captures common heterogeneous
structures in urban landscapes by deriving composite classes of built and natural features based
on compositions of adjacent structural elements that emerge in the urban landscape, using a
cellular grid to define units of analysis (Hamstead et al., 2016). STRULA approach is proposed
as useful for studying the relationship between urban structure and function and prior studies
investigated the relationship between STRULA classes and surface temperature in NYC and
Berlin (Hamstead et al., 2016, Larondelle et al., 2014). In this study, we continue to develop the
STRULA classification by examining the drivers of the relationship between urban structure
and surface temperature. In particular, we are interested in understanding the relationship
between different building types and surface temperature. We use newly available data in Berlin
to capture the influence of inner class composition and neighborhood effects on surface
temperature within one composite class that encompasses 35% of the land in Berlingrass\shrubs, tree, lowrise, midrise, road and bare soil. This analysis allows us to further
establish the merit of the STRULA approach and evaluate its underpinning urban structure
components. A linear model in constructed describing the influence of individual land cover
components within the composite class and in the neighborhood of the class on surface
temperature.
Contributed session oral presentation:
The perspective of urban telecouplings for greening strategies
Dagmar Haase
HU Berlin and UFZ Leipzig, Berlin, Leipzig, Germany
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
The key target of the short provocative paper is to identify and to discuss the perspective of
urban telecouplings for/of greening strategies, in particular patterns, processes and actors at both
ends of such a coupling. The paper will present some conceptual considerations as well as real
world cases and argue why a better understanding of urban telecouplings helps to shed light on
unsolved problems and questions of urban greenspace access and availability inequalities. For
more information about the overall aim of the session, please, refer to the session abstract.
Contributed session oral presentation:
The nature conservation perspective
Sara Borgström
Royal Institute of Technology KTH, Stockholm, Sweden
Long before concepts like biodiversity, ecosystems and ecosystem services were coined, we
started to establish protected areas to safeguard appreciated values provided by nature – with a
special attention to certain species or landscapes. This institution which was a response to the
industralisation and more recently it has been applied to safeguard biodiversity and recreational
values in urbanizing landscapes, which are often located in biodiversity rich areas. Hence, still
with a strong focus on certain species and landscape features. Unfortunately, this legacy and
present implementation of the protected areas build on an either or thinking - a belief that it is
possible to separate and protect nature from human activities. This discourse and practices are
at odds with the present day suggested integrative approaches to social-ecological urban
dynamics. For example, commonly the nature conservation is administrated and managed by
other divisions than those responsible for the urban planning and management of the
surrounding landscape. These kinds of amplification of the institutional boundaries likely have
negative impacts on human accessibility, flows of benefits and ecological connectivity, and in
the long term put the areas at risk of degradation. In addition, the urbanization increases the
physical isolation of protected areas as well as the diversity of demands on what they should
provide. It is clear that there is a need to reconsider protected areas in the light of present day
urban challenges. What is the purpose of these areas and for whom? How can our existing
system of urban protected areas be upgraded to be seen and function as a supporter and/or
provider of ecosystem services across spatial and temporal scales. Where do we need to
establish new protected areas based on these premises, to be most efficient in providing
resilience at the same time as they are resilient in themselves?
Contributed session oral presentation:
Gentrification – green or not-green driven – this is the question
Nadja Kabisch
Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Departement of Geography, Berlin, Germany
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Department of Urban and Environmental
Sociology, Pegau, Germany
Within cities green spaces are often unequally distributed between groups of differ-ent
socioeconomic status, age and ethno-racial characteristics (Byrne & Wolch 2009; Gob-ster
1998). Uneven access to urban green space has become an issue of socio-environmental justice
(Kabisch & Haase 2014) and awareness of this problem has increased in terms of related
negative health impacts across the life course (Dai 2011). Uneven distribution of and access to
urban green spaces may be related to a number of interlinked factors including path dependency
related to history, land use development, park management and design. Also in historical times
green spaces and parks were created where the rich lived and/or typical replacements of the
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
poor after the installation of large green spaces happened. Even today, the installation and
development of urban green spaces such as parks increases attractiveness of a neighbourhood
making it desirable for investments. In turn, raising house and rent prices can potentially lead
to a displacement of those residents the green space was actually meant to be beneficial. Such
effects are called “green paradox”, “eco gentrification”, “ecological gentrification” or
“environmental gentrification”. Using selected examples, the talk will discuss whether urban
green development projects do foster gentrification or whether gentrification would have taken
place anyway no matter if a particular urban green environment has been changed or qualified.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Urban environmental justice in light of hedonic pricing
Jakub Kronenberg, Piotr Czembrowski, Edyta Łaszkiewicz
University of Lodz, Poland, Lodz, Poland
Hedonic pricing has been widely used to assess the perceived value of urban green infrastructure
in light of how much people pay for real estate depending on distance from green spaces. Most
hedonic pricing studies indicate that people are willing to pay a premium for apartments and
houses located close to green spaces. Nevertheless, hedonic pricing has been criticized for
capturing only the preferences of those who can afford buying or renting properties, i.e. leaving
some urban inhabitants out of the picture. This might suggest that urban green spaces are a
luxury good, available only to the privileged. Within the GREEN SURGE project we tested if
that is the case in Lodz, Poland. To verify whether green spaces are a luxury good, we analyzed
the relationship between the demand for closeness of green spaces and the buyer’s income. We
used quantile regression to check if the willingness to pay for green space proximity increases
and if it does, then if it grows faster than proportionally to the total price of an apartment. We
found no support for a hypothesis that green spaces in Lodz are considered by the inhabitants
as luxury goods, rather that only part of the green spaces in Lodz are perceived as amenities but
even they can be at best treated as normal goods. We reflected on what would the estimates be
if such a study was performed in a city with perfect green space accessibility. We hypothesize
that the environmental variables would become insignificant in explaining the variability of
property prices as variance of environmental accessibility and quality would become too low.
Therefore, we suggest to revisit previous studies where hedonic pricing results turned out
insignificant to find the reason for their insignificance and to be careful with the interpretation
of hedonic pricing results in general.
Monday, 21 August - Room 26 (50) - 11:30 - 13:00
Imagination – A Transformational Capacity?
Contributed session - Social-ecological transformations for sustainability
Chair/s: Manjana Milkoreit, Michele-Lee Moore
Today’s global sustainability challenges place significant transformational demands on modern
societies. Such transformational change requires a set of capacities at the individual and
collective scales, which are not yet very well understood. This session explores imagination as
one such transformational capacity – the ability of an individual or group to envision different
scientifically informed (i.e., possible) but significantly altered futures, including phenomena that
unfold slowly over long time periods and disruptive short-term change. This kind of imagination
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
is essential for individuals and societies to create, design and bring about desired future
trajectories.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Restoring our senses, restoring the Earth. The role of arts, the body and
imagination in climate resilience research
Diego Galafassi 1, Joan Davìd Tàbara 2
1
2
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
Sustainabilogy, Barcelona, Spain
Much of the resilience research so far has underlined the need to restore the quality and
functioning of global ecosystems in order to cope with the impending challenges of planetary
change. However such difficult endeavour is unlikely to happen unless a much deeper
transformation in restoring human senses at a personal and relational level occurs in the first
place. Arts and bodily engagements play a decisive role in unveiling crucial social-ecological
realities, sharpening our perception and triggering emotions and imagination which often
remain neglected or suppressed by our current Human Knowledge and Information Systems
(HIKS). Through the Arts and the body we can help create meaning to collective actions and
develop sensitivities which otherwise would be suppressed or discounted as irrational. To
overcome many of the limitations that current formal communication artefacts impose on our
minds and which prevent developing quality social-ecological interactions, we reflect on the
role of non-formal languages and embodied modes of expression to imagine alternative positive
visions of the world - and of ourselves in it. We base our discussion on two spaces developed
to experiment with new modes of expression: an experimental workshop with 40 practitioners
on the topic of Art-Science Sustainability interfaces and an science-art process for co-creation
of desirable futures to cope with High-End Climate Change trajectories within the EU-funded
project IMPRESSIONS (www.impressions-project.eu).
Contributed session oral presentation:
Imagination in the IPBES Scenario Process
Nadia Sitas 1, Laura Pereira 2, Federica Ravera 3
1
Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) South Africa and Department of Conservation
Ecology, Stellenbosch University, South Africa, Cape Town, South Africa
2
Centre for Complex Systems in Transition, Stellenbosch University, South Africa, Stellenbosch, South
Africa
3
Instituto de Ciências Agrárias e Ambientais Mediterrânica (ICAAM), University of Évora, Évora,
Portugal
Global modelling and assessments continue to show numerous declines in most biodiversity
and ecosystem services (BES) as a result of various anthropogenic forces. The rapid pace and
scale of social-ecological challenges in the Anthropocene requires new and integrated methods
for conceptualising alternative futures and co-designing transformative responses. Current
scenarios for exploring the future of BES and their contributions to human wellbeing - mainly
from the natural sciences - are insufficient to capture the complexity and context-specific nature
of the problems. New ways for scientists, practitioners and policy-makers to engage with such
complex global challenges are required. The intergovernmental science-policy platform for
biodiversity and ecosystem services (IPBES) needs to provide an evidence-base for informing
cross-scale decision-making processes in order to design policies and practices that can
maintain BES for current and future human wellbeing. A key challenge is to co-design multiscale future scenarios through more participatory processes, which include more nuanced,
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
creative and regionally-relevant narratives that still align with policy processes. This involves
engaging with diverse knowledge systems, values and actors to better understand, communicate
and co-construct innovative solutions that can facilitate change. We present the findings of a
comparative analysis of novel and imaginative scenario exercises from across the world that
focus on sustainability transformations through a transdisciplinary dialogue between artists,
scientists and stakeholders. Examples include the Seeds of Good Anthropocenes project, and
the Museums of the Future Now project. Drawing on these cases, we provide insights into new
methodologies and outcomes for envisioning imaginative and plausible futures. We present
alternative options for shifting away from business-as-usual approaches in how scenarios are
constructed and adopted in the BES arena. We demonstrate the value of fostering more inclusive
and creative participatory processes that acknowledge the importance of understanding multiple
value systems and relationships in order to reimagine a more inclusive and just future.
Contributed session oral presentation:
ARThropocene: Re-imagining Anthropocene Futures through Art-Science
Collaboration
Rika Preiser 1, Maike Hamann 1, Reinette Biggs 1, 2
1
2
Centre for Complex Systems in Transition Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
The Anthropocene ushers in new and diverse challenges, such as an increasing disconnect
between people and nature, widening inequalities, and potential planetary tipping points. There
is a growing recognition that dramatic socio-cultural, political and technological changes are
required to face these challenges and to create more just and sustainable future transformations.
Above all we are challenged to inhabit a future that meets the deeply intertwined development
and environmental challenges society faces, in a world profoundly shaped by human actions.
The ARThropocene project is an initiative that is borne from the recognition that we cannot
predict and calculate with certainty what changes will be needed to create a better world. Now,
more than ever, we need to create collaborative engagements between artists and scientists to
work more closely with each other so that we can start re-imagining sustainable and just
Anthropocene futures. The Centre for Complex Systems in Transition and the Sustainability
Institute at Stellenbosch University, South Africa, co-hosted the first ARThropocene event in
2016 and plan more events for 2017 during which we aim to provide an interactive space for
artists and scientists to engage in dialogue to explore how the combined critical perspectives
afforded by the humanities, science and fine arts can enable us to re-imagine (in other words,
to use the imagination as transformational capacity) shared new visions that would allow
radically alternative and positive Anthropocene futures to emerge.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Imagination - A transformational capacity
Michele-Lee Moore
University of Victoria (Canada) and Stockholm Resilience Centre (Sweden), Stockholm, Sweden
Will be co-chairing this session with Manjana Milkoreit
Contributed session oral presentation:
Children’s nature connection for sustainable transformation
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Matteo Giusti
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
In the last decades many hands-on programs have been pursuing the goal of physiologically and
psychologically connecting children to nature. This heterogeneous global movement employs a
plethora of nature experiences that provide children with the health benefits of direct nature
interaction. However, there are limited evaluating tools to validate if these hands-on activities
significantly impact children’s human-nature connection as effectively as many academics in
sustainability science would hope for. In this research we address this ‘evaluative gap’ to create
a bridge between practice and academia in the mutual effort of connecting children to nature.
This study is then a transdisciplinary investigation to respond to five complementary questions
that delineate what a meaningful nature experience is. (1) What are the qualities of a meaningful
nature experience? (2) What are the outcomes of a meaningful nature experience? (3) What are
barriers and promoters to perception and actualization of nature experiences? (4) How is
connection to nature evaluated by practitioners? (5) What are meaningful nature routines? In
order to answer these questions we thematically coded hundreds of activities performed across
countries and interviewed practitioners who have devoted their professional career to design
such activities. The study delineates the foundation for an evaluative framework to assess
meaningful nature experiences. Conclusive monitoring methods for these programs would
allow reliable comparison within and across programs, identifying any discrepancies between
intended and effective outcomes, and comparison of effectiveness among individual
experiences. Furthermore, this is an unavoidable first step to understand if these programs have
potential to nurture future individuals and collective sustainable transformations.
Monday, 21 August - C4 (125) - 11:30 - 13:00
Toward realistic, plausible, positive futures for the planet
Contributed session - Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological
system dynamics
Chair/s: Albert Norström
The world has entered the Anthropocene in which the social and ecological are increasingly
entangled in surprising and novel ways. Resilience is the capacity of social-ecological systems
to adapt or transform in the face of these dramatic changes. Building resilience in a world of
surprise and novelty require methods that bring multiple futures into current decision making.
Scenario planning is one approach that has been increasingly used in research and science-policy
processes, in particular places and in international assessment such as IPBES.
Scenarios are plausible stories about how the future of a social-ecological system might unfold.
Scenario planning can be an important tool in social-ecological transformations because it forces
people to think explicitly about alternative situations, consider key uncertainties and create an
understanding that a different order of things is possible. We will bring together leading scholars
from diverse disciplines to create a novel overview of the multiple roles scenarios can have in
social-ecological transformations.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Participatory Social-Ecological Scenario Planning: Approaches and Frontiers
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Garry Peterson 1, Joost Vervoort 2
1
2
Stockholm Resilience Centre Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Scenario planning can be an important tool in social-ecological transformations because it
forces people to think explicitly about alternative situations, consider key uncertainties and
create an understanding that a different order of things is possible. Participatory scenario
planning is an increasingly popular tool in place-based social-ecological research and practice.
Participatory social-ecological scenarios can serve as a platform for dialogue, create new
understanding of social-ecological dynamics that bridges multiple perspectives, models & data.
Consequently these processes can improve complexity thinking, in particular awareness of
surprise, uncertainty and as well as identify apparent conflicts and contradictions. Furthermore,
due to their narrative structure scenarios can be a good tool to communicate such insights more
widely than among those involved in the scenario process. However, participatory scenario
planning are time consuming, are weak at exploring cross-scale interactions, and coping with
divergent power, goals, and capacities of participants, and a lack of clear methods, standards or
evaluations impairs the use and advancement of participatory scenario planning. Key frontiers
for participatory scenario planning are 1) transparent methods for producing scenario dynamics,
2) methods that consider surprising and implausible futures which are possible and maybe even
likely, 3) better incorporating cross-scale dynamics into scenarios, 4) better and more
transparent linkages between quantitative and qualitative data & models, 5) better use of games
in scenario development, 6) better planning for iteration and learning within individual scenario
processes and 7) developing an open social-ecological scenarios community of practice.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Bright Spots: Seeds of good Anthropocene
Elena Bennett
McGill University, Montreal, Canada
Society is bombarded by dystopian visions of future collapse and degradation. But the future
does not have to be bleak. In fact, we can point to an emergence of experiments in new thinking,
innovative ways of living, projects aiming for change that bodes well for the future. As people
become aware of threats to society and nature, many are increasingly engaging in strategies to
create a more just, prosperous, and ecologically diverse world – “good Anthropocenes”.
Inspirational visions can be a key component of transformations to sustainability, helping to
shape the very reality that they forecast. But thus far, most efforts to imagine positive global
emerge from the same handful of ideas about the future, which overestimate the power of
conventional strategies to create real change, resulting in scenarios that are very similar to the
status quo, or feature fantasy pathways to unrealistic utopias. We propose that global scenarios
can be diversified by using these ‘experiments’ in new ways of thinking, doing, and being, to
build scenarios from the ground up. We discuss how this might be done, what kinds of socialecological scenarios it could help develop, and how they might be more useful than existing
global scenarios.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Scenarios for transformative pathways in social-ecological systems
Albert Norström
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
There is growing recognition that actions to enhance natural capital and the supply and
reliability of ecosystem services are urgently needed at local, regional, and global scales. But in
a rapidly changing world, such initiatives cannot succeed without investing in social-ecological
resilience. A central challenge of managing the resilience of social-ecological systems is posed
by slowly unfolding dynamics and considerable uncertainty about future pathways. A powerful
tool for envisioning what the future can and might hold for ecosystem services in a socialecological context, is the creation of scenarios. The use of scenario planning for ecosystem
services and transformation of social-ecological systems is ripe for improvement. For example,
by better incorporating models of ecosystem services in the scenario planning process. InVEST
is a well‐developed and widely-applied suite of models to map and value different types of
ecosystem services. InVEST has been continually developed and expanded by the
Natural Capital Project, and its modular design provides an effective tool for exploring the
likely outcomes of alternative management and climate scenarios and for evaluating trade‐offs
among sectors, services, and beneficiaries. InVEST models are well suited for
identifying spatial patterns in the provision and value of ecosystem services on the current
landscape or under future scenarios, and trade‐offs between management scenarios. This talk
will outline some ideas and ways to advance and integrate scientific understanding of how
social-ecological scenario planning can integrate ecosystem service models, such as InVEST,
and formalize some lessons learned from resilience work and from engagements in decisions to
bring the cutting edge of academic thinking on this subject into best practices.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Using scenario games to experiment with Anthropocene futures
Joost Vervoort 1, 2, Garry Peterson 3, David Farrell 4, Laura Pereira 5, Tanja Hichert 5, Rika Preiser
5
, Oonsie Biggs 5, Elena Bennett 6
1
Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
3
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
4
Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, United Kingdom
5
Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
6
McGill University, Montreal, Canada
2
The Anthropocene presents an urgent need to transform the role of humans in the earth system.
New scenario approaches are needed to imagine and experiment with novel, feasible futures
that avoid the traps of present bias, fatalism, and technological utopia. A promising approach
has created a database of current practices worldwide that have the potential to be ‘seeds’ of
desirable Anthropocene futures. These seeds can be used as building blocks in various
approaches to create future scenarios. One approach is the development and use of games as
interactive scenario generators. Scenario games harness many benefits of participatory
modelling approaches – they are system representations with rules, resources and interactions,
and can be used to experiment with system behaviors and outcomes. Scenario games also have
much in common with scenario narrative development, because games represent dynamic game
worlds, game play creates narratives in such worlds. Games also have specific advantages
beyond models and narrative scenarios – their focus on actor perspectives means that game
players can step into different roles to experience future worlds, and interact with other game
roles to experiment with actor interactions in iterative processes between multiple player
decisions and game consequences. We report on the development and application of a series of
analogue and digital games that have been created by researchers and game designers to imagine
and experiment with the transformative potential of different ‘seed’ initiatives. We compare
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
how different game rules and conditions, including the use of contextual scenarios, the numbers
and roles of players, and digital or analogue formats, lead to different ways to collect, use and/or
combine seeds, to different development pathways for seed initiatives, and ultimately to
different Anthropocene futures and insights for present day action. We also discuss the potential
role for such games to up-scale engagement with the creation of seed-based futures.
Monday, 21 August - Room 23 (30) - 11:30 - 13:00
Stewardship of gastronomic landscapes – exploring the future of food
Contributed session - Multi-level governance and biosphere stewardship
Chair/s: Fredrik Moberg
Gastronomy is the practice or art of choosing, cooking, and eating good food, and as such
emphasizes the role of food culture and quality for achieving a better food system. ‘Gastronomic
stewardship’ is a novel concept that directs the thought to the active shaping of food systems that
can provide both flavourful and sustainable produce. It includes stewardship across the entire
food value chain, from producer to consumer. The aim of the session is to explore and discuss
the concept, visions and pathways to enhance gastronomic stewardship, but also to develop the
usefulness of the concept in different cultural contexts. In the session, three researchers will give
presentations on gastronomic stewardship, drawing from case studies in three different places:
Sweden, South Africa and the Pamir Mountains of Tajikistan and Afghanistan. This will be
combined with three practitioners: Paul Svensson – Chef from Fotografiska; Sebastien Boudet –
Baker; and Brent Loken, EAT Foundation.
Contributed session oral presentation:
How can gastronomy help improve food system sustainability and biosphere
stewardship?
Line Gordon 1, Carl Folke 1, Laura Pereira 2, Maria Tengö 1, Per Olsson 1, Jamila Haider 1
1
2
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Centre for Complex Systems in Transition, Stellenbosch, South Africa
Large scale transformation of current food systems is needed. This transformation need to
include both changes to consumption and dietary patterns, and food production practices. In this
talk we look at the potential role that gastronomy can have for changing diets to more
sustainable, healthy and attractive food, while also creating opportunities for farmers to adopt
improved biosphere stewardship of food production landscapes. We particularly focus on chefproducer relations and discuss the potential of scaling successful example. We use case studies
from Sweden where here has been a relatively recent growing interest in gastronomy as a tool
to drive sustainability in the food service sector.
Contributed session oral presentation:
The Pamir Mountains: Gastronomy, Stewardship and poverty traps
L. Jamila Haider
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Over millennia the rugged, rocky, inhospitable landscape of the Pamir Mountains was
transformed into fertile patches of soil through human ingenuity. People tended to the land, and
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
domesticated wild hearty varieties of grains and fruits, and the Pamirs became a centre of origin
of various grains, nuts and fruits. 151 varieties of wheat grow in the Pamirs, and are often
cleverly interspersed with grass-pea, millets, rye and faba bean. Alongside biodiversity,
language and culture also coevolved. Despite being home to rich biocultural diversity, the Pamir
region is the poorest of all Central Asia and much of that diversity is at risk of being lost due to
the introduction of improved grain varieties. For all this diversity, by far the most abundant food
made and consumed today is simple white bread made with imported flour and any visitor to
the Pamirs would be forgiven for thinking of the Pamirs as a food desert. Seeds are disappearing
as new marketable varieties are introduced, and since all the different languages of the Pamir
are unwritten, the knowledge that coeovled with the seeds is also disappearing. Local
gastronomy however potentially plays a role in preserving and celebrating agricultural
biodiversity and in improving livelihoods. The story of our gastronomic journey in the Pamirs
began when a grandmother asked us to write down her recipe for osh, a grainy noodle soup
made of at least six different grains and legumes. That one recipe grew to over 100, which we
documented in a recipe book, which much to our (the authors) surprise became the “World’s
Best Cookbook” in 2016. Since then local recipes have been reinvigorated and become a source
of pride in local landscape stewardship and food has provided a way to open up new
conversations about positive development pathways.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Western Cape, South Africa: Understanding the transformative potential of
traditional foods in gastronomic landscapes for creating a more sustainable and
just food system
Laura Pereira
Centre for Complex Systems in Transition, Matieland, South Africa
South Africa’s food system is as contested as the country’s history. High levels of poverty and
inequality, an industrialised and monetised food system that prevents the majority from
accessing healthy food and a land ownership pattern that still reflects apartheid. At the same
time, South Africa is one of the most biodiverse countries in the world with the potential to feed
its population a healthy and nutritious diet from its natural landscapes. In this presentation, I
will showcase research on the gastronomic landscape of the Western Cape that is contributing
to a better understanding of the role that local and traditional foods can play. The indigenous
food of the Western Cape provides an archaeological puzzle because much of the culinary
knowledge held by the indigenous Khoi and San people was wiped out as colonial settlers
moved into the area and brought with them western crops like wheat to feed their settlements
and the ships docking at Cape Town. However, linked to the recent international foraging trend,
as well as environmental shocks like the current drought, there has been a revival of interest in
the indigenous species that can are able to grow in the sandy soils of the west coast of South
Africa. A few pioneers of this revival have the aim not only of experimenting with local foods
to create delectable dishes, but also of increasing the knowledge of what to eat, how to eat it,
and how it may be cultivated. The idea lies rooted less in a push for high-end cuisine, but more
as a means to provide access to diverse and nutritious food for local people. I will describe some
of the interesting seed initiatives and niche activities of ‘change makers’ that I propose have the
potential to transform the currently unequal local food system into a gastronomic landscape that
can provide a healthier, more affordable and diverse diet.
Monday, 21 August - Room 27 (60) - 11:30 - 13:00
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Bringing human adaptive behavior into SES analysis from local to global
scales
Contributed session - Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological
system dynamics
Chair/s: Birgit Müller, Maja Schlüter, Nanda Wijermans
Humans individually and collectively adapt their behavior to changing social and environmental
conditions. They do this in diverse ways, following a variety of motivations while being
embedded in specific social and ecological contexts. This adaptive behavior not only affects the
future development of a social-ecological system (SES), it is also critical for the effectiveness of
policy interventions or the response of a society to global change. However, diverse human
responses to social-ecological change and their consequences are still largely neglected in
analysis and modeling of SES or oversimplified. This session aims to investigate how we can
better do justice to complex human behavior and build on diverse knowledge from the social
sciences. It will provide examples from modeling human adaptive behavior in local natural
resource management and in global studies.
Contributed session oral presentation:
How to model human behaviour in socio-ecological systems
Gert Jan Hofstede
Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands
How to model human behaviour in socio-ecological systems Gert Jan Hofstede, 2016 12 21
Abstract for session “Bringing human adaptive behaviour into SES analysis from local to global
scales”, Stockholm, 21-23 August 2017 When studying human behaviour, different scales yield
different insights. All humans share human nature as social mammals whose lives are a ‘social
game’ with strong status-power drives related to their position in their group, and their group’s
position relative to other groups. Each group also creates its own ‘social landscape’: it differs
from every other group in the rules of the social game, that is the fine details of these statuspower mechanisms. Thirdly, each individual differs from everybody else in personality, skills
and personal history. For studying the dynamics of a socio-ecological system (SES), each of
these levels is important. My thesis is that whereas the third is usually most prominent in
models, it is the first that is most important. The emergent behaviour of our groups and societies
depends more on our social nature than on our individual attributes. So for models of SES we
need a comprehensive, if simplified, model of human nature, in particular status-power drives
and group loyalties. This also requires cultural knowledge. Such a model could be re-used
between models. Secondly, we need to map the generic model onto specific SES. This requires
answering delineation questions such as: which groups exist? do ecological boundaries coincide
with social ones? It also requires instantiation questions such as: which actions can signify
agreement, discord, obedience, protest? The presentation will provide more detail about how to
potentially model the three aggregation levels.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Exploring the variability in a social-ecological system caused by alternative
formalizations of human decision making
Wander Jager
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Arizona State University, PHOENIX, United States
Groningen University, Groningen, Netherlands
In the year 2000 we published a study on an integrated model where artificial consumers
decided on how much to harvest from a fish-stock and gold mine to satisfy their needs (Jager,
Janssen, De Vries, De Greef, & Vlek, 2000)). Unique of this approach was that agents were
equipped with different needs (income, status, luxury and leisure) and different decision
strategies driven by agents satisfaction and uncertainty levels. Four decision strategies were
implemented: (1) repetition when satisfied and certain, (2) imitation when satisfied and
uncertain, (3) optimising when dissatisfied and certain, and (4) inquiring when dissatisfied and
uncertain. This approach allows for capturing for example habitual behaviour (repetition) and
the social spreading of new behaviour due to arising uncertainty as a result of e.g. depleting
fish-stocks. The results demonstrated that including assumptions on human behaviour based on
a broad perspective of behavioural theory had considerable implications for the socio-ecological
dynamics. We present in this presentation a simplified and more accessible version of the model,
implemented in Netlogo, and provide a more elaborate sensitivity analysis how behavioral
assumptions affect the dynamics of the system. Starting with homogeneous rational choice
agents as a baseline run, our experiments will systematically explore the impacts of assumptions
on (1) habitual behaviour, (2) social needs, i.e., conformity, anti-conformity and non-conformity
and (3) social decision making as in imitation and inquiring. We will present the consequences
of alternative behavioral assumptions on optimal policies to meet sustainable outcomes. Jager,
W., Janssen, M. A., De Vries, H. J. M., De Greef, J., & Vlek, C. A. J. (2000). Behaviour in
commons dilemmas: Homo Economicus and Homo Psychologicus in an ecological-economic
model. Ecological Economics, 35, 357–380.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Models and theories. How to deal with human behavioural diversity in the use
and management of common pool resources.
Nanda Wijermans, Wijnand Boonstra
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
The use and management of common pool resources is constantly confronted with unexpected
and unintended effects, because the interrelated social and ecological processes involved are
inherently complex. Especially human behaviour has been earmarked as one major factor that
creates uncertainty about scientific knowledge and management interventions. For this
presentation, we focus on fisheries to outline the social-ecological complexity of common pool
resource use and management, and ways to better understand it. Fisheries scientists, like many
other (natural) scientists that analyse human behaviour, predominantly use models to explain
and/or predict human behaviour. Models that include human behaviour tend to represent these
dynamics exclusively with reference to profit maximising. The assumption of motivational
homogeneity simplifies the contextuality and complexity of human behaviour. We argue that
this assumption creates much of the uncertainty. There is a lot of evidence from social science
studies that behavioural differences stem from differences in motivations, experiences, time and
place. In this presentation, we want to use this knowledge to explore how scientific models used
to understand and manage fisheries can account for motivational diversity. For this purpose, we
will use as example a computational model of fishers’ behaviour that explicitly integrates
motivational diversity. The model was constructed using the concept of fishing styles, i.e.
general types diversity of motivations and practices based on empirical information about the
Swedish Baltic Sea fishers. To account for diversity in behaviour in allows for contrasting and
reflecting on the consequences different assumptions on human behaviour. We thus explore
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
what theoretical and methodological progress can be made to integrate social science
knowledge into the analysis of social-ecological system and support of its management.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Combining Simulations, Social Science, and Stakeholder Engagement for
Improved Social-Ecological Systems Analysis: Insights from a Pastoralist
Landscape in Southern Ethiopia
Lance W. Robinson 1, Gunnar Dressler 2, Birgit Müller 2, Niklas Hase 2
1
2
International Livestock Research Institute, Kenya, Kenya
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany
In working toward more sophisticated approaches to social-ecological system (SES) analysis
that take social science seriously, there is a need for empirical and analytical methods for
understanding and analyzing the heterogeneity of people’s interests. Methods are also needed
that take into account the interplay of institutions, organizations, networks, values, and practices
which together perform the social function that is governance, as it is governance which
mediates these conflicting interests in social systems. In this paper we present insights from a
project that combined qualitative social science approaches, simulation modeling, and
stakeholder engagement to do this. The project was carried out in Borena Zone in Southern
Ethiopia, a place where livelihoods have traditionally been based on mobile livestock keeping,
but where key pasture areas are being lost through a variety of factors including the expansion
of crop cultivation into former communal pasture land. The motivation for pastoralists to engage
in cultivation varies greatly, but results in the common impact of undermining livestock-based
livelihoods yet further, resulting in a vicious cycle that may contribute to an erosion of
resilience. Our attempt to bring an understanding of ongoing changes in governance,
livelihoods, and SES dynamics into land use planning involved developing a multi-agent
simulation model: Land Use Competition in Drylands (LUCID). The model takes into account
the dynamic interactions between pastoralist livestock production and cropland expansion in a
dryland grazing system. In addition, the work was also informed by the MoHuB (Modelling
Human Behavior, Schlüter et al. 2017) framework for understanding the differing interests and
needs of all actors involved. We present our experience of using analysis of land use within a
landscape level SES to contribute to better-informed land use planning processes, and offer
insights as to how this kind of approach might be used in other settings and at other scales.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Modelling the resilience of the global food system to shocks and trends.
Roslyn Henry 1, Peter Alexander 1, Peter Anthoni 2, Almut Arneth 2, Thomas Pugh 2, 4, Sam Rabin
2
, Mark Rounsevell 1, 2
1
(1) School of Geosciences, The University of Edinburgh, Drummond Street, Edinburgh EH8 9XP,
United Kingdom, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
2
(2) Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research / Atmospheric
Environmental Research, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany, Garmisch-Partenkirchen,
Germany
3
(3) Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, United Kingdom, Wallingford,
United Kingdom
4
(4) School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham,
B15 2TT, United Kingdom, Birmingham, United Kingdom
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Population growth, climate change, dietary shifts, agricultural intensification, and market
globalisation are responsible for changes to the global food system. With an increasingly
interconnected global food system the consequences of individual, institutional and
governmental decisions can resonate across a variety of locations and scales. Coupled with
increasing food demand, this gives rise to systemic risks, i.e. a lack of resilience. Shocks to the
system, e.g. supply shocks in one or more major production regions, can be communicated
geographically. A notable example of this was the 2007/08 food price spike, as well as the
continued price volatility in food markets. Shocks, in the form of tipping points, also have the
potential to generate irreversible changes in the food system state. To explore interactions
occurring in the food system, no one part of the human-environmental system can be assessed
in isolation. Coupled modeling efforts represent a potential strategy in this regard. Here we
present the modelling approach and initial results of an effort to couple a new global food
security model, PLUMv2, with a biologically-representative vegetation and crop production
simulator, LPJ-GUESS, and the climate emulator IMOGEN. The coupled model will be used
to better understand the resilience of food systems to a range of shocks and trends. Examples of
this include governmental behaviours such as trade policies, changes in dietary patterns,
extreme weather events, and crop pestilence. The food system’s resilience is measured by the
effect of shocks on food prices and food availability. Furthermore, the spatially explicit nature
of LPJ-GUESS-PLUM-IMOGEN allows for the resilience to shocks to be investigated at subnational, national, and global scales.
Monday, 21 August - Room 33 (30) - 11:30 - 13:00
Understanding social-ecological systems through best practices in
participatory modeling
Contributed session - Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological
system dynamics
Chair/s: Laura Schmitt Olabisi
The popularity of participatory modeling (PM) has grown in recent years with the
acknowledgement that the inclusion of stakeholders and a variety of scientific perspectives are
required to improve our understanding of the complexity of social-ecological systems. However,
there are still questions about how different software tools common to PM can be used to
facilitate learning among diverse groups and which approaches are more or less suitable given
the nature of a community or issue. We suggest a “4P framework” for the field of PM and provide
an overview of a range of tools available for socio-environmental modeling with stakeholders.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Purpose, Processes, Partnerships, and Products: 4Ps to advance Participatory
Socio-Environmental Modeling
Steven Gray 1, Alexey Voinov 2, Pierre Bommel 3, Christophe LePage 4, Laura Scmitt-Olabisi 1
1
Michigan State University, East Lansing, United States
University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands
3
CIRAD, San Jose, Costa Rica
4
CIRAD, University of Brasillia, Brasillia, Brazil
2
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Including stakeholders in environmental model building and analysis is an increasingly popular
approach to understanding ecological and social change. This is because stakeholders often hold
valuable knowledge about socio-environmental dynamics and collaborative forms of modeling
produce important boundary objects used to collectively reason about environmental problems.
Although the number of participatory modeling (PM) case studies and the number of researchers
adopting these approaches has grown in recent years, the lack of standardized reporting and
limited reproducibility have prevented PM’s establishment and advancement as a cohesive field
of study. We suggest a four-dimensional framework (4P) that includes reporting on dimensions
of: (1) the Purpose for selecting a PM approach (the why); (2) the Process by which the public
was involved in model building or evaluation (the how); (3) the Partnerships formed (the who);
and (4) the Products that resulted from these efforts (the what). We highlight four case studies
that use common PM software-based approaches (fuzzy cognitive mapping, agent-based
modeling, system dynamics, and participatory geospatial modeling) to understand humanenvironment interactions and the consequences of ecological and social changes, including
bushmeat hunting in Tanzania and Cameroon, agricultural production and deforestation in
Zambia, and groundwater management in India. We demonstrate how standardizing
communication about PM case studies can lead to innovation and new insights about modelbased reasoning in support of natural resource policy development. We suggest that our 4P
framework and reporting approach provides a way for new hypotheses to be identified and
tested in the growing field of PM.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping with Mental Modeler: A software tool for collecting
and standardizing stakeholder knowledge to understand social-ecological systems
Steven Gray
Michigan State University, East Lansing, United States
There is a growing interest in the use of fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) as a participatory
method for understanding social-ecological systems (SESs). In recent years, FCM has been used
in a diverse set of contexts ranging from fisheries management to agricultural development, in
an effort to generate transparent graphical models of complex systems that are useful for
decision making, illuminate the core presumptions of environmental stakeholders, and structure
environmental problems for scenario development. This increase in popularity is because of
FCM’s bottom-up approach and its ability to incorporate a range of individual, communitylevel, and expert knowledge into an accessible and standardized format. This presentation will
include 2 parts which include: (1) a brief overview of FCM as a participatory modeling approach
and (2) a hands-on demonstration of the architecture and various uses of an FCM-based software
program called Mental Modeler. By providing workshop participants with sample data and webbased access to the software on their computers, we will create models, run scenarios, discuss
software functionality and discuss the benefits and limitations to FCM as a participatory
modeling approach compared to other participatory modeling approaches available.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Playing with models. How to use Agent-Based Models with stakeholders for
understanding social-ecological systems
Pierre Bommel 1, 2, Marie-Paule Bonnet 4, 5, Grégoire Leclerc 1, Emilie Coudel 1, 3, Christophe Le
Page 1
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
1
CIRAD, Green Research Unit, Montpellier, France
UCR Universidad de Costa Rica, Cieda, San José, Costa Rica
3
Universidade de Brasilia, Centro de Desenvolvimento Sustentável, Brasilia, Brazil
4
IRD, UMR ESPACE-DEV, Montpellier, France
5
LMI OCE "Observatoire des changements environnementaux", UNB, Brasilia, Brazil
2
While science has long been regarded as the sole driver for development, it is nowadays
acknowledged that inclusion of stakeholders and different scientific perspectives is required to
improve our understanding on socio-ecological systems (SESs). To integrate various
perceptions and knowledge, there is a growing interest for Agent-Based Models (ABMs) as
participatory tools for understanding SESs and their likely evolutions. Because they are centered
on individuals, ABMs enable the user of a simulation to visualize his system in a tangible way.
Consequently, he can project himself in the simulated word by assuming the role of an agent.
Because he can also observe the system at the global level, he can better understand the
consequences of decisions and actions. Some experiments using ABMs combine autonomous
processes with agents’ actions decided by the actors. Such “hybrid agent” simulations enable
the stakeholders to interact with the model by modifying the behavior of the agents and the way
they use the resources. Therefore, we can collectively explore scenarios to better understand
how a desired situation may be reached. This may feed back into the collective design of the
model. This talk will include two parts: (1) a brief overview of the ABMs and the pros and cons
to use them with stakeholders as a participatory modeling approach and (2) an example of
experiment with local communities in an Amazon floodplain in Brazil coping with global
changes. A hands-on demonstration of this experiment will be available to the workshop
participants to play with the model to better understand the advantages and the limits of such
methodology. Beyond the technical and organizational considerations for designing and using
such tools, we address the issue of power plays and of how to integrate in the process all the
involved stakeholders while strengthening the capacities of the most vulnerable.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Selecting and integrating the right tools for the job
Alexey Voinov
UT-ITC, Enschede, Netherlands
A variety of modeling tools and methods are used in participatory modeling. These include
formal modeling methods based on computer simulations (System Dynamics, Agent Based
Modeling, Bayesian methods, etc.) as well as soft methods based on conceptual modeling
(Cognitive Mapping, Casual Loop Diagrams, Rich pictures, etc.). Choosing the right method
and tool for a particular problem remains problematic and much too often is driven by the
existing skills of researchers involved, not necessarily taking into account the specifics of the
case study, the stakeholders involved and the geographic location of the area at stake. We
suggest some guidelines for informed choices of methods and tools in participatory research,
and also examine how these tools can be linked, how integrated models can be used with
stakeholders. Engaging stakeholders in the modeling process is an efficient way to keep model
complexity under control and to produce better and more useful models. Participatory modeling
is a good way to synchronyze and integrate stakeholder knowledge, and to build more
consensus, more ‘buy-in’ into the modeling results. In this case, models can also provide the
necessary formalism to describe and integrate stakeholders perceptions and system
conceptualizations. Still the tools and methods to integrate qualitative stakeholder models with
quantitative computer simulations are rare and need improvement.
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Contributed session oral presentation:
A Hands-On Introduction to Participatory System Dynamics Modeling
Laura Schmitt Olabisi
Michigan State University, East Lansing, United States
System dynamics is one of the quantitative modeling methods with the longest history of
exploring stakeholder engagement through participatory model-building. Participatory system
dynamics (SD) methods have been used in a wide range of fields, from health to governance to
business management to environmental decision-making. Participatory SD incorporates the best
aspects of system dynamics modeling—the ability to explore system behavior over time,
incorporating feedback and non-linear dynamics; the ability to forecast future conditions under
a variety of scenarios—with the advantages of participatory modeling (stakeholder
empowerment and buy-in, incorporation of different viewpoints, experiences and information,
etc.). While more time-consuming than traditional, expert-driven modeling approaches,
participatory SD generates more robust conclusions while facilitating social learning and the
questioning of unsupported beliefs and practices. This talk will consist of a brief (5-10 minutes)
overview of key system dynamics concepts, and a demonstration of a participatory system
dynamics model developed to address the root causes of deforestation in Zambia. We will
follow this overview with a hands-on activity involving causal loop diagramming (CLD), a
systems analysis tool that can be used on its own or in combination with computer simulation
modeling (25-30 minutes). Participants will have the opportunity to construct CLDs in small
groups of 5-6 people, aided by the facilitator. We will then debrief the experience (5-10 minutes)
and talk about its potential usefulness and challenges in addressing problems of interest to the
session attendees.
Monday, 21 August - C3 (180) - 11:30 - 13:00
Building Resilience in New York City: Lessons and Progress Since
Hurricane Sandy
Contributed session - Social-ecological transformations for sustainability
Chair/s: Timon McPhearson
In October 2012, Hurricane Sandy caused severe destruction and disruption on the Eastern U.S.
eastern seaboard with massive impacts on New York City. Economic, infrastructure, ecological
and social damages were vast. In response the City of New York established an Office of
Recovery and Resilience. In this session we will provide updates on the multiple climate driven
hazards facing NYC, municipal and neighborhood level resilience building since Sandy, and a
social-ecological-technical systems approach to enhance future resiliency efforts. We expect this
session to result in knowledge sharing between cities, and researchers across the multiple urban
domains. We will focus on the importance of multi-level and multi-sectoral transformation to
improve neighborhood and system-level resilience to climate driven pressures affecting coastal
cities around the world. Speakers will give short presentations designed to illustrate researcher,
policymaker, and local practitioner perspectives to compare NYC insights with other cities
actions around the world.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Future-Proofing the Metropolis: A Landscape Systems-Based Approach
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Jennifer Bolstad
Local Office Landscape and Urban Design, Brooklyn, United States
The New School Parsons School of Design, New York, United States
How do sustainability and resiliency overlap and diverge in the urban landscape? Through a
variety of urban design and landscape precedent projects, this session will explore landscapesystems-based strategies for identifying and addressing urban vulnerabilities, including climate
volatility and sea level rise. Project precedents include sites in the three coastal urban islands of
New York: Coney Island, the Rockaway peninsula, and the city of Long Beach. Methods of
inquiry presented will include terrain-scale systems analyses and forensic ecology. Project
precedents will showcase the multiple benefits – economic, cultural, social – of a landscapesystems-based approach to designing resilient cities. Participants will be able to: - Distinguish
between ‘sustainable’ and ‘resilient’ project initiatives and evaluate how each adds value to the
project. - Describe how remote-sensing technologies, including LiDAR and GIS, can be used
to identify gaps and vulnerabilities in urban structure. - Cite examples of design strategies
derived from forensic ecology analysis, and discuss the multiple benefits of adapting living
systems to create protective urban infrastructure. - Translate Passive House concepts into
landscape and urban-scaled strategies for energy conservation, through manipulation of
microclimate.
Contributed session oral presentation:
The Role of Design in Community Organization, Policy Leadership, and
Capacity-Building
Walter Meyer
Local Office Landscape and Urban Design, Brooklyn, United States
The New School University, Parsons School of Design, New York, United States
In the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy, our design firm temporarily transitioned to a humanitarian
capacity, working on the ground in the coastal urban Rockaway peninsula in Queens, New
York, to build and install small-scale alternative energy infrastructure. Shopping-cart-sized
solar arrays provided hubs for charging phones, laptops and power tools, allowing the
community to organize, pool resources, and begin the process of self-healing. The project grew
into a large-scale alternative energy rollout in businesses throughout the Rockaways,
demonstrating the multiple benefits of rebuilding with resilient infrastructure. The systems
installed thus far have successfully operated uninterrupted through disturbances, and the
businesses are saving money compared to traditional energy sources, which contribute further
to climate change and sea level rise. Implementation of resilient systems depends heavily on
policy updates, especially in a jurisdiction with such complex and multi-stakeholder building
codes as New York City, and even more so when relying on Federal, State and City funding
sources. Our work in alternative energy and in landscape-based protective infrastructure has
given us a platform to lead these policy shifts, working in concert with the coastal communities
to envision a more resilient future.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Building Institutional Capacity for Resilience in New York City’s Jamaica Bay
Adam Parris 1, Lesley Patrick 2, Maya Buchanan 3
1
2
Science and Resilience Institute at Jamaica Bay, Brooklyn, United States
Science and Resilience Institute at Jamaica Bay, Brooklyn, United States
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
3
Woodrow Wilson School of Public & International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, United
States
Jamaica Bay is one of the most important landscapes in an important global city—the City of
New York (NYC). It contains 10,000 acres of undeveloped parklands, the majority of which
(~70%) are a part of the US National Parks system, drawing over 3.8 million visitors in 2015
and providing habitat for hundreds of species. Urbanization has replaced much of Jamaica Bay’s
ecological system with a complex fabric of infrastructure and land use. It is home to John F.
Kennedy International airport (JFK), which helped transport approximately 1.3 billion tons of
goods and 52.3 million people through the metro region in 2014 alone. Meanwhile, people
living around Jamaica Bay are disproportionately exposed and vulnerable to climate change
impacts, as evidenced in the wake of Hurricane Sandy. From a social, ecological, and
technological standpoint, Jamaica Bay is recovering from and embarking on transformation.
City and federal plans focus on adaptive management and restoration of people and ecosystems.
New green and gray infrastructure continue to help improve water quality and reduce coastal
flood risk. And, communities are seeking participation in implementing those plans. The
Science and Resilience Institute at Jamaica Bay represents a commitment to integrated
knowledge and action collaboratively governed by scientists, communities, and public agencies.
The Institute faces common challenges in bringing resilience and sustainability into the publicprivate discourse. There is an urgent need for proof of concept and transferable lessons, despite
the complexity of large cities. Transformation in Jamaica Bay requires thinking, acting, and
choosing differently, which is challenging given human nature. Behavioral research in the Bay
suggests small preparedness actions in response to coastal flooding come at the expense of more
extensive adaptation actions. Cognitive and behavioral shifts require time and a sustained and
iterative relationship between science, society, and government, to build capacity for lasting
institutional change.
Contributed session oral presentation:
The Challenge for Climate Resilience In New York City: Impacts of 140 years of
climate hazards and current multi-hazard risk
Timon McPhearson, Yaella Depietri
Urban Ecology Lab, Environmental Studies Program, The New School, New York City, United States
New York City has not historically been viewed as a particularly hazard prone region. However,
this perspective is changing. After the disastrous consequences of Hurricane Sandy and the
potential increase in impacts due to current and future climate change public, awareness is
growing. Higher temperatures and extreme heat, intense precipitation events, and rising sea
levels driving coastal flooding are threatening city residents and its many forms of
infrastructure, including buildings, roads, schools, hospitals, and transport systems. We
comprehensively review the hazardscape of New York City and empirically demonstrate the
semi-regular occurrence of natural hazards over the last 140 years, with an increase in hazards
over the more recent past. We also analyze current multi-hazard risk including from coastal
flooding, inland flooding, and heat waves in a spatially explicit approach to examine the
cumulative risk that the city faces. We use a broad set of socio-economic and environmental
indicators to assess hazards and vulnerability of the city inhabitants at high spatial resolution.
Analysis incorporates local expert opinions to weight indicators. Results identify spatial
hotspots of multi-hazard risk to demonstrate where investment is needed to effectively plan,
manage, and create policy for building resilience to climate and hydro-meteorological extreme
events. Further, we demonstrate how vulnerable populations, affected by multiple hazards,
could benefit in a variety of ways through green infrastructure and other ecosystem-based
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
adaptation strategies that reduce exposure and provide opportunities for coping, adaptation and
disaster risk reduction solutions while providing co-benefits to meet city goals such as improved
livability.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Risk Management Transition in New York City’s Coastal Areas
William Solecki, Erin Friedman
City University of New York - Hunter College, New York, United States
Ongoing climate change is encouraging cities to reevaluate their risk management strategies.
Urban communities increasingly are being forced to respond to climate shifts with actions that
promote resistance, resilience, or even larger scale transformations. The objective of this
presentation is to present a conceptual framework that facilitates examination of how the
transition from one type of risk management strategy or regime to another takes place. A case
study of post-Hurricane Sandy New York is used to illustrate the framework and its overall
effectiveness. The empirical work focuses on disaster risk reduction and climate change
adaptation responses to coastal storm surge risk and dynamic sea level rise and to what extent
policy transitions are underway in New York, generally, and the areas of Jamaica Bay and
Raritan Bay specifically. The research framework which utilizes resilience theory and political
ecology approaches as its analytical base is built around a set of assumptions regarding the
process of transition between risk management regimes and includes five basic conceptual
elements: (1) Risk management regimes, (2) Development pathways, (3) Activity spheres, (4)
Activity spaces, and (5) Root, contextual and proximate drivers. The interaction amongst these
elements and the potential for transition between four different possible regime states including
resistance, resilience, transformation, and collapse are presented. The framework facilitates and
guides analysis on whether and how transition is emergent, constrained or accelerated in
specific contexts. The results indicate that the local physical and social limits play a significant
role in defining conditions for transitions. Discussion is provided on how the framework and
lessons learned can be translated to other cities and contexts.
Contributed session oral presentation:
The Northern Manhattan Climate Action Plan
Aurash Khawarzad
WE ACT for Environmental Justice, The New School, Brooklyn, United States
The Northern Manhattan Climate Action Manual (NMCA) is a project of WE ACT for
Environmental Justice to build local resilience to the impacts of climate change. WE ACT has
been working for 25 years to address the disproportionate impacts of waste treatment facilities,
transportation infrastructure, and other aspects of the built environment. Since 2015 WE ACT
has been leading a participatory planning process (NMCA) that addresses the environmental
justice impacts of climate change, including, but not limited to, impacts on low-income housing,
disparities in access to clean air and water, regressive economic impacts, and more. The New
York City Panel on Climate Change (an advising partner for the NMCA) defines resilience as
“the ability of a system and its component parts to anticipate, absorb, accommodate, or recover
from the effects of a potentially hazardous event in a timely and efficient manner.” The NMCA
combines this standard definition of environmental resilience with that of social resilience,
which is the ability of groups or communities to cope with external stresses and disturbances as
a result of social, political, and environmental change. For Environmental justice communities
meeting this definition of resilience requires major reforms to our economic and political
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
systems. Without better representation in our government and greater access to material
resources, many communities will only become more impoverished as climate changes makes
it more difficult to have affordable housing, reliable transportation, healthy food, and stable
employment, among other things. Creating resilience means overcoming those existing
obstacles before they become liabilities to climate change. The NMCA plans have been
developed with countless partners including over 100 community members and other partners,
such as The New School and New York City Government. The NMCA presented a
comprehensive vision for climate justice in August of 2015. Since then working groups
comprised of local residents have been working on projects for better energy systems, green
infrastructure, emergency services, and much more.
Monday, 21 August - Room 34 (30) - 11:30 - 13:00
Open Up: Tackling Framing Effects of Dominant Knowledge Systems in
Transformations
Contributed session - Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological
system dynamics
Chair/s: Cristina Apetrei, Maja Goepel
Humans use knowledge and value systems (paradigms, worldviews, mindsets, mental maps) to
make sense of the world and to act purposefully. However, most often than not, the cognitive,
affective and social rules by which decisions are made remain implicit, while cultural frames
provide shortcuts for explanations and rationalizations. In this session we bring together theory
and practice to unravel the tacit assumptions that have so far dominated sustainability discourses,
and to highlight the potential of alternative mindsets for bringing about peaceful futures. We
present various frameworks, methods and technological advances that may catalyze a Great
Mindshift for governing the Anthropocene.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Participatory Indicator Work as a Key to Reflective Practice and Pathways
Work: A Case Study on Perceptions of Progress from Africa
Justine Braby
Progress Namibia, Windhoek, Namibia
The underlying narrative that rapid economic growth will bring prosperity to all Africans needs
to be questioned, urgently. Many countries on the continent are showing fast GDP growth, but
this has not related to access to basic services, increased quality of life, and this development
model has had devastating effects on the ecosystem services and biodiversity of these countries.
Very little has been done on capturing African citizen world views and alternative narratives.
Deep dialogue has been underrated in collecting and learning from citizen (local, national and
global) narratives about progress and what it means to lead a successful life. Participatory
indicator work in Namibia, as well as collecting narratives on the theme of 'Africans Thriving',
is ongoing work that has brought about many lessons learned from experiencing with dialogue
during traditional rituals. Participatory approaches through creating open spaces of equal power
and respect has shown that many citizens put value on social systems that are undervalued and
being lost along the path of rapid production and consumption. This session will be in the form
of a visual story-telling-style presentation, and highlights the alternative mindsets and their
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
potential for the imagination on and bringing about peaceful futures. How are the narratives
shaped? What are they? How closely are they linked to the SDGs? What values do citizens place
on each other, ecosystems, commodities? What lessons have we learned from our approach?
These are some of the key questions that the session will focus on.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Simulation games as tools for handling cognitive and social complexity in the
context of sustainability transition
Piotr Magnuszewski
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Centre for Systems Solutions, Wroclaw, Poland
Fostering sustainability transitions in our interconnected world requires keen appreciation and
incorporation of the many ways in which the frames, beliefs, norms, decisions and interactions
of today shape the pathways and possibilities for tomorrow. While substantial progress has been
made in understanding the natural environment, we are far from grasping the critical elements
of stakeholder cognitive and decision-making processes that underpin coupled human-natural
systems. Many important aspects of these interactions are linked with the so called “frames”
and framing. In the interest of computational tractability, the majority of modeling and analysis
methods adopt simplified behavioral assumptions at the expense of empirical realism. For
systems analysis to offer actionable policy insights to the complex challenges of sustainability
transitions it is evident that our methods and tools must better incorporate the complexity of
human cognition, deliberation, and decision-making. This contribution will present the use of a
social simulation (or ‘serious game’ or ‘policy exercise’) as a new method to understand
stakeholder cognition and resulting interaction. The method can be applied both from the
perspective of an external observer (research) or, alternatively, as a collective self-reflection
process leading to the understanding of unspoken assumptions guiding decisions and action.
Simulation games have a unique potential to expand the understanding of stakeholder dynamics,
teasing out behavioral pitfalls that may prevent effective collaboration, coordination, and
collective action necessary to foster transition towards sustainability. Examples will be given
of using games where stakeholders face sustainability transition challenges.
Contributed session oral presentation:
The Great Mindshift. How a New Economic Paradigm and Sustainability
Transformations go Hand in Hand
Maja Goepel
Wuppertal Institut, Berlin, Germany
In essence, sustainable development has always been a radical agenda whose definition
involved a paradigm shift: the integration of economic, environmental, and social knowledge
and concerns. Yet, instead of a transcending intergation most solutions were pursued with a
subjugation of social and environmental concerns by the dominant economic frames and ideas
for development . Political economists (Polanyi 1947, Gramsci 1971, Cox 1994, Raskin et.al
2002) and transformation scholars (Leach at.al 2010, Wiek et.al 2016, Goepel 2016) argue that
without tackling the hegemonic ‘system framing’ as well - the knowledge that actors in the
political process apply - solutions will rather consolidate the status quo than bring about
transformative change. In the case of sustainability the economic lens is blind to the qualitative
characteristics of both of its key concerns, nature and human needs. Thus primarily applying
the mainstream economic lens in the appraisal of policies and/or technologies was often part of
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
perpetuating or even reinforcing unsustainable development trends. Many development and
ecological economists have pointed this out before, but only since the financial crises brought
the criticism into the hegemonic framing itself, the economics discipline, do we see a renewed
window for a paradigm shift. This paper highlights key assumptions in mainstream economics
that create blind spots with regard to understanding nature and human needs and highlights
which alternative views seem to consolidate themselves across different movements like
Beyond GDP, a Common Good Economy, Transition Towns or Commoning. It discusses these
as system framings that would be fit for finding policies and technologies for sustainable futures
and closes by arguing that paradigm shifting work should be considered an expertise in itself.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Open up your Box! Storytelling with and without Systems Modelling
Erik Pruyt
Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands
Simulation runs generated with computer models have since 1972 been used as scenarios about
un/sustainable development. These computer models, which consist of explicit assumptions,
have influenced many people’s minds regarding the limits to growth of our world – although
not everyone’s mind. Some have criticized the inner logic of these glass-box models, the limited
spectrum of modes of behavior these models could generate, and the recommendations based
on these simulation studies. Since 1972, the field of modelling and simulation has evolved
though. Today it would be easier to deal with criticisms of old. Useful developments in the field
of modelling and simulation in that respect are among else the move towards modelling at a
lower level of aggregation, the possibility to include alternative perspectives and assumptions
and simulate under deep uncertainty, the automated identification and selection of sets of
maximally diverse scenarios, and the geo-spatial animation of simulation runs. Together these
developments enable one to generate and identify the most diverse sets of plausible scenarios.
If done well, model-generated sets of scenarios enhance one’s “capacity to imagine futures that
are not based on hidden, unexamined […] assumptions about present and past systems” (WSSR,
2013: 8). The combination of narratives and geo-spatial animations based on these scenarios
allows for visually enhanced storytelling. In this presentation, state-of-the-art modelling and
simulation as well as animation techniques will be used to tell visually enhanced stories about
the effects of alternative knowledge systems on sustainable development, which will be shown
to help in facilitating mind shifts for sustainability transformations.
Contributed session oral presentation:
All Systems Go! Developing a Generation of “Systems-Smart” Kids
Linda Booth Sweeney
Balaton Group, Concord, United States
Much of Western education has remained focused on discrete disciplines—for example, math,
science, and English. Science is taught in one class. The bell rings. The student moves on to
math and then perhaps to English, and never the twain shall meet. Such a fragmented approach
reinforces the notion that knowledge is made up of many unrelated parts, leaving students welltrained to cope with obstacles or technical-based problems but less prepared to explore and
understand complex systems issues. In this age of the Anthropocene, how can education—
whether in school, on a farm, in a lab, or at the kitchen table—enable the next generations to
live sustainably and navigate the radical changes they are inheriting? We don’t a specialized
degree to answer this question. Common sense tells us that to understand human impact on
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Earth’s systems we need to understand systems. The question becomes: how can young people
develop systems-based skills and “habits of mind”? How can they look for recurring patterns of
relationships across subjects and situations; making systems visible through maps and models,;
anticipating how the functioning of a living system will change if a part or a process is changed,
assuming that nothing stands in isolation; and looking for causes and consequences in a slew of
interconnected systems, including families, schools, local economies, the environment, and
more? The good news is that systems education is happening in schools, nature centers,
community meeting rooms, board rooms, and even on playgrounds. In this session we’ll
investigate the emerging state of systems education including the new face of earth systems
science, the rise of Education for Sustainability, pioneering systems-based curricula, the teacher
as systems thinker, innovative out-of-school learning and application opportunities, and the
growing demand for corporate and non-profit “systems leadership.”
Monday, 21 August - Room 32 (30) - 11:30 - 13:00
Resilience Praxis - engaging academics and development practitioners in
the co-creation of resilience frameworks and guidelines for development
practice.
Contributed session - Social-ecological transformations for sustainability
Chair/s: Cynthia Neudoerffer, Michael Salomons
While resilience as a general concept has been widely embraced by the international
development community, few practical end-to-end frameworks exist to guide the integration of
resilience into the assessment, design, implementation, and M&E of development projects at a
practical level. In many cases, business-as-usual development is simply re-labelled as 'building
resilience' and resilience is reduced to simply 'bouncing back from shocks'. However, for many
vulnerable communities around the world, mired in mal-adaptive systems and caught up in
endless cycles of a poverty trap, resilience needs to embody sustainable transformations to new
paths of abundance. This session will bring together resilience theorists with development
practitioners to first present several resilience frameworks and then engage in hands-on small
groups to discuss these frameworks, with the objective to critique, refine, and translate into a
concrete set of guidelines for development practitioners to use in the field.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Resilience Praxis - a framework for development practice
Cynthia Neudoerffer
Canadian Foodgrains Bank, Winnipeg, Canada
Resilience as a general concept has been widely embraced by the international development
community. While the importance of the concept of resilience is not questioned, we have had
significant pushback from our development colleagues in trying to apply resilience in a
development context. This is partly because of the phenomenon of new ideas gathering interest
and excitement amongst development practitioners and theorists and supplanting older but
equally valid and important ideas; and partly because of concerns that in some cases standard
development practice is simply re-labelled as ‘resilience building’ without engaging with the
importance and value of resilience as a complex systems attribute; and partly because few
practical end-to-end frameworks exist to guide the integration of resilience into development
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
practice. In this session we will be presenting our framework for how we are working to
integrate resilience into our development work. The overall work and mandate of the Canadian
Foodgrains Bank is focused on strengthening food security amongst vulnerable populations,
through food assistance, nutrition, and agricultural and livelihoods programming. Our
framework is based on an understanding that this food security needs to be based not only on
resilient foodscapes, but also foodscapes that are productive, sustainable, and equitable. To
assist with achieving these objectives, we start with a systems assessment of the local foodscape
which focuses on these four areas. This assessment is critical to determining when and where it
is most appropriate to focus on immediate coping, or to focus more on adaptation or
transformation of the local foodscape. In most cases, projects integrate elements of at least two,
for example, a multi-year project might use developmental food assistance to help communities
cope with immediate food insecurity needs, but integrated with sustainable resource
management and agricultural innovation activities to help communities adapt to climatic
challenges, such as drought. We will illustrate the framework with several examples drawn from
our portfolio of funded projects.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Challenging the development intervention paradigm in Paraguay through a
resilience approach – utopia or feasible?
Robin Dirks
GIZ (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit) Paraguay - Cooperación Alemana,
Asunción, Paraguay
Blekinge Institute of Technology (BTH), Karlskrona, Sweden
First development interventions in Paraguay date back almost 50 years. The country is still
amongst the least developed countries of South-America with one of the highest rates of wealthinequality. On the countryside there are poverty rates of up to 50%. Major problems of rural
farming systems are soil degradation and a lacking access to public services, information and
technical expertise, leading to food insecurity and migration. Previous development
interventions introducing practices of Conservation Agriculture to increase production and
income achieved decent results, but adoption rates dropped after the project finished. Little
long-term impact is a common challenge of development interventions. With a new approach
the GIZ in Paraguay addresses lessons learnt. Major guiding questions of the project are: What
measures support a change of the development intervention paradigm from a charity-based,
centralized top-down approach toward collaborative, co-creative, decentralized forms of
organization? How can personal resilience be strengthened? What metrics are pertinent and
salient to measure impact? The project works on four lines of action, intervening in fifteen of
the poorest rural districts: 1.) Institutional cooperation (communication and learning) 2.) Public
and private services (quality and access) 3.) Agricultural insurances (capacity building, strategy
development) 4.) Income diversification (improvement of education quality and access)
Personal resilience is defined as the ability to cope with and learn from adverse situations to
advance strengthened. The goal is to provide an environment that promotes the capacities of
related stakeholders to absorb, adapt and transform in the face of adversity and to learn from it
to improve proper wellbeing. Building on experiences up till now, we will propose five key
principles to a resilience approach beyond “business as usual”.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Resilience Practice, Research and Learning in Complex Developing
Environments: The Dynamic Resilience Wheel (DReW)
Angelica V Ospina 1, Garrett Schiche 2
1
Senior Researcher, Resilience Program, International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD),
Ottawa, Canada
2
Director of Program Quality, Lutheran World Relief (LWR), Baltimore, United States
Despite a growing number of resilience initiatives and research, there is still a tangible gap
between resilience theory/conceptualization and development practice in the Anthropocene.
This gap often translates into a weak or superficial integration of resilience principles in
development initiatives, and into a poor understanding of the human-environmental interactions
that take place in complex developing environments. The need for innovative trans-disciplinary
approaches for understanding complex systems dynamics is particularly pressing for NGOs
working in resilience building initiatives in Africa, Asia and Latin America. Yet, little attention
has been paid to creative approaches and methods implemented by development practitioners
to address sustainability challenges, to engage local partners in the co-creation of knowledge,
and to explore opportunities to achieve resilience outcomes. This presentation will examine the
Dynamic Resilience Wheel (DReW), a novel method and online tool designed for development
practitioners to explore, experiment and learn from different combinations of ‘resilience
components’ across multiple dynamic layers, in order to strengthen resilience programming.
Based on academic research on resilience theory and through participatory methods, the DReW
provides practitioners with a new perspective for addressing key resilience questions, deepening
the understanding of social-ecological interactions, and strengthening the capacities needed for
resilience building in vulnerable contexts (https://lwr.org/what-we-do/resilience/wheel). A pilot
of the DReW was implemented by Lutheran World Relief, an international NGO, in a transboundary resilience project in Nepal/India, suggesting that understanding the key components
of resilience thinking can help project stakeholders engage more deeply in processes of
reflection and learning, while integrating local knowledge in the analysis of resilience data. This
involves ensuring a robust understanding of the concept of resilience, of socio-ecological
feedbacks and interactions, and of the way in which they translate into development practice.
Further lessons, opportunities and limitations of this approach will be explored from a research
and a practitioner’s perspective.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Re-learning Resilience
Jonathan Stone 1, Joshua Smith 1, Oenone Chadburn 1, Idzai Murimba 1, Stanley Hanya 2, Dora
Piscoi 1
1
2
Tearfund, London, United Kingdom
Evangelical Fellowship Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Most NGOs, ours included, have adopted a rhetoric of resilience-building, however the reality
suggests often that interventions result in incremental adaptations at best, and at worst reinforce
cultures of dependency. There is thus a chasm between the ideas of ‘transformation’ and
‘learning’ often associated with resilience and the reality that many ‘resilience’ programmes are
business as usual, re-labeled. NGOs have learnt to be very effective at this, accessing and
winning grants in this way and even generating stories of transformational change. This can be
conceptualised as a single loop of learning (reacting), which returns to the standard practice,
resulting in change that can not keep pace with the shocks and stresses faced by the poor. Many
advocate for a reframing of interventions (second loop of learning), and our analysis suggests
that exploring issues of risk, uncertainty or change, provides a good stimulus for this. Various
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
tools exist for exploring these at different scales, but a critical review of them suggests that they
often do not create spaces for learning, thought to be essential for resilience. We will present
evidence of pilot projects that attempt to move from reaction to reframing through participatory
workshops that created spaces for communities to identify and address issues that they prioritise
and resource. The results were communal solutions to address vulnerabilities and their
underlying drivers. However embedding this reframing as a new form of programming requires
a third loop of learning (re-learning), where change is created through continuous learning,
action and reflection. Through interviews and observation we have identified that a barrier to
the third loop is a culture where critical reflection is often absent, which limits reflective and
reflexive learning. This presentation intends to stimulate critical reflection, describing the
reality of the challenges faced by NGOs wanting to take part in resilience building processes.
Contributed session oral presentation:
ESPA Insights into Resilience and Wellbeing: Research Frontiers for Sustainable
Development
Tomas Chaigneau 1, Katrina Brown 1, Sarah Coulthard 2, Tim Daw 3, Björn Schulte-Herbrüggen 3
1
College of Life and Environmental Sciences University of Exeter, FALMOUTH, United Kingdom
Northumbria University, Newcastle, United Kingdom
3
Stockholm Resilience Centre Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
2
The concepts of wellbeing and resilience are centre stage in debates on how to achieve
sustainable development alongside the eradication of poverty, and have both been touted as
‘new development paradigms’. We seek to identify they have been applied in recent research
on ecosystem services and poverty reduction, how they might relate to each other and how they
inform contemporary development. The Ecosystem Services for Poverty Alleviation
programme (ESPA), a joint programme of UK’s NERC, ESRC and DFID has funded
international interdisciplinary research over the last decade, which seeks to promote the
sustainable use of ecosystems in a way that contributes to poverty alleviation and to inclusive
and sustainable growth. As the programme comes to a close we utilise and review this large
body of research from more than 100 collaborative projects that advances knowledge on
ecosystem services and their relationship with poverty. Through a combined synthesis of ESPA
science, which focuses on the wellbeing-resilience contribution of key findings and learning,
we seek to answer core questions which guide resilience thinking and are a critical dilemma for
current development policy: How can resilience building strategies affect well-being and of
whom? What are the trade-offs between resilience and well-being approaches? Our research
addresses the criticism that resilience thinking should take greater account of how adaptation
strategies, which can build greater resilience, affect wellbeing outcomes, recognizing the tradeoffs and decision-making that are involved in negotiating different pathways. Similarly,
wellbeing needs the dynamic element that resilience provides as most wellbeing and poverty
analyses describe the conditions of being poor rather than the consequences of change and how
or why the conditions exist. ESPA science can inform the dynamics of sustainability. We argue
that the interplay between wellbeing and resilience can offer opportunities for informing
sustainable development in the face of global unprecedented changes.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Governing ecosystem services for building resilience in food security
Arlène ALPHA 1, Abigaïl FALLOT 2, Sandrine DURY 3, Denis GAUTIER 4, François
BOUSQUET 2
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
1
Cirad, UMR Moisa, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
Cirad, UR Green, Montpellier, France
3
Cirad, UMR Moisa, Montpellier, France
4
Cirad, UR F&S, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
2
Food is a very basic human need which can’t be met without nature and the ecosystem services
it provides. In West Africa, a large part of the population is chronically food insecure and
affected by recurrent crises while natural resources are under pressure. Strengthening resilience
of food insecure people, villages or countries has then become the watchword of donors and
policymakers involved in the food security field. The Global Alliance for Resilience (AGIR) in
Sahel and West Africa launched in 2012 has led to many projects aiming at better linking
emergency and development, and to many works focusing on the analysis and the measurement
of resilience so as to assess the results of projects. Resilience indicators tend to emphasize
endowments ("capitals") and their respective evolutions, while resilience-thinking would
highlight how this dynamic interconnect. In this communication, we aim to go beyond the
framework of development projects and debates on resilience metrics, to discuss how people in
West Africa use natural resources for their food and nutrition security in face of diverse shocks
and long term constraints. What strategies are adopted at individual, household and collective
level to build a socio-environmental context that maintains or increases the capacity of natural
resources to contribute to food and nutrition security? How multi-levels governance on access
and use of natural resources and the power relationships affect these strategies? Burkina Faso
is our field to study the evolution of farm households’ strategies over the medium and long term,
and how particular events in governance have affected these trajectories. We highlight the key
role of natural vegetation, fallows and parklands in food and nutrition security as well as how
learning processes serve to build strategies aiming at preserving this role.
Monday, 21 August - Room 21 (30) - 11:30 - 13:00
Using big data to understand marine social-ecological systems: challenges,
opportunities, and frontiers
Contributed session - Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological
system dynamics
Chair/s: Elena Finkbeiner, Stephanie Green
When combined with specific criteria for action, data science products – characterized by
increased data volume and variety, and the velocity at which it is acquired –can help us
understand key drivers of change and enable managers to better understand human-environment
dynamics and make decisions. Yet applying data science to marine social-ecological systems has
received relatively less attention compared with terrestrial systems to date. By bringing together
a diverse group of leaders to discuss their perspectives and visions for the future of data science
in an ocean context, this symposium seeks to advance our knowledge around leveraging big data
to manage marine social-ecological systems. The session has been coordinated by the chairs,
Angee Doerr and Lisa Wedding.
Contributed session oral presentation:
The role of the SESMAD project in the analysis of marine social-ecological
systems
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Michael Cox
Dartmouth College, Hanover, United States
The subject of this talk will be the role of the SESMAD project in the analysis of marine socialecological systems. The SESMAD (Social-Ecological Systems Meta-Analysis Database)
project was developed to facilitate consistent data collection across diverse social and ecological
contexts. At the core of this project is a flexible, relational database that stores information
regarding the key variables to be analyzed, the values that are measured for these variables in
specific systems, and the theories that the analyses of the resulting data are aimed to test. In this
talk the structure of the database and its online interface (sesmad.dartmouth.edu) will be
discussed, as will its applicability to the analysis of social-ecological systems in general and
marine systems in particular. Additionally, lessons learned from this project will be used to
examine its relationship to the theme of “big data” utilization for the analysis of marine socialecological systems. This talk is intended to be part of a panel on this topic, entitled “Using big
data to understand marine social-ecological systems: challenges, opportunities, and frontiers.”
Specific questions that will be discussed include: (1) how can we capture enough complexity in
our representations of each social-ecological system while ensuring that these representations
are comparable; (2) do “big data” approaches systematically favor the measurement and
analysis of some types of variables over others; and (3) what are the most effective social and
technological infrastructures for a highly comparative approach to research on marine system
governance?
Contributed session oral presentation:
The global information system on small-scale fisheries: A crowdsourced and
transdisciplinary knowledge platform
Ratana Chuenpagdee 1, Maricela de la Torre Castro 2
1
2
Memorial University, St. John's, Canada
Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Information about small-scale fisheries (SSF) is often scarce and scattered. This is partly due to
insufficient attention on this sector, whose contribution to society is often assumed to be
negligible. It also results from SSF being highly diverse, with complex patterns of harvest and
post-harvest activities, taking place in a wide range of aquatic environments, and often in remote
areas. Existing fisheries information systems fail to capture the characteristics and essence of
SSF, resulting in a lack of integrated and up-to-date data that further marginalizes the sector in
policymaking and governance. To help rectify the situation and embracing a transdisciplinary
perspective, the Too Big To Ignore project developed the Information System on Small-scale
Fisheries (ISSF), a Web-based, open data portal collecting and disseminating knowledge on
various aspects of SSF. This paper describes the conception of ISSF and its key features, and
presents some results extracted from the analysis of ISSF data, illustrating the importance of
such a global database on SSF.
Contributed session oral presentation:
Social-ecological analysis for critical sustainability challenges: some examples and
reflections
Beatrice Crona
Global Economic Dynamics and the Biosphere, Royal Academy of Science, Stockholm, Sweden
Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
As the world becomes increasingly interconnected and sectors become more intertwined,
traditional disciplinary methods for analyzing societal challenges no longer suffice. Instead, we
need analyses that account for both social and environmental components and dynamics
simultaneously. This presentation will use a selection of studies to exemplify how this can be
done, using various types of dataset (from environmental to social and economic), and
addressing different kinds of questions of relevance for SES dynamics at various scales.
Specifically I will use three examples; i) Identification of links between the global financial
sector and Earth System dynamics, ii) Structure and implications of global seafood trade for
sustainability, and iii) Understanding governance outcomes by combining analysis of networks
structures in social and ecological systems. Given the emphasis of ‘Big Data’ on variety and
diversity of data I will briefly explore the role of boundary organizations as key platforms for
facilitating the emergence of the cross-disciplinary/sectoral dialogue necessary for these kinds
of analyses and collaborations, highlighting both challenges and opportunities.
Contributed session oral presentation:
A novel approach to interactions between people and oceanic pelagic organisms
Larry Crowder 1, Sara Maxwell 2
1
2
Center for Ocean Solutions, Stanford University, Monterey, CA 93940, Monterey, United States
Old Dominion University, Norfolk, United States
Dynamic Ocean Management is an emerging approach that recognizes that the marine
ecosystem changes over time in three dimensions and that organisms, including people, respond
to these dynamics. Most management approaches to interactions with pelagic organisms are
static. New modeling approaches allow us to integrate real time data on ocean dynamics with
animal movement data to predict animal movements at a variety of scales and to enhance our
understanding as to what likely drives these movements. Here we show a variety of applications
to reducing bycatch of charismatic megafauna in fisheries and to reduce ship strikes of
cetaceans. Projections can be made in near real time to decades in the future, allowing us to
understand the life-history of ocean pelagics, the potential to mobile marine protected areas,
and the responses to ocean pelagics to climate change. We also present preliminary results of
the California swordfish fishery as a case study to illustrate the approach.
Contributed session oral presentation:
The role of boundary organizations in facilitating the use of big data for ocean
resource management
Lisa Wedding, Angee Doerr
Center for Ocean Solutions, Stanford University, Monterey, United States
Many of the challenges facing the ocean today - climate change, invasive species, fisheries
distribution – are associated with big data. In order to address these challenges, decisionmakers
need relevant big data sets synthesized and distilled in order to make timely and impactful
decisions. The application of big data to ocean issues is growing, with a variety of analytics
now applied to complex questions about marine ecosystem state and resource use. Large, longterm and multidisciplinary datasets provide a historic view and a predictive capacity that allow
policymakers to see a more holistic picture of the state of the ocean and environmental change
over space and time. Growing interest in applying the data revolution to the oceans means that
underutilized data streams and historic databases are now becoming increasingly relevant.
Boundary organizations can play a key role in synthesizing, distilling and translating big data
outputs in order to link the best available science to policy. This presentation will evaluate the
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
role of boundary organizations in the value chain of big data and discuss how such organizations
are uniquely poised to help align users' needs to research questions and data collection. We will
also discuss the challenges and opportunities related to the incorporation of a variety of data
types, from stakeholder knowledge to natural and social scientific knowledge, into large
datasets that ultimately inform policy solutions to complex ocean problems.
Monday, 21 August - Floor 3, LANDING - 13:05 - 13:20
Yoga
Pop-up event
Before settling into your lunch, take 15 minutes to stretch and breathe between long periods of
sitting down and thinking. Get back into your body and rejuvenate your brain! Suitable for
everyone. No special equipment or prior experience needed. Clothing in which you can move
freely recommended. Begins 5 minutes into the lunch break.
With Michelle Dyer
Monday, 21 August - Floor 2 - 13:30 - 13:45
In between Som’ Town
Art session - Guided tour
Rising tensions around migration globally is placing increasing stress on refugees and other
migrants living abroad, as well as the communities they support through remittance. Yet in
between the mid-day shadow of high-rise apartment buildings and the flickering glow of worn
out florescent strip-lights, Somali Town has become a rallying point. An informal sanctuary of
the African diaspora, gathered on the southern tip of a continent. An unexpected home to those
fleeing xenophobia, resource wars, failed states and collapsing ecosystems. Those beginning to
re-establish a new-normal. The mixed media collection of photography and film explores Som’
Town, using food as an entry point for an exploration into memory, migration and resilience
By Luke Metelerkamp, Steve McDonald and Jules Mecer
Monday, 21 August - Room 35/36 (72) - 14:00 - 14:40
Agent-based modelling
Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological system dynamics
Chair/s: Emilie Lindkvist
Speed talk:
Robustness and vulnerability tradeoffs in urban socio-hydrological risk due to the
decision-making priorities of influential actors
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Andres Baeza 1, Marco Janssen 1, Luis Bojorquez 2, Hallie Eakin 1
1
School of Sustainability. Arizona State University, Tempe, United States
Laboratorio Nacional de Ciencias de la Sostenibilidad (LANCIS), Universidad Nacional Autónoma
de México, Mexico City, Mexico
2
As urban environments become larger and more heterogeneous, they also come to be highly
vulnerable to water-related hazards. Investment in mega infrastructure is usually the solution
for reducing socio-hydrological risk. While this investment in hard infrastructure has provided
tremendous benefits, the motivations and the criteria by which authorities decide how and where
to invest limited resources are often obscure and not transparent, making it difficult to assess
how these “hidden” cognitive processes affect the vulnerability and robustness of urban
environments. In this talk we present an agent-based model that simulates a stylized urban
environment composed of neighborhoods suffering from flooding and stressful water supply
conditions. The model is motivated by the Mexico City water management system and its sociohydrological vulnerability. In the model, a water authority agent makes decisions as to where
to invest limited resources to either create new infrastructure or maintain the existing pieces.
These decisions are made by calculating a multi-criteria metric, which is constructed based on
the prioritization of a set of indicators of system performance, including the neighborhoods’
demands. We simulated scenarios representing contrasting managerial perspectives, and we
conducted numerical experiments under similar biophysical and budgetary constraints. Our
results indicate that minimal changes in prioritization can have significant consequences on the
steady state of sustainability indices. We also show that tradeoffs in performance can emerge
under different managers, even under similar biophysical conditions. Finally, we observed that
managers can exacerbate a problem even when they focus on that particular issue. We contrast
these theoretical findings with the insights gained from the empirical finding from Mexico
City’s water governance. We discuss the development of new methods to elucidate the
specifications of the cognitive processes that can mechanistically connect the decisions of
dominating actors with the dynamics of the biophysical environment in complex urban systems.
Speed talk:
Understanding the interactions between land use changes and food-selfsufficiency of a social-ecological system in SW Madagascar - An agent based
modelling approach
Katja Brinkmann 1, Daniel Kübler 2, Susanne Kobbe 3, Ellen Hoffmann 1, Andreas Bürkert 1
1
University of Kassel, Organic Plant Production and Agroecosystems Research in the Tropics and
Subtropics, Witzenhausen, Germany
2
University of Hamburg, Center for Wood Sciences, World Forestry, Hamburg, Germany
3
University of Hamburg, Biocenter Grindel and Zoological Museum, Animal Ecology and
Conservation, Hamburg, Germany
Village communities in southwestern Madagascar are an example for social-ecological systems
that are highly dependent on local resources for people´s daily food supply. The pressure on
natural resources increased drastically over the last decades due to land use changes triggered
by population growth, natural hazards, insufficient agricultural production and low economic
development. An agent based land use model was developed and applied to analyse the
behaviour, land use decisions and activities of individual farm-households of a village
community. Our aims were (i) to simulate the effects of future scenarios on the environment,
household economy and food self-sufficiency (ii), to explore how small-holder farmers can cope
with food insecurity and (iii) to identify hot spots of land use changes in space and time. For
the empirical characterization of entities (landscape, climate and households) and the
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
parametrization of human behaviour an iterative approach was used incorporating the results of
social surveys, participatory role-playing games, high-resolution remote sensing, census data
and field-based validation data. The model allows to simulate multiple scenarios by changing
the global conditions (population dynamics, climate conditions, crop management strategy) in
the user interface. Simulations are performed along discrete time steps for up to 30 years.
Outputs are socio-economic indices such as food self-sufficiency, crop yield, household
income, Gini coefficient and coping strategies, as well as spatio-temporally explicit land-use
and land cover maps. The baseline scenario predicts further expansion of cropland and high
deforestation rates with the fragmentation of remaining forest areas. For the majority of
households the daily calorie intake will become insufficient due to various biotic and abiotic
constraints of agricultural production. Model outcomes indicate that due to climate induced
risks in crop production, enhancing access to off-farm income opportunities would be as
important as improvements in plant production to maintain food security in the long term.
Monday, 21 August - Room 21 (30) - 14:00 - 14:40
Art-science approaches
Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological system dynamics
Chair/s: Diego Galafassi
Speed talk:
SMOG BALLET AND OTHER WORKS: performances co-devised by Homo
Sapiens and the Natural Environment and adjudicated by the general public
Em Piro 1, Santi Perez 2, 3
1
York University, Toronto, Canada
SustainableSanti, Toronto, Canada
3
Center for Sustainable Practice in the Arts (CSPA), Toronto, Canada
2
Just before dawn, from a high-rise on the northern border of a city where eight million are still
sleeping, a russet blanket can be seen gently touching the rooftops. As light breaks, the blanket
begins to rise, stretch, and lift into the blue, dissipating until it is little more than a faint haze.
Twenty minutes, brief and graceful, the skyline releve has concluded. Morning has arrived in
Bogota. Climate Change, generated mostly by human intervention, is changing the natural
patterns of our planet in notable ways. The most recent IPCC report shows irreversible damage:
a point of no return. The scientific community has documented and shared their findings for
over 50 years to the public with little effect over the root causes of the problem. As climate
change progresses, changes in weather and landscape are performed by the natural environment.
These changes manifest in explicit sensory spectacles, many of which are accessible to public
audiences around the world. Like human-made artworks, these nature-engineered opuses bear
an intrinsic, affective impact that reify community through collective experience. Part postcontemporary performance, part scientific scavenger hunt, SMOG BALLET AND OTHER
WORKS documents the anthropogenic impact and the correspondent environmental response
in specific sites around the world where environmental performances of climate change are
made visible through active phenomena. This praxis-based participatory research draws upon
public-space cultural production technique, performance theory, and environmental sciences to
establish a model for crowd-sourced archival processes of the ephemeral performances of
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
climate change. The research gathers empirical and qualitative data by inviting citizen scientistaesthetes worldwide to: track and monitor changes in their own environments; document
environmental performances of climate change; record embodied experiences of environmental
transformation and solastalgia.
Speed talk:
Undressing sustainable planning - could artistic methods of interdisciplinary
think tanks shape the future of the Royal Sea Port?
Holly Keassey, Stella d'Ailly
Mossutställningar, Stockholm, Sweden
Undressing sustainable planning - could artistic methods of interdisciplinary think tanks shape
the future of the Royal Sea Port? It is accepted that there are benefits to arts and science working
together. Yet, the modes of working are often far from models of being interdisciplinary or
transdisciplinary, with examples confined to the current normalising understandings of art as an
illustrative tool. That said, there are areas challenging this reduction of art as a tool and/or
consumable product including artistic practice as a legitimate form of research production
within academia and social sculpture as an active method for establishing socio-ecological
change. Mossutställningar have developed an eighteen month programme to investigate how
these two areas of artistic practice can work interdisciplinary, with other disciplines working
with socio-ecological agendas, to develop a transdisciplinary working method for the future.
This programme takes the development of Stockholm’s Royal Seaport as its focal point to form
an interdisciplinary agenda that aims to produce concrete recommendations for how this
development can be interrogated further in order to devise incorporated resilience thinking that
continues beyond its completed construction. Our paper includes introductions to ‘What is
Artistic Research?’ and ‘What methodologies does social-sculpture perform?’ with a
maintained focus on collaborations within the field of science; our use of biosphere systems to
develop a programme framework that assists interdisciplinary working methods; an overview
of how this is being applied to a critical focus on the Royal Seaport; and why enabling socioecological stewardship of the Royal Seaport is essential as it becomes a flagship model of
sustainable planning. We consider our focus on the development of the Royal Sea Port as an
opportunity to expand the current model of sustainable planning to include a transdisciplinary
working method with a socio-ecological agenda – and our intention is to performatively
establish what such a working method will be by letting it develop during the programme itself.
Speed talk:
Realising Potentials: Art-based methods in social-ecological transformations
Maria Heras 1, Diego Galafassi 2, Elisa Oteros-Rozas 3, Federica Ravera 5, 6, Isabel Ruiz-Mallén 4,
Luis Berraquero 3
1
Institute of Environmental Science and Technology (ICTA), Autonomous University of Barcelona
(UAB), Cerdanyola del Vallés, Spain
2
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
3
Universidad Pablo de Olavide, CEI Cambio, Sevilla, Spain
4
Internet Interdisciplinary Institute (IN3), Universitat Oberta de Catalunya (UOC), Barcelona, Spain
5
Instituto de Ciências Agrárias e Ambientais Mediterrânicas (ICAAM), Évora, Portugal
6
CREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallés, Spain
In recent years the potential and possible contributions of art-based methods for engaging with
social-ecological complexity have been highlighted, in particular in areas related to action
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
research, inquiry-based learning, participatory governance and knowledge integration. Despite
repeated calls within the resilience community (Ecology and Society special issue) and the
sustainability sciences community at large (World Social Science Report) for a broader and
deeper engagement of the arts, insights on concrete experiences and evaluation of outcomes and
processes remain sparse. In this context, we conducted a three days encounter in Barcelona in
2016, attended by an international group of 52 sustainability scientists, artists and art-based
methods practitioners to explore the frontiers of social-ecological transformations and art-based
approaches from the fields of performing arts (dance, theatre, performance), visual arts (film,
painting, photography), narrative (poetry, storytelling, creative writing). Participants were
invited to share and experience various methods from across disciplines. During the workshop,
we co-explored and discovered the potential that art-based approaches bring to resilience and
social-ecological transformations research and vice-versa, and also the types of questions that
transformations open to the various arts-based practices. Based on in-depth observation,
interviews and a post-workshop survey, this paper and the complementary visual documentary,
synthesizes key insights and discusses the relevance and adequacy of these transdisciplinary
practices in sustainability science. We link these insights to questions of agency, creativity and
innovation in social-ecological transformations. We conclude with future questions and an
invitation to join this emerging community of practice.
Monday, 21 August - Room 34 (30) - 14:00 - 14:40
Assessing and promoting change in Social-Ecological Systems
Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological system dynamics
Chair/s: Jon Norberg
Speed talk:
Complex adaptive systems – A framework for understanding drivers of change
and adaptation in agricultural systems in coastal deltas of Vietnam
Minh Tu Nguyen, Fabrice Renaud, Zita Sebesvari
United Nations University-Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn, Germany
The Mekong and Red River deltas in Vietnam are characterized by a large diversity of
agricultural landscapes that are shaped by the dynamic interplay between natural processes and
anthropogenic activities. Agricultural production in these deltas plays a crucial role in the
national economy since the two deltas contribute with 71% to rice, 86% to farmed aquaculture
and with 65% to the national fruit production of Vietnam. In the coastal areas of these deltas,
saline intrusion – which is partly induced by sea level rise - is a major threat to agricultural
production, making these deltas some of the most vulnerable deltas to sea level rise globally. In
order to maintain agricultural production in these deltas, a variety of adaptation measures to
salinity have been implemented, including sea and river dike construction for rice cultivation,
improvement of farming techniques and crop varieties, and shifting land use patterns. These
adaptation measures are influenced by various drivers of change at multiple scales of the deltaic
social-ecological system. The aim of this study is to analyze current and historical drivers of
change and adaptation measures to increased salinity levels in agricultural systems in coastal
areas of these deltas through the lens of complex adaptive systems theory. We based our analysis
on 198 semi-structured interviews and 11 focus group discussions conducted with local farmers
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
along three salinity transects in both deltas in 2015-2016. A historical analysis of drivers of
changes and their interaction and feedback in shaping agricultural systems and adaptation in
these deltas enhances our understanding of the management of complex agricultural systems in
these and similar coastal deltas.
Speed talk:
Change dynamics and resilience of cultural landscapes in rural-urban gradients
Cristina Herrero-Jáuregui 1, Cecilia Arnaiz-Schmitz 2, María Fe Schmitz 1, Simon M Smart 3,
Francisco D Pineda 1, Carlos Montes 2
1
Department of Ecology. Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
Social-Ecological Systems Laboratory, Department of Ecology. Universidad Autónoma de Madrid,
Madrid, Spain
3
Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Lancaster, United Kingdom
2
In the last decades, Spanish cultural landscapes have undergone a bidirectional process of
anthropisation and rural abandonment. We propose a new method adapted from econometric
models to quantify the resilience of different social-ecological systems located in a gradient of
urbanization/deruralization in Central Spain. By measuring the elasticity of the intensity of
landscape transformation as a function of different socio-economic variables, we assess the
capacity of landscapes to buffer socioeconomic changes. We calculate the intensity of landscape
transformation using the modules of the vectors that are the change trajectories of municipalities
in an ordination plane. The first axis of the ordination plane (23.96%) reflects a land use
gradient. The second axis (15.68%) is a gradient of landscape complexity, characterized by
landscape metrics typical of homogeneous landscapes and those of fragmented landscapes. The
intensity and direction of change is different depending on the land use that characterizes each
municipality. Municipalities characterized by large patches of arable lands and urban areas,
change less and the net change is towards homogenization. There are not socioeconomic
variables that explain significantly this change. Municipalities characterized by heterogeneous
landscapes, typical of silvo-pastoral territories, experience a more intense change towards
urbanization and fragmentation. If these socioeconomic indicators surpass certain threshold
values, landscape structure will experiment rapid and critical changes. Our model shows that
silvo-pastoral systems, are more sensible to socioeconomic variation than agricultural
territories. We believe this new method is a valuable tool to quantify resilience in socioecological systems, useful for land use planning and decision making.
Speed talk:
Assessing Resilience of Agricultural System of Dhaka, Bangladesh
Farhana Rashid
KTH Royal Institute of technology, Stockholm, Sweden
Due to rapid urbanization agricultural lands in metropolitan areas are shrinking. As a result our
cities are getting more dependent on distant places for food, which is making the food system
vulnerable. In the context of rapid urbanization and climate change a resilient agricultural
system of Dhaka could be one of the key to ensure a sustainable future. To investigate the impact
of urbanization and climate change on the resilience of the agricultural system of Dhaka a
resilience assessment of agricultural system of Dhaka has been done. The study followed the
resilience assessment wordbook for practitioner as method of assessment. As methods to collect
and analyze data field studies, interview, GIS analysis, policy analysis were conducted. This
study shows that, urbanization is directly responsible for changes in both quality and quantity
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
of the agricultural land of Dhaka whereas climate change does not affect directly. Even with
this rapid urbanization there is still scope to take measures to make agricultural system resilient
by preserving land within Dhaka metropolitan area. Therefore two Strategies have been
proposed. First one is; increasing local food production without administrative reformation and
the second; reducing the future demand by administrative and economic decentralization of
Dhaka. Both of the strategies will require strong political will along with recognition of
importance of agricultural land within the city boundary. Key words: urbanization; resilience;
agricultural land; sustainability; Dhaka; Bangladesh
Speed talk:
Bird stories to tell the social and environmental changes: a comparative approach
in four countries
Chloe Guerbois 1, Emilie Andrieu 3, Eric Garine 4, Anne Sourdril 2, Jean Wencelius 4, Marc
Deconchat 3
1
Sustainability Research Unit, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, South Africa, George, South
Africa
2
Ladyss, CNRS, Nanterrre, France
3
Dynafor, INRA, Castanet tolosan, France
4
LESC,CNRS, Nanterre, France
When people talk about their environment and how it has changed recently, they often refer to
some sets of species seen as indicators of changes. What kind of species is used for this purpose?
What are their commonalities in different environmental contexts? How this knowledge can
help understanding socio-ecological systems dynamics? To tackle these questions, the ANR
PIAF project compared free-lists collected from informants (experts and non-experts) sampled
along a gradient of anthropisation including protected-rural and urban areas in four countries
(Cameroon, France, USA, and Zimbabwe). Free-lists of birds, i.e. lists of birds spontaneously
cited by informants, were analysed based on the life-history traits of the mentioned species. The
analyses reveal common patterns across the different countries as to the type of birds cited,
though they also relate to the social attributes of the informants. These patterns provide us with
useful information about which groups of bird species should be used to monitor environmental
changes as perceived by local people. The combination of free-listing with ecological life-traits
database is a very promising method, both to link scientific and indigenous, and sociological
and ecological understanding of ecosystem transformations. Through this project we aim to
better understand local ecological knowledge and use this to generate a way to engage people
in ecological transitions.
Speed talk:
Action or research? Understanding how to better shape community resilience to
climate change in practice
Esther Carmen, Ioan Fazey, Jennifer Williams
University of Dundee, Centre for Environmental Change and Human Resilience, Dundee, United
Kingdom
In the face of the multiple challenges directly and indirectly linked to climate change, it is
essential that we work together to shape process to make change happen in different contexts.
In this presentation we present the concept, approach, outcomes and lessons from a project in
Scotland orientated towards action and learning about community resilience to climate change.
This highly engaging multi-stakeholder project was conceptualized to take an integrated,
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
holistic approach that recognizes the interdependence between human systems and the
environment and used participatory methods and tools. The project primarily focused on
shaping action in three communities, around which opportunities for the elicitation and capture
of knowledge and data were created. The project was coordinated by a trans-disciplinary team
and a project officer who was locally embedded for the duration of the project. Through a series
of community workshops the differentiated nature of climate shocks and stresses were first
explored, from which collaborative actions were developed. Research findings include
understanding of the dynamics of community resilience to climate change through the lens of
climate disadvantage and identifying changes in the national policy environment for greater
integration and synergy to help better shape decision making, action and outcomes for
community resilience to climate change. Action orientated outcomes that emerged included
funding and feasibility studies (tangible outcomes), learning outcomes for participants that
related to new skills and knowledge. In addition capacity for collaboration and taking joined up
approaches increased to help shape longer term actions. For example, there was an increase in
engagement and scope of an engineered flood protection scheme, new community groups were
established and relationships between communities and organizations strengthened. Critically,
focusing on action led to learning about key factors that may help accelerate change in future
processes aimed at enhancing community resilience to climate change.
Monday, 21 August - C4 (125) - 14:00 - 14:40
Novel concepts, fields and methods
Approaches and methods for understanding social-ecological system dynamics
Chair/s: Sarah Cornell
Speed talk:
Systematic reviews and maps as novel methodologies for understanding socialecological systems
Neal Haddaway, Biljana Macura
Mistra Council for Evidence-based Environmental Management (EviEM) Stockholm Environment
Institute Box 24218 104 51 Stockholm Sweden, Stockholm, Sweden
Systematic reviews are reflective, secondary research methods for summarising existing
evidence on a specific topic. Systematic review methods were first established in the 1990s in
the field of medicine, where they have since become ‘gold standards’ for synthesising evidence.
Systematic reviews are conducted in order to inform research, policy and practice across a
variety of scientific fields; from medicine and international development to biodiversity and
human-environmental interactions. In environmental sciences, the Collaboration for
Environmental Evidence (CEE) coordinates systematic reviews, produces guidance, and
publishes systematic reviews and maps, ensuring the reviews are undertaken to the highest
standards possible. Related to systematic reviews, systematic mapping is a novel approach that
is becoming increasingly popular for summarising evidence bases. Whilst systematic reviews
aim to answer questions relating to the effectiveness of an intervention or the effects of an
impact, systematic maps aim to describe the nature of the evidence base in a searchable
database, highlighting knowledge clusters, knowledge gaps and patterns in research methods.
The methods possess several major characteristics, including: 1) carefully planned protocols,
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
produced following stakeholder engagement, that outline the intended methods for the review,
2) comprehensiveness searches for academic and grey literature from a variety of sources, 3)
careful screening of all identified articles according to predetermined inclusion criteria, 4)
detailed assessment of the quality and generalisability of each study, 5) well-documented
synthesis of the evidence base, 6) transparent reporting of the review results with extensive
supplementary information, and 7) summary of the review project using a variety of media
tailored to stakeholders needs. Systematic reviews and maps are ideal methods for collating
growing evidence of human-environmental interactions to better understand complex socialecological systems, address sustainability questions or support research and policy decisionmaking in the Anthropocene.
Speed talk:
Organisational studies and the Anthropocene: developing conceptual
underpinnings
Jan Bebbington
University of St Andrews, Scotland, St Andrews, United Kingdom
As planetary scale human impacts intensify, it has been suggested that we are living in the
Anthropocene: an epoch where human actions drive earth systems processes to the detriment of
human and non-human populations. The nature and impact of organisations in this context has
been relatively under developed in sustainability science. At the same time, the idea of the
Anthropocene has only recently been noticed by organisational scholars and has yet to make a
significant impact on their scholarship. Having noted these two points, this paper seeks to
explore three interrelated arenas with the overall aim of interrogating how organisational studies
can contribute to understanding the Anthropocene. The three aspects considered are: (1)
outlining the current ways organisations are theorised within the discipline of organisational
studies so that sustainability scientists might better appreciate how organisational studies
conceptualise entities that have a role in shaping the Anthropocene; (2) identifying theoretical
tools that might enable scholars in organisational studies and sustainability science to better
understanding each other and thereby create a spark point for intellectual interaction; and (3)
synthesis how research institutions (themselves organisations) can foster research that is fit for
the Anthropocene (drawing from a series of explorations of how universities and an
interdisciplinary research organisation conceptualise and foster sustainability science
expertise). This paper, therefore, seeks to contribute both intellectual and practice based insights
into how organisational studies (in concert with sustainability science) might tackle the
challenges offered by living in the Anthropocene.
Monday, 21 August - Room 24/25 (70) - 14:00 - 14:40
Economy, trade and resilience
Cross-cutting perspectives on resilience
Chair/s: Gustav Engström
Speed talk:
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Innovations within the financial sector to support and finance biodiversity
conservation and ecosystem services
Thomas Hahn 1, Ami Golland 2
1
2
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Stockholm, Sweden
Promoting the Green economy and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) requires a new
role for the financial sector, aligning their incentives with sustainability. Public goods are, in
economic theory, under-supplied by market actors because it is difficult to reap the benefits
privately. Governments are therefore often expected to finance public goods. Still, there is
currently a strong emphasis in international policy-making to enrol the private sector in
biodiversity conservation, e.g. within the Convention on Biological Diversity. Compared to
government investments and subsidies, private investments focus on financial returns and may
therefore, the argument goes, prioritise efficiency and accountability. The challenge is then to
identify cash flows which can be reaped by the private investors while at the same time public
goods are produced. Examples of cash flows include provisioning ecosystem services, ecotourism, and some regulating services which are commodified by payment schemes (e.g. PES,
REDD). In this paper we use interviews, process tracing, case-studies and theories of
institutional change to analyse innovative approaches in the financial sector. A critical issue
concerns risks when the cash flows do not materialise. Several SDGs would be violated if local
communities would carry this risk. We analyse to what extent i) the institutional design
safeguards transparency and accountability; ii) knowledge systems (local, indigenous and
scientific) promotes productive projects; and iii) network of local communities, NGOs and
investors ensures quality and engagement. Preliminary results suggest that investments in
sustainable agriculture and forestry as well as water and energy systems have potential to
generate cash and large surplus for society (public goods). However, this requires accountability
and engagement across the whole chain of actors from international investors to communities
where the projects are implemented. The financial returns need to be variable, contingent on the
success of the local investments, to incentivise engagement by financial actors.
Speed talk:
Possibilities for a local circular economy - case Karleby, Finland
Markku Anttonen 1, Minna Lammi 1, 2, Steve Evans 2, Ian Bamford 2
1
University of Helsinki, Department of Political and Economic Studies/Consumer Society Research
Centre, Helsinki, Finland
2
Cambridge University, Institute for Manufacturing, Cambridge, United Kingdom
Circular Economy (CE) is defined as a transitional approach to change dominating linear
economic system towards a more sustainable and resilient direction. In recent years, it has gain
political and economic drive as a potential route towards sustainability. However, it seems that
CE focuses mainly on efficiency of industrial production and minimizing waste flows, leaving
other aspects of sustainability to lesser attention. Pragmatic studies on CE, bringing community
and industry participants together in a local community setting, are few. Thus, this study
increases our understanding of the potential and limitations of CE in this context. The study is
exploratory, and it aims to deepen our understanding of a) whether it is possible to create a
shared view of a circular economy that includes all aspects of sustainability in a local context,
b) an appreciative manner that facilitates varied and contesting perspectives of different
stakeholders Case study takes place in Karleby region in Finland, which has a strong industrial,
commercial past and present. Its economic structure consist of chemicals industry, metals
working, and electric appliances recycling among others. We will organize a collaborative
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
facilitation process with multiple stakeholders March 2017, using Cambridge value tools. Our
aim is, first, to generate shared, local understanding of possibilities of circularity at local level.
Second, to develop the facilitation tool for multi stakeholder approach, which is more complex
compared to situations with a single organization. We analyze how this participatory process
effects on the perceived future of the community, and its development.
Speed talk:
Mental models as a catalyst for supply chain transformation for sustainability
Angela Guerrero 1, 2, Duan Biggs 1, 3, Malika Virah-Sawmy 2, Natalie Jones 1, Helen Ross 1
1
The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
Luc Hoffmann Institute, Gland, Switzerland
3
Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia
2
Global relationships of demand, supply and trade of international commodities increasingly
present a challenge for the conservation of threatened ecosystems. These dynamics cross sectors
and scales. Food supply chains connect consumers to distant ecosystems where commodities
are produced, traded and exported for the production of products in other industry sectors. Such
is the case of soybeans. While soybean oil is the second most consumed oil in the world, around
75% of soybean production is used for animal feed. Thus changes in demand for meat products
in places like Europe or China can have serious environmental as well as social impacts on
source countries such as Brazil. Production of soy is overtaking huge areas in fragile ecosystems
such as the Brazilian Cerrado, The Amazon, The Chaco and the Atlantic Forests of South
America. Biodiversity impact is thus effectively exported via international trade in food
commodities. However there is lack of transparency around flows of commodities and the roles
of different actors, and there is a lack of understanding on barriers to sustainable production and
trade. This talk will introduce the use of mental models on supply chain actors as a new method
to work on supply chain governance given the cross-scale nature of supply chain impacts and
the cross-scale actor engagement that is needed to address impacts within supply chains. It will
include a brief overview of a project using mental models currently being carried out by the Luc
Hoffmann Institute in collaboration with several WWF offices, academic and research
institutions including The University of Queensland, the Stockholm Environment Institute, and
the World Conservation Monitoring Centre. The project aims to improve communication and
shared responsibilities within the soy supply chain via the sharing of mental models. I will
present the use of mental models as catalyst for supply chain transformation.
Speed talk:
Financial Risk Assessment as a Necessary Condition for Achieving a Resilience
Transition
Robert Buhr
Societe Generale and Green Planet Consulting Limited, London, London, United Kingdom
There has been increasing discussion of how to finance the forthcoming “energy
transformation.” This discussion should entail a broader initiative to identify and remove the
economic and financial impediments to a more economically resilient society. Managing such
a transition will be a large and complicated process, and will not easily occur without identifying
these impediments. This process requires a more granulated assessment of risks than is currently
employed in economic and political discourse. Broad generalizations about the negative impacts
of climate change are not particularly useful to financial analysts because they are not
sufficiently granulated and do not provide sufficient guidance about specific risks that need to
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
be assessed and mitigated in financial modeling. This is particularly true for investors, where
these risks are recognized, but generally not incorporated in standard financial analysis
underlying investment management. This is a critical need, especially since investors are in
large part expected to be financing this transition. For example, current asset valuations
underlying potential transitions of regional economies and financial systems are based on a
range of specific assumptions. However, these assumptions do not necessarily reflect either the
increasingly broad range of risks currently arising both regionally and globally, or the likelihood
that these risks are likely to increase more rapidly than expected even a decade ago. We believe
that there are several domains that have the potential for significant disruption of current
assumptions regarding financial risks. These include (1) regulatory risks, (2) carbon pricing
risk, (3) Adaptation risk, (4) Increased likelihood of event risks, (5) Resource depletion risk, (6)
Global warming impacts on natural resources such as forests and fisheries, and (7) Subsidy risk.
Identifying and incorporating these risks into current financial and economic models would go
some distance to furthering a more resilient global society.
Speed talk:
Steering sustainability in dual-purpose poultry production
Katharina Diehl 1, Shadi K. Hamadeh 2, Bettina König 3
1
Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung (ZALF) e.V., Muencheberg, Germany
Environment and Sustainable Development Unit, Faculty of Agriculture and Food Sciences,
American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
3
Albrecht Daniel Thaer-Institut für Agrar- und Gartenbauwissenschaften, Humboldt Universität zu
Berlin, Berlin, Germany
2
Dual-purpose breeds in poultry production have gained attention in Germany as an alternative
to intensive farming practices. Initiatives supported by producers and marketing organisations
aim to reduce the detrimental effects of large flocks in high-input systems on the environment
by implementing small-scale, low-input farming systems. A transformation to a sustainable
agro-ecosystem in poultry farming is, however, challenged by disappearing supply chain
infrastructure for small-scale farming, such as veterinary supplies or slaughtering and
processing of products. High lock-in effects of production processes and limited knowledge of
the potentials and impact on the side of the actors hinder predictable out-of-niche development.
The aim of this study was to analyse the potential of dual-purpose breeds at the example of one
initiative in Germany. We particularly focused on contextual factors supporting or hindering
scale-up in the number of farms and sustenance of poultry products in the market. In cooperation
with the Naturland Marketing, we developed a tool for visualizing and evaluating sustainability
criteria for an improved definition of suitable business development strategies. The tool was
tested with actors along the value chain. In a second step, transferability of the tool was tested
in Lebanon under different socio-economic and environmental conditions (national and sectoral
strategies, drought). The results were used to discuss the monetary and non-monetary values of
the alternative production system along the value chain. Supporting factors included
cooperation structures in farmer-trader relationships as well as strategies in distribution, market
sales and trade. We further discuss how criteria systems for sustainability analyses have to be
adapted to the actors’ priorities for continuous risk assessment and estimations of market
development. Much emphasis was laid on the provision of local added value as well as closed
circular systems. The tool supported reflection and learning within an emerging agro-ecological
innovation system aiming for resilient farming practices.
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Speed talk:
The case of Sarafu-credits - how a community currency can contribute to
resilience of livelihood in informal settlements
Hannes Anagrius
Stockholm University, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
My thesis examines a community currency (CC) initiated by Grassroots Economics (GE) for
poor small-scale traders in informal settlements in Kenya, using vouchers only accepted within
networks of members. Their method allows no-interest loans to be circulated among neighbors
without using poor people’s savings. It is a locally based self-governed unification to support
resilience of livelihood, by creating liquidity where access to money is scarce and to improve
trust, social contacts and local ecosystem services. Elected representatives for the networks
administrate and convenes member meetings and community activities, where the latter suppose
to engage more residents. GE provides the set of rules CC-trading and community activities rely
on. The networks are partly self-financed through making use of local resources, but GE also
attracts external funds from NGO:s and tries to build cross-levels partnerships. Out of
qualitative interviews my results suggests that different capitals which constitute resilient
livelihood are enhanced by the CC – financial capital through improved savings and trade
partners, social capital through creation of trust and contacts and natural capital by engaging
members in community activities as trash collection, tree planting and food gardening.
Synergies exists between the capitals as CC-membership-fees help finance activities and goes
back in circulation, while trust and contacts creates the primary social motivation to engage in
community activities to build natural capital. Challenges include new members joining to get
grants instead of empower themselves and communication problems due to illiteracy and preexisting power relations. The policy is an innovative alternative to poverty reduction methods
by providing a way of hindering capital outflow and targeting the poorest people, who do not
qualify for microloans. Developing it further offers transformative potential by changing
perspectives of money creation, when no-interest-loans can be backed up by local goods, labour
and natural capital, without involving banks.
Monday, 21 August - Room 33 (30) - 14:00 - 15:30
Resilience, adaptation and mal-adaptation
Cross-cutting perspectives on resilience
Chair/s: María Mancilla Garcia
Speed talk:
Social values in dynamic social-ecological systems: a case study of bushfire in
Victoria, Australia
Andrea Rawluk, Rebecca Ford, Kathryn Williams
1School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Bushfire (wildfire) is a regularly and naturally occurring part of life in Australia, with complex
consequences for social-ecological systems (SES). Disastrous bushfire events are predicted to
increase in the Anthropocene and human populations in some risk landscapes to rise. These
pose significant challenges for SES research and governance including how to identify,
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
understand, and balance what should be considered in natural disaster policy and planning. In
this research we: 1) contribute to deepening the understanding of SES social dimensions by
considering social values; 2) propose and engage a novel, interdisciplinary social values
framework to identify and organize concrete (tangible objects) and abstract (intangible ideas)
with the concepts of valued entities, valued attributes, and core values. Data were collected
through: semi-structured interviews; participatory scenario development; and survey. Our
findings suggest that values can a helpful social lens in SES. First, our framework provides
depth to the social dimension through identifying and organizing values. Five key abstract
values are affected by natural disaster: benevolence and universalism (in two forms, biospheric
and social) (what is protected), and self-direction and security (how things are protected).
Second, interview and survey data show relationships between values that illustrate the
interconnections of social and ecological dimensions; for example, we identify links between
natural places and human experience, and between the productive landscape capacity and
people’s livelihoods and identity. Third, these links could have implications for what to protect
and how. When integrated into creative scenarios, values shaped possible planning directions
and therefore potentially drive system changes. Finally, values can help to predict how people
may respond to system changes and can explain emerging conflicts. Future research could
examine the synergy of values with other social concepts such as collective memory and refine
participatory tools for articulating and integrating values.
Speed talk:
Resilience of smart systems
Dayton Marchese, Frank Holcomb, Igor Linkov
U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Vicksburg,
United States
In response to the recent eruption of advanced technologies such as the internet of things,
autonomous vehicles and intelligent personal assistants, there is a growing effort to integrate
systems in a way that promotes sustainability and enhances quality of life. Smart systems, which
collect, analyze and utilize data in real time are a result of this effort. Unsurprisingly, smart
systems have advanced faster than the ability of developers to evaluate the response of these
systems to disruptive events, thereby increasing system vulnerability. This presentation serves
to discuss the difference in disruption response that exists between independent traditional
systems and connected smart systems. Systems of interest include water/wastewater, energy,
transportation, agriculture and telecommunication systems. Disruption response is evaluated as
resilience, defined as the ability of a system to plan for, absorb, recover from, and adapt to
disturbances. This discussion highlights how smart systems, which connect the multilayer
physical, social and information networks, are more resilient to random disruptions (e.g., natural
disasters) that often impact trivial parts of the network, but less resilient to targeted attacks (e.g.,
cyberattacks) on critical information systems. This disruption response is important to the longterm success of smart systems. Moreover, this investigation into the relationship between
resilience and sustainability is critical for developing an efficient and reliable future.
Speed talk:
Importance of social networks and migration in local risk scoping strategies of
swidden communities in Vietnam
Thuy Pham, Dung Le Ngoc
CIFOR, Hanoi, Vietnam
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Swidden communities are often under pressure of rapid land use changes and climate change
shocks. These communities are also characterized by multi-locality and have thus become part
of several social, financial and information networks. This paper presents findings from the
ASEAN-Swiss Partnership on Social Forestry and Climate Change project carried out by
CIFOR to understand the importance and impact of different social networks and migration to
local risk scoping strategies in these 2 swidden communities in Son La and 1 community in
Nghe An provinces. We apply a mixed method which includes literature and policy reviews,
conducting 9 focus group discussions as well as 134 in-depth household interviews in 2016.
Our findings highlight important role of social networks and migration in food security and
local risk coping strategies in response to shocks, climate change and unexpected land use
changes. All communities studied have a low capacity to cope with shocks and are often
constrained by little to zero household saving, the debt traps by local traders, lack of available
alternative income sources and lack of access to information. We also found that the studied
swidden communities are more vulnerable to covariate shocks due to inability to access to
formal institutions (e.g. government’s support programs; banking and credits, agroforestry
extension services, national training programs) to provide necessary supports. Social network
of families and friends as well as informal social actors such as local traders or village cadres
and migration are major risk scoping strategies for communities. Social networks also play an
important role in the migration process and enable local communities in accessing to new
information and technology to diversify their incomes resources. Our research calls for a better
understanding and support for social network and migration to increase the resilience of local
communities, particularly those whose are vulnerable to climate change and natural and social
shocks.
Speed talk:
The Resilience Challenge in Complex Emergencies: Socio-Ecological Solutions for
deserts, the case of Turkana-land - North Kenya.
Greta Semplici
University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
The use of the term resilience is spreading fast, and it is being very quickly modelled,
operationalized and implemented. However, there is a general lack of understanding of what
resilience really means and how to bridge the divide between natural and social science concepts
of resilience. The resilience of a community is inextricably linked to the condition of the
environment and the treatment of its resources (Cutter, et al., 2008). Yet, little role is played by
the environment itself if not in the case of exceptional ecological crises when resilience is
substituting disaster risk management approaches (Manyena, 2006; Twigg, 2007; UN/ISDR,
2002). From my fieldwork experience in Turkana undoubtedly emerges the need to
conceptualise and empirically operationalize the relation between environment and social
resilience. Kenyan northern counties become an interesting analytical space where deserts are
the framework of new forms of mobility, establishment of moral economies and conflictual
international, national and local relations as a result of complex interrelations between people,
livestock, environment and its ecology. Here, entire populations live and survive in a precarious
ecosystems threatened by global warming impacts and by increased levels of competition over
natural resources. Complex emergencies, repeated or protracted over long periods of time,
create un-equilibrium relationships among socio-ecological-system components. Moving
beyond linear and equilibrium relations, implies abandoning the “jumping-back” analogy
(stability > crisis > recovery > stability), where resilience is conventionally placed as the final
turning-point to re-establish initial equilibrium conditions, to adopt a more interactive
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
perspective of socio-ecological-systems’ dynamics. Resilience can be interpreted in terms of
“plasticity ”, patterns of adaptation and transmutation, as opposed to forced or cultural
immobility. The analysis of the desert I propose explores the challenges faced by its populations
with the intent to identify patterns and dynamics of transformation in socio-ecological systems
and promote new durable solutions.
Speed talk:
Understanding Community Resilience through Community Spiritual Lens: Reechoing Voices from Rural Northern Ghana
Dennis Chirawurah, Francis Santuah, Gregory Addebah
West Africa Resilience Innovation Lab University for Development Studies Tamale, Ghana, Tamale,
Ghana
In Northern Ghana, the vulnerability of communities, people and systems persists as a result of
widespread poverty, fragile ecosystems, weak institutions and, fragmented and uncoordinated
policy frameworks for resilience programming. In order to understand the underlying causes of
vulnerability to shocks and stresses, their effects on people and systems, and the different coping
and adaptive strategies, this study conducted discussions with 18 focus groups and in-depth
interviews with 25 key informants in three geographically different locations in Ghana;
Ashaiman Municipality in the coastal plains, Tamale Metropolitan area in the middle belt, and
Kassena-Nankana Municipality in the sahelian ecological zone. This paper discusses
dimensions of resilience in the Kassena-Nankana Municipality, and how, when faced with
adversity, local communities draw upon extra-terrestrial relations with their ancestors and tap
into resources from the spiritual realm to improve their wellbeing. The paper also raises the
dilemma of whether emphasis on the spiritual dimension is an underlying driver of vulnerability
and or an adaptive strategy among predominantly smallholder farmers. Does the fear of the
wrath of the gods induce a sense of lethargy in people or a sense of urgency to act? For instance,
when the rains delay, people go to the soothsayer to consult the gods rather than go to the
meteorological services to seek explanation. Does failure to make sacrifices to the gods stop the
rains from falling? Does the disappearance of the sacred grove affect the rainfall pattern? How
does building near a sacred stream increase one’s vulnerability to floods? This paper relied on
the bioecological theory of human development to interrogate these issues with a view to
understanding the causal links between spirituality and other dimensions on the one hand, and
spirituality and resilience on the other.
Speed talk:
Diverging flood disaster subcultures in public institutions and local communities:
Implications for flood resilience in Itteren and Borgharen, The Netherlands.
Stefania Munaretto, Douwe de Voogt, Kees Boersma
Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, Netherlands
This article presents a critical reflection of transformations for sustainability in the context of
flood resilience and flood disaster subcultures. Flood disaster subcultures are formed within
groups of people recurrently exposed to flood disasters who adjust their habits accordingly.
Institutional and community flood disaster subcultures tend to be different. The institutional
approach is typically of a technical, knowledge-based nature whereas communities adapt based
on their experience with past disasters. We argue that when institutional and community flood
disaster subcultures remain isolated from one another, the resulting divergence weakens flood
resilience, especially in communities. We build our argument by characterizing the institutional
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
flood disaster subculture and the community flood disaster subculture and by linking them to
institutional-technical resilience and community resilience. We examine the dichotomy
between these different subcultures and their implications for resilience in a single in-depth case
study in which a survey and interviews with policymakers and community members were
conducted. The case study includes the parishes Itteren and Borgharen along the Meuse River
in The Netherlands. Here public institutions have adopted a technical approach towards dealing
with flood risk based on models, scenarios and infrastructure, whereas local, rooted
communities have developed a flood disaster subculture based on flood experiences. Results
show that a lack of flood events in the past twenty years coupled with the development of flood
infrastructure, which has significantly altered local flood dynamics, have rendered community
flood knowledge obsolete. Hence, the institutional-technical resilience was increased at the
expense of community resilience. We conclude that different ‘forms’ of resilience can compete
and even negatively interact. This calls for more interaction between and integration of the
separate flood disaster subcultures and their respective types of resilience, whilst maintaining a
transdisciplinary approach to flood risk mitigation.
Speed talk:
Challenge in Linking Social-Ecological Systems for Sustainability: Case of Forest
Seawalls for Future Tsunami
Mika Shimizu
Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
Addressing future tsunami, especially the construction of seawalls, is one of major cases which
requires social and policy innovation for sustainability. Particularly the challenging dimension
in this case is it necessitates 1) not only short but also long-term perspectives against tsunamis
which are uncertain in terms of when, where and how it will come and how high will be, and 2)
perspectives from both ecological and social scales, by looking at impacts of seawalls on
ecosystem, environment and landscaping, and at the same time, daily life of people in local
communities and economic implications. As such, construction of seawalls for future tsunamis
is not one-time issue or just physical building issue, but interlinked with how to link socialecological systems. Given the above characteristics of this challenge, only traditional policy
measures such as depending on concrete seawalls will not lead to solution, and requires social
and policy innovation by linking social-ecological systems. The case study for the ongoing
construction of seawalls after the 2011 Tohoku Disaster in Japan demonstrates the complex
social and policy problems: While the government has decided to construct concrete seawalls
(hundreds of concrete seawalls in 16 to 50 feet high, stretching 242 miles along the coast in the
Tohoku area), little consensus has been made among local people; on the other hand, an
alternative plan for “forest seawall” was proposed by ecologists and Iwanuma City has initiated
the first forest seawall project, in which more than 10,000 people gathered to plant plants at the
site in 2016, though the forest seawall has not become a major movement in Japan yet. The
presentation will seek for questions how we can catalyze opportunities for transformation for
sustainability, and how we can link social-ecological systems through case studies in Tohoku
with the focus on forest seawalls for future tsunami.
Speed talk:
Firms’ willingness to contribute to flood risk reduction – scenario-based
experiments from Jakarta and Semarang, Indonesia
Thomas Neise, Javier Revilla Diez
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Institute of Geography, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
The importance of private sector engagement on risk reduction is increasingly mentioned over
the last years. For instance, the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030
stresses that the private sector should be a crucial partner to achieve disaster resilience.
However, the contribution by the private sector is still rare and mostly undertaken by large
multinational firms with just a few positive impacts on the local level. Particularly,
manufacturing firms are heavily exposed to floods in the Global South. Jakarta and Semarang
are prominent examples. Broader flood risk reduction measures are still insufficiently
developed. Therefore, it is argued that firms can reduce the flood risk through collective
adaptation measures. We understand collective adaptation as collaborative activities for risk
reduction that firms are either initiating or participating together with other firms, the
community, NGOs and authorities. Own research has revealed that particularly small and
medium-sized firms rarely engage in collective flood adaptation. Based on our findings, this
paper examines which circumstances determine the willingness to contribute to flood risk
reduction of small and medium-sized firms. Instruments in order to increase the willingness to
collective adaptation are also discussed. Scenario-based experiments with 120 small- and
medium sized manufacturing firms have been conducted in Jakarta and Semarang. The
scenarios contain different risk reduction measures (polder system, river expansion and
sensitization program) each with different actors’ constellation of contribution. A multi-level
approach has been applied to determine context-specific factors, e.g. risk behavior, firm-specific
characteristics or level of flood-proneness that influence the willingness. Overall, the paper
provides deeper insights to understand firms’ engagement on flood risk reduction and gives
answers how firms can be motivated to become an active player on transforming socialecological systems by reducing environmental risks.
Speed talk:
Disasters as Political Decision Makers: Building Resilience in Copenhagen?
Anne Bach Nielsen
Ph.D. Fellow, University of Copenhagen, Department of Political Science, København K, Denmark
This paper examines the political aftermath of the destructive cloudburst that hit Copenhagen
the 2end of July 2011. It investigates how this particular disaster was channelled into specific
climate change adaptation policies, and further evaluate the on-going transformation of
Copenhagen into a climate resilient city. Through interviews with politicians and local
government officials, I trace the complexity of the political network established in the wake of
the cloudburst. On the one hand, the study shows that extreme weather events launch political
initiative by adding a sensory dimension to the otherwise scientific climate change discussion.
On the other hand, such events compromise the totality of the climate issues we face. The
Copenhagen cloudburst has created a climate change adaptation policy, where holistic
approaches are suppressed by the character of the disaster, as well as the involved actors framing
the adaptation solutions narrowly. More specifically, I find that policies are characterised by a
bias towards cloudbursts, which diverts attention from climate change threats as a whole.
Secondly, I discover a fragmentation of politics where the sense of emergency, caused by the
disaster, leads to single adaptation projects being politically adopted and implemented one by
one in isolation from an overall resilience strategy. This political structure distorts targets of
becoming climate resilient. Consequently, I suggest a wider inclusion of expertise in the
formulation and implementation of climate change adaptation policies, as well as regular
evaluations of the adopted projects based on resilience indicators.
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Speed talk:
Bhutan’s Unique Engagement with Climate Change: Holistic Transformations,
New Development Alternatives for Global Policy and Resilient Futures
Ritu Verma
College of Language and Culture Studies Royal University of Bhutan, Thimphu, Bhutan
Tarayana Centre for Social Research and Development, Thimphu, Bhutan
University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, Bhutan
Bhutan is an unparalleled carbon sink in the world, absorbing three times more carbon than it
emits. Its high mountainous terrain means that it is particularly vulnerable to weather extremes
and the effects of climate change. In the vast and variable region of Himalayas, Bhutan’s policy
engagement with climate change that is both ambitious and unique, combining and prioritizing
social and environmental goals for holistic, sustainable and transformative outcomes. Upheld
as an “inspiration to the world” by UN Climate Chief Christiana Figueres, the Himalayan
Kingdom encodes its commitment to environmental conservation in its constitution stipulating
more than 60% forest cover in perpetuity. Recent pledges made at COP21 in Paris further
commit the nation to remain carbon neutral and integrate climate adaptation and mitigation into
far-reaching development policies. Bhutan’s sensitive land-locked geopolitical position in
relation to two carbon-emitting giants, demonstrates that discursive social uptake of climate
change, institutional interventions and engagement with the Anthropocene are varied across the
region. The paper explores Bhutan’s unique environmental policies, institutional practices, and
socio-cultural and political-economic engagement with climate change. It situates them within
its unique history, Buddhist and spiritual-ecological beliefs and geopolitics, as well as GNH, a
holistic and integrated eco-social framework and living alternative to development that guides
the nation. In doing so, it investigates enabling conditions, lived experiences, dedicated
institutions and development resources, as well as the challenges that the nation faces in a
rapidly changing world where climate change impacts are observed across borders. The paper
argues that discourses and policies interact with local material and interpretive contexts, shaping
moral narratives about climate change, and enabling fundamentally different outcomes for all
sentient beings.
Speed talk:
Climate change adaptation governance in the developmental state: a case study of
water management in South Korea
Yi hyun Kang
Technical University of Munich, Berlin, Germany
Governments play a key role in facilitating climate change adaptation governance as they have
administrative power. Institutional settings can be ‘sticky’ in the governmental policy process
at every stage from policy making to implementation. How do governments deal with
sustainability issues in its institutional context when transformation is required? This study tries
to answer the question by analysing South Korea’s climate change adaptation governance. One
of the major institutional features of the Korean government can be explained by the
developmental state. The developmental state usually refers to some East Asian countries such
as Japan and South Korea which achieved fast economic growth. Strong political and
bureaucratic institutions, state control of finance and channelled capital to big business are the
main characteristics of developmental states. The developmental state features clearly appear in
the adaptation governance of South Korea. Its national adaptation policy was first formulated
under the Low Carbon Green Growth Act of 2008. The ‘Four Rivers Project’ was heavily
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
promoted as an essential adaptation policy. This project consisted of dredging and constructing
16 weirs in the four major rivers in South Korea. The justification of the project was that it could
transform the river ecosystems into more resilient while preventing floods and alleviating
droughts which were expected due to climate change. Although many scientists,
environmentalists and local residents near the rivers opposed the project, the government
implemented the project with major companies. This case study shows a challenge to
sustainability governance particularly in the countries where development-oriented institutions
remain firmly in close relation with finance power. Also, the transformation narrative the
Korean government used to justify the project signifies that how scientific information can be
distorted during the policy process. Document analysis and interviews with the key actors are
conducted for this study.
Monday, 21 August - Room 27 (60) - 14:00 - 14:40
Drivers and outcomes of altered landscapes
Connectivity and cross-scale dynamics in the Anthropocene
Chair/s: Magnus Nyström
Speed talk:
Enhancing Understanding and Determinacy of Sustainable Food Systems within
Community
Edith Callaghan 1, 2, Liesel Carlsson 1, 2
1
2
Acadia University, Wolfville, Canada
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Karlskrona, Sweden
Our systems of providing food to communities around the world are dominated by processes
that undermine the earth’s ecological and our social systems. Within the complex systems of
food provision and consumption, ecological and societal aspects are interconnected in complex,
multi-level feedback loops. While impacts of the food system are realized at a local level, many
drivers of the food systems are global – decisions made in one region, can have unpredictable
and undesirable impacts in distant regions. The nature of our current food system has created a
reality in which many communities have largely lost control of their ability to make sound food
choices and food policy decisions. Given that the current trajectory is not only undesirable, but
will likely have catastrophic effects, what is needed is a more enlightened and intentional
evolution of the food system that supports communities in taking responsibility for self
determinacy with respect to our interconnected food systems. Our research is designed to
facilitate this evolution. Our model of sustainable food was developed with a diverse panel of
food system experts in 2015, and informed by basic sustainability principles. The method we
employ includes a three round Delphi Inquiry process, and concluding workshop, that facilities
sharing of perspectives and information from a diverse set of participants within given
communities. Communities are defined as sets of relationships with an ability to influence the
system. Our research leads communities through a process of defining: what is a sustainable
food system, identifying locally appropriate indicators to track progress toward that ideal,
understanding the links among local, regional, and global indicators, and identifying key areas
and opportunities for action. At the Stockholm Resilience Conference we will present findings
from our initial full application of this process with four communities.
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Speed talk:
Assessing the vulnerability and resilience of High Nature Value farmlands in
space and time
Ângela Lomba
CIBIO - InBIO (Research Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology), Vila do Conde, Portugal
Shaped historically by farmers and farming practices, many European landscapes are currently
dominated by agriculture. Due to the recognized role in the maintenance of biodiversity and its
habitats, extensively managed farmlands, High Nature Value farmlands (HNVf), have been
highlighted by scientists and policy-makers as critical to protection of the rural environment by
enhancing resilience and providing ecosystem services. While the backbone characteristics of
HNVf have been recently reviewed, caveats still persist for a consistent implementation of the
concept e.g. the scarcity of adequate datasets on biodiversity, land cover and land use, together
with the lack of tested, standard approaches to mapping and indicator estimation. Additionally,
difficulties in the establishment of a HNVf baseline hamper the European Union (EU) ability
to quantify the condition and dynamics of such farmlands, and thus to anticipate impacts of
future environmental changes on rural landscapes. Here, results from ongoing case-studies
focusing the dynamics of HNV farmlands, in space and time will be presented. By considering
several levels of ‘natural value’ e.g. provision and dynamics of ecosystem services, and
accounting for their vulnerability and resilience in the face of uncertain future, our results are
expected to contribute to the optimization of the design, implementation and evaluation of rural
development programs. We expect that this would foster the EU strategy of positively
discriminating and supporting farmers in their efforts to ensure the conservation and
improvement of biodiversity and ecosystem services in the context of economic and socioecological change. This research is result of the project FARSYD - FARming Systems as tool
to support policies for effective conservation and management of high nature value farmlanDs
(PTDC/AAG-REC/5007/2014 - POCI-01-01-0145-FEDER-016664), granted by national funds
(FCT/MCTES; PIDDAC) and co-funded by FEDER funds through POFC – COMPETE.
ALomba is supported by the Portuguese Science and Technology Foundation (FCT) through
Post-Doctoral Grant SFRH/BPD/ 80747/2011.
Speed talk:
Exploring sustainable biophysical human-nature connectedness at regional scales
Christian Dorninger 1, Henrik von Wehrden 2, David J. Abson 3
1
Faculty of Sustainability, Leuphana University Lueneburg, Germany, Lueneburg, Germany
Faculty of Sustainability, Leuphana University Lueneburg, Germany, Lueneburg, Germany
3
Faculty of Sustainability, Leuphana University Lueneburg, Germany, Lueneburg, Germany
2
Human societies are inherently connected to and dependent on the biosphere through the flow
of materials and energy. However, modern societies have been able to gradually disconnect
themselves from the productivity of their immediate regional environment by means of
industrial technology and long-distance trade. Despite growing calls for societal reconnection
to the biosphere, what this means from a biophysical perspective remains poorly understood.
Here we conceptualize and quantify biophysical human-nature connectedness at regional scales
and discuss how such knowledge may contribute to regional scale transformational processes.
We distinguish two mechanisms of biophysical regional disconnectedness. First, ‘biospheric
disconnection’ refers to people drawing on non-renewable minerals from outside the biosphere
(e.g. fossils, metals and other minerals). Second, ‘spatial disconnection’ arises from the imports
and exports of biomass products via inter-regional trade (i.e. social-ecological teleconnections).
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Both biospheric and spatial disconnectedness have potentially far reaching consequences for
sustainability. Biospheric disconnection is characterized by a strong dependence on industrial
inputs which delay or displace ecological constraints. Similarly, spatial disconnection can result
in the net appropriation of resources which create unsustainable lifestyle patterns and
teleconnections that potentially disadvantage the ‘source’ regions, especially if the
teleconnections are strong and unbalanced. In addition, by increasingly accessing material and
energy flows from either distant places or non-renewables drawn from outside the biosphere,
societies have developed fundamentally unsustainable behaviours that prevent humans directly
experiencing their impacts and reliance on natural ecosystems. People not directly confronted
with natural limits are less likely to feel the urge for change. Therefore, instead of making
human-nature connections more and more complex and opaque we need to strive for the
regional reconnection of people to nature in biophysical terms, which can be seen as a
precondition for encouraging a genuine cognitive reconnection of humans to nature.
Speed talk:
Revealing distal drivers in coral reef social-ecological systems: Mapping land
grabbing and human migration at a global scale
Linnea Joandi
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
It is well recognized that coral reefs are suffering from a multitude of anthropogenic stressors
which are threatening their integrity and existence. This includes stressors such as
overharvesting, reduced water quality and habitat fragmentation. However, these stressors
(proximate drivers) are surrounded and influenced by distal socioeconomic dynamics that are
increasingly steered by global socioeconomic processes (distal drivers). Despite the fact that
large-scale socioeconomic processes are receiving increasing attention, research on these
aspects is still limited. This thesis scrutinizes, for the first time, how two of these distal drivers
- land acquisition (or “land grabbing”) and human migration - play out globally in countries that
possess coral reefs. We apply a spatial GIS analysis using global data on >10 000 coral reef
locations in 98 countries, global migration rates from 1970-2000 at a 10x10 km grid cell
resolution, and >2 300 land grabbing deals in 86 countries. Results show that land grabbing
occurs in coastal areas adjacent to coral reefs, both at a domestic, but mainly at an international
scale. The land grabbings are, however, unevenly distributed among the different coral reef
regions. For human migration, it can be concluded that some coral reef regions have lost more
people than they have gained in their coral reef adjacent coastal zones. However, it can also be
concluded that the net migration to and within these areas, at a global scale, has been positive
from 1970-2000. Consequently, this suggests that coral reefs are facing increased anthropogenic
pressure from a broad variety of distal actors and drivers. The study also suggests a new, more
inclusive, approach of how to view actors of coral reef management, as well as suggests an
alternative way of how to estimate anthropogenic pressure in terms of migration.
Speed talk:
Response diversity of multiple ecosystem services over time in changing
agricultural landscapes
Cibele Queiroz 1, Emelie Waldén 4, Henrik Smith 3, Erik Öckinger 2, Regina Lindborg 4
1
2
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
3
4
Dpt of Biology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
Dpt of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
In the late decades, human-induced drivers have reduced the long-term capacity of ecosystems
to provide goods and services essential to human well-being in unprecedented ways. In
agricultural systems, efforts for optimizing the generation of particular ecosystem services (ES)
such as crop or meat production, lead to the intensification and homogenization of agricultural
landscapes, increasing trade-offs between these and other ES and eroding ecosystem resilience.
Understanding how these drivers of land-use change impact the capacity of agricultural
landscapes to provide multiple ES over time, is therefore a crucial research frontier on
sustainability science. Still, our knowledge on the temporal dynamics of ES remains limited and
studies assessing the resilience of services over time are scarce. In this study, we focused on
response diversity, a critical property of ecosystem resilience, and combined diversity
assessments of plants with historical data in 45 agricultural landscapes in Sweden, to investigate
how land-use change in grasslands impacted the resilience over time of four ES. We connected
services with ecological functions and species by selecting plant traits relevant for key functions
connected with each service. We then used the selected traits to group plant species in functional
groups linked to each service, and used intra-group species richness to calculate response
diversity of the five ES. We performed this analysis for three types of landscape configuration
(arable or forest dominated, and mixed). In the next steps of our analysis we will compare the
results obtained by current species distributions with the ones obtained with the estimated
species distributions 60 years ago. Our preliminary results indicate that the response diversity
of ecosystem services over time in grasslands is negatively affected by arable land dominated
landscape configurations, when compared with forest dominated or mixed land uses.
Speed talk:
Modelling the effects of extreme weather on the ecological resilience of farming
systems
Simon Smart
Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, LANCASTER, United Kingdom
More frequent extremes of wind and rainfall are expected under climate warming hence storminduced disturbance resulting from flooding and land-slip is likely to become a more common
feature of urban and rural environments. Because we rely on soils and their corresponding plant
species assemblages for a range of natural ‘services’, knowledge is required about how
ecosystems will respond to these disturbance events. For example how will storm-induced gaps
and flooded land naturally revegetate in the short and longer term? Will recolonizing species be
in shorter supply because newly exposed substrates, combined with a changing climate, provide
unsuitable conditions for native and naturalised plants present in the wider species pool? Hence
will these new conditions constitute vacant niche space and will new colonists favoured by new
configurations of soil and climate provide a different suite of ‘botanical services’ to the preexisting vegetation. We carried out a scenario-testing exercise to explore whether the interaction
between a catastrophic storm event and future projected climate space would result in novel
abiotic conditions unsuitable for current members of local and regional species pools. We
sampled soils that had experienced extreme flooding and land-slip as a result of Storm Desmond
that passed across the NW of England in December 2015. Perturbed soils were sampled after
the event. Abiotic substrate variables and local climate were used to drive species niche models
(SNM) for the British flora in order to determine the magnitude of vacant niche space and hence
heightened risk of failure to secure ecosystem service delivery. We show that vacant niche space
increased in magnitude with increasing deviation from contemporary soil and climate
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
conditions. We further estimate that colonists from current species pools may still support
stabilisation and carbon storage in land-slip sites but in flooded sites novel crops and pollinator
plants may be required.
Monday, 21 August - Room 32 (30) - 14:00 - 14:40
Community resilience
Multi-level governance and biosphere stewardship
Chair/s: Rika Preiser
Speed talk:
Community-Led Innovation in Adaptive Natural Resource Management for
Improved Food Security Under Climate Change in Kumaon Lesser Himalaya
(KLH)
Bhagwati Joshi
Government Post Graduate College, Rudrapur, India, Rudrapur, India
In Himalaya, geo-environmental constraints not only limit productivity of natural resources, but
also restrict development of infrastructure and services. Consequently, subsistence farming
constitutes main source of community livelihood. During recent years, traditional mountain
agricultural and food system has transformed in response to demographic changes, urban
growth, land use changes and globalization. These changes are resulting into depletion of
natural resources and disruption of traditional farming system. Moreover, Climate change has
stressed subsistence agricultural economy, and increased vulnerability of large population,
particularly poor and vulnerable sections of society to water, food and livelihood insecurity.
However, the local communities has develop critical knowledge of adaptation to climate change
through innovative management of natural resources in marginalized mountain environment.
Study analyzed innovative practices coping strategies that indigenous mountain inhabitants
evolved for management of land, water and forest resources to respond to climate change, and
to assess their impact on community adaptive capacity with case illustration of Kumaon
Himalaya. The investigation used comprehensive socio-economic survey techniques and
empirical field survey and mapping methods. Results indicated: (i) inhabitants of 27% villages
replenished water sources employing traditional water conservation practices; (ii)15% families
changed cropping pattern, (iii) in 30% villages community developed indigenous rainwater
harvesting system; (iv) 25% adjusted crop-cycle to changes observed in rainfall pattern; and (v)
27% households relocated agriculture. It was observed that innovative adaptation measures
developed by indigenous mountain communities are not only improved climate change
resilience in subsistence mountain farming system, but also contributing towards conservation
of water resources and improving rural livelihood opportunities and food security through
participatory natural resource governance that could be translated to all mountain ecosystems
all across the planet under rapidly changing climatic conditions.
Speed talk:
How can risk governance systems strengthen community resilience? A SocialEcological Systems approach
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Elizabeth Carabine, Emily Wilkinson
Risk and Resilience Programme Overseas Development Institute, London, United Kingdom
At their core, donor-funded climate and disaster resilience programmes provide goods and
services to help build assets and minimise the impact of shocks and stresses on people’s lives
and livelihoods. Often, efforts are focussed on improving delivery of services that help
communities manage risk associated with social-ecological feedbacks including ecosystem,
financial and climate services. Evidence related to how ecosystem, financial and climate
services can strengthen community resilience at the local level is growing. However,
institutional arrangements have implications for the delivery of these services and how people
access them. But little is known about the way local risk governance systems and the broader
institutional arrangements in which they are embedded, mediate people’s access to these
services and therefore lead to improved resilience. Drawing on Social-Ecological Systems
theory, we explore those characteristics of risk governance systems believed to be more
favourable for building resilience at the community level in different developing country
contexts. These include: diversity; polycentricism and connectivity; decentralisation and
flexibility; participation and community engagement; and, learning and innovation. This review
paper proposes a conceptual framework and assesses the evidence linking risk governance and
access to the services needed to build resilient outcomes, drawing particularly on evidence from
the Sahel and Horn of Africa. In doing so, we can start to understand where the entry points
might be for strengthening resilience and the conditions needed for community-level initiatives
to be brought to scale from the bottom up.
Speed talk:
Resilience of communities in Pontian district from rapid development of Iskandar
Malaysia
Joharudin Samion, Ismail Said
University Technology Malaysia, Johor Bahru, Malaysia
The concept of community resilience is rapidly gaining ground in developing the sustainable
urban planning, parallel to the process of societal development. The issue of community
resilience arises from the need to develop understanding on how people would respond to
internal and external disturbances. Most studies on city resilience focus on how cities can
withstand or adapt from potential threat to society, economy and environment. Little of them
discussed in depth the impact of rapid development of a city to the neighbouring districts. This
study is to examine the land use pattern change of Pontian district impacting by Iskandar
Malaysia on its social, economic and environmental attributes. The data collected from Pontian
Land office analyse to show the land transaction pattern, conversion of land used. Whereas the
data obtained from Pontian Municipal Council shows that there was a drastic increased in the
numbers of application of the planning permission after the announcement of the development
of Iskandar Malaysia. The statistics suggest that the rapid and massive development of Iskandar
Malaysia indicates an impact to the pattern of land use, and it has altered the social, economic
and environment capitals of community in Pontian. The early identification of the relationship
between the development of land use and the level of resiliency in communities will lead to
assist the stake holders in decision making process, particularly in land management and policy
innovation. Assessing the land use changes pattern in Pontian will provide the opportunity to
evaluate the fast growing urbanization process which eventually can assist in developing a
Community Resilience Land Use Map for Pontian. The map can become a guide for sustainable
land use planning and predict the direction of future development in Pontian district, thus early
measure can be made to reduce the chronic stress imposed to the community.
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Speed talk:
Enhancing resilience in fishing communities of the southern Cape region, South
Africa
Astrid Jarre 1, Greg Duggan 1, Louise Gammage 1, Catherine Ward 1, Charles Mather 2, Rosemary
Ommer 3
1
University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
Department of Geography, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, NL, Canada
3
Departments of History and Geography, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
2
Communities on the southern Cape coast between Witsands and Mossel Bay are intricately
linked to the Agulhas Bank subsystem of the southern Benguela, one of the four subsystems of
the Benguela Current Large Marine Ecosystem. Agriculture, fishing and tourism are the
traditional economic pillars of this region, which has only one medium-sized harbour town.
Major commercial fisheries include demersal trawl, small pelagics trawl and purse-seine, as
well as small-scale traditional handline fisheries and shore-based invertebrate collection and
angling. Recently an ecosystem regime shift has been documented for the southern Benguela;
the eastern Agulhas Bank region is a hotspot for climate change and several major regulatory
shifts are currently catalyzing change in the fishing communities. An inter- and transdisciplinary
project initiated five years ago, “South Coast Interdisciplinary Fisheries Research” (SCIFR), is
asking: (i) How are natural and social changes in the southern Cape shaping and interacting
with marine social- ecological systems?; (ii) How are selected natural resources users in this
area responding to global change and how are they shaping change in their region? and (iii)
How can the knowledge of the current state of the social-ecological system be used to build
more resilient systems? This paper interprets project results so far in the context of a new
emerging regulatory environment for both large scale and small scale fisheries in the region.
Comparing with, and drawing on, the findings of two major Canadian transdisciplinary projects
(CUS and CURRA), we outline paths for progress towards enhancing resilience to global
change in the fishing communities of the southern Cape region. In view of the under-capacity
of South African State institutions, solutions will necessarily include a tapestry of governmental
and non-governmental management institutions to balance the interests of “big money”, “big
green” and multiple stakeholders at smaller scales.
Speed talk:
Community-based resource management recovery facing disaster: A case of
earthquake impacted community marine protected areas in Bohol, Philippines
Ashley Perl 1, Tim Daw 1, Heather Koldewey 2
1
2
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
Zoological Society of London, London, United Kingdom
At a time when anthropogenic pressures on the planet are increasing, natural disasters have
become more commonplace, and many of those impacted are from the most vulnerable
populations. It has become increasingly important to understand what contributes to the
recovery of these populations. Vulnerable communities are often highly reliant on their natural
resources as a source of livelihoods, and use forms of community-based management (CBM)
to govern their own resource use. When a disaster does strike, it has the capacity to shock all
parts of the community, including natural resources and their management. Using a case-based
approach, seven community-based marine protected areas (CB-MPA) that were impacted by an
earthquake in Bohol, Philippines on October 15, 2013 were analysed, applying participatory
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
methods; interviews and focus groups. The study found that CB-MPA systems with robust
management capacities are better equipped for recovery in the event of a shock. This study
found that the level of damage suffered was not related to CBM recovery rate, but rather, to
what was damaged. Indeed, even communities with weak management capacities can recover
from an earthquake if given extra support. In the event of a disaster occurring in or near a
community with a community-based managed area, policy makers should focus their attention
on: supporting and enhancing infrastructure critical to the CBM system’s functioning.
Policymakers should also pay particular attention to communities with weaker management
capacities and, consider incorporating economic incentives into their CBM system to aid
recovery in the event of a shock.
Monday, 21 August - Room 23 (30) - 14:00 - 14:40
Emergence of stewardship and multi-level governance
Multi-level governance and biosphere stewardship
Chair/s: Tim Daw
Speed talk:
Enabling cross-boundary multi-level water governance: Crises, self-organization,
collaboration and evolving science-policy-society interfaces
Jennifer Bellamy, Brian Head, Helen Ross
The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Australia
Multi-level water governance for managing across boundaries (social, political, ecological, and
institutional) in the face of uncertainty and change is a wicked problem challenging rational
scientific and planning approaches. Collaborative processes are widely promoted for shaping
innovation and change in wicked situations. In practice, collaboration in water governance can
take many forms that play out differently across various geographical contexts and multiple
spatial and temporal scales. Collaboration can be ‘formal‘ (mandated by government and public
agencies) or ‘informal’ (self-organised or spontaneous). Collaborative processes involve many
relationships, interconnections and inter-dependencies that are not conducive to “business as
usual” approaches. Despite tensions being inherent to collaboration across multiple scales,
collaborative processes remain the preferred choice for addressing water governance issues
(including waterway health, ecosystem services, and human well-being). Recent water
governance research has focused largely on design principles for preferred institutional
arrangements in mandated situations. How self-organised collaborative approaches enable
cross-boundary governance capacities to emerge over time in the face of uncertainty and social,
economic, environmental and policy change remains poorly examined. Through an historical
and institutional analysis, this paper examines two contrasting Australian case studies of
collaborative approaches to cross-boundary water governance over twenty years – one concerns
the governance of cross-border water flows in a remote semi-arid river basin, and the other
managing water quality across the terrestrial-marine interface in a rapidly urbanizing region.
Analysis highlights the way the situational context of each case study evolved to produce very
different collaborative approaches to interfacing science-policy-society in water governance.
Common challenges include: social and ecological crises, system complexity, incomplete
knowledge, divergent interests, dispersed and multi-scalar nature of responsibilities and
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
influence over water management, and the broader institutional, social and ecological situation
in which water governance systems are embedded. We conclude by reflecting on further
research needs for advancing theory and practice.
Speed talk:
The Sacred Natural Sites And Their Roles For Ecosystem Conservation In The
Context Of Socio Ecological Resilience: Dinsho District, South East Ethiopia
Tesfaye Doyo
Tesfaye Tola, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
As aimed the existing Sacred Natural Sites (SNS) and their roles for ecosystems conservations
in the context of socio-ecological resilience of South east Ethiopia investigated by the study.
The conservation trends and challenges to SNS of the last 5 decades (from 1965 to 2015)
examined. Purposive and systematic proportional sampling methods were employed and used.
Participatory sketch mappings, visual encounter transect walk and Focal Group Discussion
(FGD) were sources of data. The spatial points of the all identified SNS from produced maps
were collected again by Global Position System (GPS) from ground and analysed by ESRI
software and semantic content analysis method used. Therefore, 72 existed SNS that were
respected and conserved by entire community and in turn had more worshippers and custodians
identified. The identified sacred natural sites were rich of biophysical ecosystems and emerging
63 springs, 19 wetlands, 12 streams and habitat of more wildlife. It also sources and centers of
societal and human values that were highly contributed for stability and resilience of the
community. The conservation approach of SNS was multisystem also pioneer conservation
model that originated exclusively within communities for centuries and the society was
appointed few areas were rich of biodiversity as consecrated sites and started conserve.
Currently however, the distributions and status of these sites have been decreasing. From 72 of
the past only 18 scared natural sites remained with few biophysical ecosystems (36 springs, 8
streams and 7 wetlands). Displacement and psychological damaging of custodian, physically
destruction of these sites, lack of land tenure and documentation are existing bottlenecks and
serious challenges for these valuable sites devastations. Therefore, it needs serious conservation
consideration from community, Government and Non-Governmental Organizations to
safeguard these remained valuables sacred natural sites; otherwise we might be lost all of them
within the next few years.
Speed talk:
Multi-scale learning, adaptation and governance in western United States forests
Heidi Huber-Stearns, Jesse Abrams, Christopher Bone, Cassandra Moseley
University of Oregon, Eugene, United States
Human decision-making and climate change are impacting the extent and severity of insect
outbreaks across the globe. One of the most extreme examples of this is the early 21st century
epidemic of mountain pine beetle infestation across coniferous forests of the western United
States and Canada. Historically, natural resource management approaches in the United States
have sought to repress, confine or reduce variation in the natural system, which can temporarily
reduce natural disturbance effects on a region, but over the longer term can reduce resilience in
both natural systems and management systems. The rapid, large-scale and uncertain change
created by the mountain pine beetle epidemic posed new challenges to forest managers in the
western United States, including the United States Forest Service, the federal agency tasked
with managing the majority of forested US public lands. Faced with a mandate to mange forests
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
for multiple uses and sustainable yields of services, the US Forest Service faced challenges in
balancing these mandates with the urgent need for responding to mountain pine beetle impacts.
This presentation will discuss findings from four case studies of national forests and
surrounding communities in the western US, where mountain pine beetle posed significant
challenges for management. All four cases are subject to similar national level influences.
However, these findings highlight the differing social, political, economic and ecological
conditions the cases faced at the local, state and regional scales, all of which shaped their
management strategies and response to the mountain pine beetle epidemic. These findings
identify a range of learning, self organization, and adaptation, both within and between scales.
These cases also demonstrate how, over time, responses to mountain pine beetle impacts
evolved into considerations of resilient forests in a future of uncertainty and change.
Speed talk:
Scaling up and back down again: approaches to managing ocean acidification on
the west coast of North America
Terrie Klinger
University of Washington, Seattle, United States
On the west of North America, ocean acidification (OA) has emerged as an issue of social,
ecological, and economic concern. OA is caused primarily by global emissions of carbon
dioxide and secondarily by local and regional factors. OA produces chemical and biological
effects that threaten to propagate through marine ecosystems and reduce societal benefits
derived from the ocean, for instance through negative effects on aquaculture and fisheries.
Socio-political responses to the threat of OA on the west coast offer an example of actions taken
across multiple scales. Spurred from the bottom up, actions by shellfish growers and scientists
in Washington state (U.S.) coalesced into larger initiatives taken by government entities at state
and regional levels, ultimately leading to the formation of an international alliance. The
international alliance then returned responsibility for action to multiple levels of governance,
including those at the lowest levels and smallest scales. The evolution of this process has been
relatively rapid, mostly occurring since 2012, standing in stark contrast to socio-political
response to some other environmental threats. Key factors in this evolution have been the
emergence of strong leadership and productive collaborations across sectors and scales,
underpinned by compelling science, and motivated by concerns over continued food production
from the sea.
Monday, 21 August - C3 (180) - 14:00 - 15:30
Evaluating approaches to stewardship and resilience
Multi-level governance and biosphere stewardship
Chair/s: My Sellberg
Speed talk:
Participatory Evaluation of Resilience and Adaptive Capacity of Rural
Landscapes in Eastern Taiwan: A Case Study
Kuang-Chung Lee 1, Mei-Ling Fan 2
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
1
National Dong-Hwa University, Shoufeng Township, Taiwan
Hualien District Agricultural Research and Extension Station, Council of Agriculture, Ji-an
Township, Taiwan
2
In order to help local stakeholders to monitor the progress of the implementation of the
Management Plan for the Cihalaay Cultural Landscape in Eastern rural Taiwan, the research
team worked with the indigenous community from 2015 to 2016 on participatory evaluation of
indicators of resilience and strategic planning for the site. The research team adopted the
indicator system from UNU-IAS’s “Toolkit for the Indicators of Resilience in Socio-ecological
Production Landscapes and Seascapes (SEPLS).” For the first stage, from June to August 2015,
an indicator development working group was recruited and comprised six key local people. In
total, six working group meetings were conducted to evaluate the UNU-IAS’s 20 indicators of
resilience for the current situation of the site. Second, the research team invited all 25
households of the area to participate in a village meeting. The outcome of the evaluation of the
resilience indicators was explained and discussed at the village meeting. For the second stage,
from October 2015 to January 2016, five working group meetings and the second village
meeting were held by the research team. The meetings were designed to help residents come to
strategies to enhance each indicator, based on the outcomes acquired during the first stage. In
total, 36 enhancement strategies were worked out by the working group members, and then
explained to and discussed with all villagers at the village meeting. The findings show that the
recruitment of a small local working group can be an effective way for the research team to
explore more in-depth understandings of local people about the indicators of resilience of the
area. In general, the participants agreed that the indicator system of resilience of the local area,
based on landscape scale, was workable and the outcomes would be helpful to the future
management of the Cihalaay Cultural Landscape.
Speed talk:
Devolving Power from the State: Local Initiatives for Nature Protection and
Recreation
Katarina Eckerberg, Therese Bjärstig, Matilda Miljand, Irina Mancheva
Department of Political Science Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
The quests for devolving more power for nature protection from national to local governments
stem from policies at both international and national levels, in line with the UN Convention on
Biological Diversity. Likewise, there is growing recognition of the need for local governments
to strengthen green infrastructure for citizens for recreation and learning about their
environment. In Sweden, starting in 2004, the government has allocated special funding towards
this end, to be matched by local funding. In total, 261 of the 290 municipalities have received
such funding towards new local projects. The projects should build upon broad local
engagement in order to facilitate broad access to nature and promote recreational activities,
including the protection of nature areas, creating pathways and nature information devices, and
promoting new societal groups to enjoy these areas. This paper presents the results of ten years’
experiences. Our recent survey with responses from 191 municipalities and 20 county
administrations, and interviews with key informants, show that the program has been a success
in several respects: not only have most municipalities created a wealth of new ways to engage
local interests and citizens in nature protection and recreation areas but it has also broadened
the ways in which local governments think about how nature is important to their constituencies.
Due to innovative ways to count voluntary work as local matching of funding, smaller and less
resourceful municipalities have also become engaged. Still, the local needs for further initiatives
are deemed considerable. The state support is important both to show policy priority to such
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
bottom-up initiatives and as budget support for nature and recreation interests especially for
smaller municipalities. Alike many other local initiatives, however, the importance of key
individuals at local level who inspire and facilitate new project ideas to become materialized is
crucial.
Speed talk:
How does adaptive co-management relate to specified and general resilience? An
approach from Isla Mayor, Andalusia, Spain
SHERMAN FARHAD, MIQUEL A. GUAL, ESTEBAN RUIZ-BALLESTEROS
UNIVERSIDAD PABLO DE OALVIDE, Seville, Spain
Resilience provides a framework to study the dynamics of social-ecological systems. However,
the distinction between specified resilience and general resilience is frequently unclear in the
resilience framework. The inherent complexity and uncertainty of social-ecological systems
reveals the necessity for new approaches in management, from a top-down system towards a
multi-level one. Adaptive co-management has emerged as a response to this need. The present
research focuses on the link between Adaptive co-management and specified/ general resilience
debate. For the empirical analysis, we use Isla Mayor’s social-ecological system, a southern
municipality of Spain with an intensive rice cultivation tradition. The study explores five
different faces of adaptive co-management in Isla Mayor: (1) institution building, (2) power
sharing, (3) governance, (4) problem solving, and (5) knowledge co-production, social learning
and adaptation. The analysis highlights the existence of a task-oriented process aimed at solving
problems related to the rice activity. This process has contributed to shape a new multi-level
governance system and sharing of power between public authorities and local rice farmers,
seemingly contributing to an improved rice cultivation specified resilience. However, the lack
of local stewards, collective power and vertical/horizontal links in the governance framework
of the remaining socio-economic activities in the region (fishing and tourism) have given rise
to some difficulties in their management and interactions with the rice sector, thereby raising
barriers to diversify activities and enhance general resilience. The case shows that adaptive comanagement can provide the opportunity to navigate the trade-offs between specified and
general resilience. Future research is undoubtedly needed to investigate how systems can be
managed to promote general resilience while maintaining a compromise with the socially
determined specified resilience.
Speed talk:
Governing food production in the city: levels, labels, and impacts
Olivia Lewis, Heidrun Moschitz, Robert Home
Research Institute of Organic Agriculture FiBL, Frick, Switzerland
Urban food production is a complex form of land stewardship that cross-cuts issues of zoning,
resource use, and environmental impacts. The policy landscape affecting urban agriculture is
accordingly thematically complex, with involvement from many governmental departments and
non-governmental groups. There are many pressures on urban agriculture, particularly demands
on the space for other land uses. However, urban agriculture has great potential to meet human
needs and aspirations through providing food and/or income, and social and physical wellbeing.
The degree to which this practice nurtures or erodes the biosphere depends largely on the
methods of urban farmers and gardeners. Both the uptake of the practice of urban agriculture
and the methods used are influenced by policies and programs that are enacted at multiple levels
of governance. This research aims to assess the effect of policies and programs on urban
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
agriculture using three case study cities in Switzerland. The objectives are to identify which
policies and programs exist that affect urban agriculture; at which levels of governance these
exist and under which scope they were conceived (e.g. sustainable development, public health)
and compare this across cities; and to identify how these policies and programs affect urban
farmers and gardeners. The methodology consists of a policy scan, literature search, and
interviews with practitioners and experts. The data is analyzed through qualitative content
analysis and comparison with results of semi-quantitative Q-methodology. The results allow
identification of opportunities for and barriers to uptake of beneficial urban agriculture
practices, and provide insight on the potential of creating an urban food policy.
Speed talk:
Can boundary objects be used to collaborate across timescales? Hope for
sustainability initiatives with transient participants
Rebecca Laycock
Keele University, Keele, United Kingdom
Grassroots sustainability initiatives provide essential ‘seeds of a good Anthropocene.’ However,
in an increasingly mobile world, these initiatives are faced with transient organisers/participants
which can be detrimental to project continuity/efficiency/governance, knowledge retention,
participant motivation, and participation levels. ‘Boundary objects’ are abstract or physical
things (like common language, documents/maps/diagrams, and methods/routines) that are
plastic enough to be interpreted differently, but robust enough to retain a common identity to
enable groups of people from different ‘social worlds’ to create coherent understandings for
collaboration on a common task. Boundary objects are usually used with groups that are
operating over a common time period, but this paper explores if and how boundary objects can
be used to support initiatives with transient organisers and participants that are temporally
asynchronous. The ideas presented emerged from a 2.5 year Action Research project with three
student-led food-growing initiatives at English universities in which participants reported an
‘existential crisis’ caused by participant transience. Because participant recruitment threatened
to become the initiative’s main focus, they began to consider success merely existing, and
therefore the initiative’s purpose and value were drawn into question. The physical garden
space, common ‘visions’ and narratives, records of achievement, and putting the garden on a
campus map were found to be operating as boundary objects between ‘waves’ of participants
to cope with challenges associated with the transience. The application and understanding of
‘boundary objects’ across timescales presents unique theoretical and practical challenges, such
as how collaboration and communication can take place, as well as how and if consensus can
be achieved given limited overlap between ‘waves’ of participants. These ‘cross-temporal
boundary objects’ have the potential to contribute to the internal resilience of grassroots
initiatives with transient participants, enabling them to be more fruitful seeds for larger-scale
sustainable transformations.
Speed talk:
A framework for Ecosystem Services Stewardship: a case study in Tabasco,
Mexico
Ena E. Mata-Zayas 1, Cesar J. Vázquez-Navarrete 2, David Palma-López 2, Lillly Gama 1
1
Universidad Juarez Autonoma de Tabasco. Division Academica de Ciencias Biologicas,
Villahermosa, Tabasco, Mexico
2
Colegio de Postgraduados, Campus Tabasco,, Cardenas, Tabasco, Mexico
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
There is a wide consensus on the need of developing our capacity to provide wellbeing without
eroding the capacity of nature to support future generations. Ecosystem Services approach (ES)
has become an important framework to achieve this challenge by responding key questions:
what is our current situation, where we want to be (e.g. stewardship of ES) and how to move
from one point to another. Practitioners have now a set of tools and guidelines to put in action
ES approach. However, the implementation of ES approach is particularly incipient in
developing countries and at the local level. Therefore, we developed a framework for the
implementation of ES in order to develop capacities to reallocate resources and efforts to
support human wellbeing in face of global change and uncertainty. Our ES framework emanates
from different ES interventions of public policy in state of Tabasco, Mexico that aimed to
tropicalize ES into public policy at state level. We summarize our experience of four years of
tripartite collaboration (government, universities and local communities). The resulting ES
framework consisted of three key components: (1) key stakeholders (e.g. providers and
consumers), (2) relationships and interactions between stakeholder for instance funding,
knowledge, technology and planning, (3) finally, specific goals (products) for each decisionmaking level (strategic, tactical and operational). Although in the ES approach the full suite of
benefits from the environmental is strategically considered, our ES framework is not written in
stone and should be adapted in different contexts, places and time. Furthermore, we also found
that ES framework is not a concept that moves consciousness and willingness, this framework
needs stakeholders to provide resources to “make it happen”. Local, regional and international
stakeholders have to collaborate to develop a culture for the socioecological integration of
wellbeing and the stewardship of ES.
Speed talk:
Some critical reflections on the resilience of the Smart City model
Johan Colding 1, Stephan Barthel 1, Magnus Colding 2
1
2
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
IPSafe Sverige AB, Vallentuna, Sweden
Increasingly information and communication technology (ICT) runs our daily business, and
more recently it has been argued that the Internet of Things (IoT) can help make our cities
“smarter”; hence the term “smart city” has quickly become a present-day “buzzword” in the
debate on sustainable urban development. This is, among others, mirrored in the dramatic
increase in the number of publications addressing the SC concept as well as venues and
conferences that deal with the model. However, how smart will our ICT-controlled cities be in
the future, who will control these systems, and in what ways can they actually contribute to
sustainable urban development? In this co-authored paper between resilience scientists and an
ICT-security expert, we analyze and discuss some critical “vulnerability traps” that the SCmodel has from a resilience point of view, putting the model into the wider implications and
dynamics of resilience thinking. In the paper we deal with ICT resiliency and “cognitive
resilience building”, arguing among others the need for the SC-model to address biosphere
stewardship in which global cities could play a much more active role.
Speed talk:
Managing Microclimates: building global resilience with a local perspective
Giulio Castelli 1, Daniel Wiegant 2, Francesco Sambalino 2, Elena Bresci 1, Frank van Steenbergen
2
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
1
Department of Agricultural, Food and Forestry Systems (GESAAF), University of Florence, Firenze,
Italy
2
MetaMeta Research, ’s Hertogenbosch, Netherlands
Microclimates are the result of the interactions between biophysical aspects of landscapes,
regional and global climatic conditions, and human actions. At the landscape level, issues such
as soil moisture, air humidity, soil and air temperature and wind speed have a decisive impact
on the nature and health of an (agro-)ecosystems. When change is made to a landscape, changes
are made to the local micro-climate as well. In the global climate change debate, mitigation and
adaptation are dominant concepts, while the management of local climatic conditions is largely
unattended. As there is little evidence that humans can modify global climate and temperature
in the near future, it is crucial to focus on microclimates. Stable microclimates can buffer
exacerbating weather extremes, contributing to the resilience and well-being of ecosystems and
productive systems, carbon sequestration and biodiversity. This work analyses the various
components of microclimates that together build ecosystem resilience, and presents a
framework for microclimate management, discussing a range of interventions that have the
potential to improve the microclimatic situations and the ecological functions of landscapes.
Five main microclimatic components are identified: air temperature, soil moisture, soil
temperature, air humidity, wind direction and speed. The first part of the paper discusses how
these microclimate components affect biological processes, and what this means for the
resilience of ecosystems and productive systems. The second part of the work present three
clusters of management actions: water buffering through soil conservation and water harvesting,
functional re-greening and microclimate-compatible land use planning. The potential and the
effects of each action to manage and improve microclimatic conditions and interactions is
analysed, in order to propose a guideline to build investment strategies for landscape restoration
and resilience through microclimate improvement.
Speed talk:
The evolution of Dutch nature conservation policy: the interplay between actors,
institutions and discourses
Raoul Beunen
Open University, the Netherlands, Heerlen, Netherlands
The Netherlands has a long and successful history of nature conservation. Over the 20th century
it has developed and implemented an ecological network of protected sites and has managed to
improve the environmental quality in many places. All this was possible through a range of
policies and practices that have been developed and implemented by a changing configuration
of public and private actors. From the beginning of the 21th century, nature conservation
gradually slipped into a crisis. This crisis was strongly influenced by critiques on the top-down
and technocratic way in which the EU Birds and Habitats Directive were implemented in the
Netherlands as well as by the increasing focus given to legal forms of governance. The crisis
showed the vulnerability of the system through which biodiversity was governed, as longstanding policies and practices of nature conservation became disrupted as an unintended
consequence of international policy implementation. It is only more recently that nature
conservation is showing signs of a revival in which citizens’ initiatives and nature-based
solutions are playing an important role. The experiences from the Netherlands offer valuable
lessons about the governance structures and processes that shape nature conservation practices
and outcomes. In this contribution we use Evolutionary Governance Theory to unravel the
dynamics that drove the developments in Dutch nature conservation policy. We analyse how
changing discourses on nature and nature conservation emerged and gained impact, how these
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
discourses could disrupt existing institutional structures, and how novel approaches have been
developed and introduced in response. Building on these insights we reflect on the ways in
which an evolutionary understanding of governance, paying attention to the dialectic interplay
between actors, institutional structures and discourses, can further our understanding of the
possibilities and limits of bringing about sustainability transformations.
Monday, 21 August - Room 26 (50) - 14:00 - 14:40
Governance and social-ecological fit
Multi-level governance and biosphere stewardship
Chair/s: Malin Jonell
Speed talk:
Harmonizing food security and biodiversity governance: A multi-level
governance analysis with the case study in Ethiopia
TOLERA SENBETO JIREN, Ine Dorresteijn, Arvid Bergsten, Neil Collier, Julia Leventon, Joern
Fischer
Leuphana University, Luneburg, Germany
Achieving food security and biodiversity conservation are two of the most prominent
contemporary global challenges. Minimizing and managing tradeoffs between food production
and biodiversity conservation requires, among other things, appropriate governance systems –
including appropriate structures, processes and institutional arrangements. Despite possible
synergies of food production and biodiversity conservation at local scales, this potential remains
underutilized. Key reasons include insufficient integration of stakeholders within multi-level
governance processes. Moreover, coordination can be poor between stakeholders across sectors
and both vertical and horizontal governance levels, which further hampers the effective
management of food vs. conservation tradeoffs. In addition to governance structures,
mismatches between policies, strategies and plans, as well as contradictions across scales and
sectors, hinder the effective harmonization of food security and biodiversity goals. Here, based
on extensive data obtained from 230 stakeholder interviews and focus group discussions across
from local to national levels in Ethiopia, we examine both governance structures and processes
that may hamper the integration of food security and biodiversity conservation. With respect to
governance structure, we studied stakeholders, their interaction and network in a multi-level
governance arrangement. For governance processes, we analysed the qualitative data via
content and discourse analysis. Our findings indicate that a hierarchical top-down governance
structure, lack of interaction between key stakeholders, structural mismatches, mismatches
between regional goals and local realities and interests, recentralization of decision making
power, absence of good governance, and weak institutional capacity all appear as major
stumbling blocks to harmoniously achieve food security and biodiversity conservation goals in
Ethiopia.
Speed talk:
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Who is in and why? Actors’ engagement in collaborative governance for cultural
landscape stewardship: two case studies from Spreewald, Germany and Berg en
Dal, The Netherlands
Claudia Sattler 1, Ester Budding 2, Anika Hirt 3, Andreas Kubatzki 4, Barbara Schroeter 1, Lenny
van Bussel 5
1
Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Institute of Socio-Economics,
Muencheberg, Germany
2
Wageningen University, Department of Environmental Sciences, Environmental Sciences master
program, Wageningen, Netherlands
3
Humboldt University of Berlin, Faculty of Life Sciences, Division of Resource Economics, Integrated
Natural Resource Management master program, Berlin, Germany
4
University of Potsdam, Institute of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Geoecology master program,
Potsdam, Germany
5
Wageningen University, Department of Environmental Sciences, Environmental Systems Analysis
Group, Wageningen, Netherlands
This study explored actors’ motivations to engage in collaborative governance for cultural
landscape stewardship in two case studies. Collaborative governance refers to the cooperation
of actors from different societal spheres (public, private, and civil society sector), who are active
at different spatial scales (local to national), in support of the preservation of unique cultural
landscapes. Stewardship relates to the financing and implementation of measures to maintain
traditional land use practices that have shaped those cultural landscapes over centuries or to
increase the landscapes’ capacity to provide specific ecosystem services, such as habitat
connectivity, recreational value, or flood protection. Often, the emergence of such collaborative
approaches takes place in response to a cut-back in public funding and thus retreat of publicly
supported interventions and maintenance measures. For the analysis the interview-based NetMap tool for social network analysis was used to: i) identify actors and their roles in landscape
stewardship, ii) investigate how they cooperate and interact, e.g. how they share knowledge or
resources, iii) assess their influence in and benefits of mutual decision making, and iv) define
their prior motivations for the involvement. Results presented relate to the application of the
Net-Map tool to investigate stakeholders’ interaction in two existing governance approaches a citizen foundation and a water management association, in the Spreewald region, Germany,
and stakeholder mapping of all actors involved in landscape management in the Berg en Dal
region, The Netherlands. The outcomes of the analysis, the visualized network maps, which
were created based on the perceptions and implicit knowledge of the interviewees, were also
used to highlight particularities, such as absent links, or imbalanced power relations and to
discuss possible improvements in the collaboration of actors together with the stakeholders. In
this way, the method helped in facilitating a social learning process among the involved
governance actors.
Speed talk:
Connecting Socio-ecological dynamics of Coastal Small-Scale Fisheries for
Colombian Adaptive Governance
Lina Maria Saavedra-Díaz 1, Luis O. Duarte 2, Luis M. Manjarrés 2, Darlin Botto 2, María
González 2, Félix Cuello 2, Catalina Angel 2, Jairo Altamar 2
1
Socioecological Systems Research Group, Biology Program, University of Magdalena.
lsaavedra@unimagdalena.edu.co, Santa Marta, Colombia
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
2
Laboratorio de Investigaciones Pesqueras Tropicales, Universidad del Magdalena,
gieep@unimagdalena.edu.co, Santa Marta, Colombia
The coastal small -scale fisheries of Colombia face a wide range of problems and conflicts. Due
to this complexity this research has been built through two stages. In the first stage (from years
2008-2012) were identified many problems shared among communities from both the
Caribbean and the Pacific coasts (bi-coastal), others were unique to a subset of the communities,
only occur on one of the coasts (uni-coastal) or in an individual locality. To come to grips with
the major problems for these fisheries requires establishing a fisheries management strategy that
can prioritize solutions at different levels: national, coastal, and local. This study describes the
main problems and solutions identified by three sets of stakeholders: fishermen, local leaders
and fisheries experts, to improve small-scale fisheries management in Colombia. All three sets
of stakeholders recommended that the government put in place fundamental regulatory
framework for small-scale fisheries. Some but not all groups supported specific measures, such
as gear restrictions, closed areas and closed seasons. In the second stage (2014-2016), this
research is trying to understand how Colombian small-scale fisheries could be managed on both
coasts through a bottom-up approach working with fishermen from different communities and
interacting at the same time with the National Fisheries Administration in order to strength
adaptive governance through the improvement of communication and trust between these two
main fishery stakeholders. This interaction has been done thanks through a research team-work
that has allowed the Academia to be a main stakeholder to facilitate the dialogue among
government and users throughout the interactions among different scenarios. The research has
evolved and changed through the time, using Local Traditional Knowledge as Fisheries
Management Tool, and simultaneously as the baseline to stablish which measures could be
turned into fishery agreements based on a consensus among the government and users
stakeholders.
Speed talk:
Water Resilience: An emerging paradigm?
Lucy Rodina
Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability, University of British Columbia, Vancouver,
Canada
This work is part of a broader study that investigates how resilience thinking is transforming
water governance at different scales – from neighbourhoods, to cities and globally. This paper
presents a comprehensive review of the concept of resilience as it applies to the domain of water
governance, both in academic and policy work, specifically in relation to floods, droughts, water
quality risks and water security. The evidence is drawn from a bibliometrics analysis of
academic literatures through Web of Science, and analysis of nearly 500 policy-relevant
documents by international organizations influential in the field of global water governance
(e.g., OCED, World Bank, UNEP, UNDP, UN Water, Water and Sanitation Program and
others). I find that resilience has been increasingly applied in the context of water related risks
over the last two decades, and in particular, has been strongly associated with climate change
and with ongoing development challenges in the Global South. I further report that water
resilience is framed and applied in multiple ways, focusing on various systems (built
infrastructure or ecosystems) and communities from the Global North to the Global South, in
relation to a wide range of risks (climate change, floods, droughts, and infrastructure failures).
However, within this complexity there are clear trends: a) An increasing emphasis on managing
uncertain and unpredictable variability in the hydrological cycle through more flexible and
adaptive approaches b) An increasing emphasis on harnessing ecosystems and green
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
infrastructure as buffers against shocks c) A strong focus on integration across different sectors
and domains of water governance d) A questioning of the scales at which water resources are
to be managed. I conclude with a series of recommendations for water managers and decision
makers about practices that will contribute to the transformation of the water sector towards a
more resilient water future.
Speed talk:
The projectification trap - how funding structures risk to shortcut long-term
urban sustainability ambitions
Sara Borgström
Royal Institute of Technology KTH, Stockholm, Sweden
Attracting resources is a key aspect in any local or small-scale initiative with ambitions to grow
and have large-scale impact, being it bottom up, top-down or in partnership. In order to support
creativity in the search for new ways of doing, organizing and thinking (DOT) for solutions to
“glocal” challenges such as climate change, the application of start-up models for financing has
become the dominating structure. This is related to the new public management discourse that
among other things are seen in the reorganisation of urban planning into projects. The projectformat of funding has very likely resulted in an increased flow and diversity of new initiatives
and projects that potentially provide the creative grounds. It also supports flexibility to adapt to
new understandings and changing conditions the as well as transfer of support to where it is
considered most needed for the time being. However, the strong priority of short-term, very
innovative initiatives leaves very little financial room for supporting continued development
and long-term commitments. This trap of projectification that this paper seeks to conceptualize,
risks to cause an ineffective and leaking system of knowledge, where new insights are not
captured or spread among actors and where the long-term governance learning and ability for
up-scaling become limited. By the use of an empirical study of the multi-level governance of
sustainable development in Stockholm region, Sweden, this paper explores and discusses the
impacts of financing structures on transformative capacity with focus on long-term governance
of wicked problems.
Monday, 21 August - C1/C2 (250) - 14:00 - 15:30
Transformative agency Part I
Social-ecological transformations for sustainability
Chair/s: Andrea Downing
Speed talk:
On the systems of transformative agency
J. Mario Siqueiros-García 1, 2, Abril Cid 3, Lakshmi Charli-Joseph 2, 3
1
IIMAS-Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico, Mexico
IE-LANCIS-Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico, Mexico
3
Posgrado en Ciencias de la Sostenibilidad, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico,
Mexico
2
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Transformation is a widely explored concept in the context of sustainability studies. Efforts
have been directed mostly to clarify its meaning in a way that can become an operational
concept. Framed under such discussion, the notion of agency emerges as a desired feature of
those who will lead transformation. Nevertheless, there is not a clear idea of whom may be those
drivers of change and what are their required characteristics. This work is the product of our
transformation projects in Mexico aimed at developing collective agency from a diversity of
stakeholders. Through this work we aim to open a discussion around the idea of Systems of
transformation. We understand these systems as agencial dynamical entities capable of inducing
change in social-ecological systems towards different pathways and maintaining the viability
of the new pathway. In order to delineate a notion of Systems of transformation we describe the
characteristics and properties necessary -though may be not sufficient- for an entity to become
a system of transformation.
Speed talk:
Design solutions for a new model of “Alpine urbanism” in reviving mountain
regions
Tobias Luthe
University of Applied Sciences HTW Chur, Chur, Switzerland
ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
MonViso Institute, Ostana, Italy
Mountain social-ecological systems are at the forefront of indicating ecological change with
direct and indirect impacts on downstream communities. After a period of abandonment, a new
kind of migration, jargonized „alpine urbanism“, is helping the revival of mountain regions and
strengthening their resilience. What constitutes a new model of alpine urbanism in mountain
regions? We narrate and evaluate the success story of transforming the community of Ostana,
Italy, using visual photo narratives, longitudinal social network analysis of migration and
initiatives, and design solutions, to present a successful revival model after facing a dramatic
de-population crisis. We introduce community-led initiatives and open a dialogue on real-case
challenges and solutions on multiple scales as transferable „recipes“. We hereby combine
scientific knowledge in sustainable mountain development with the voices of mountain
inhabitants. We present a real-time real-world social-ecological laboratory for new mountain
lifestyles on different scales, explore how the political framework can improve (social)
integration processes of new entrants and attract the “best-fit” people, while migrating
entrepreneurs incubate bottom-up transformations. We critically discuss the balance of cultural
preservation and its development to enable the transformation of mountain communities. The
main objectives addressed and discussed in this paper are to (1) Showcase a successful approach
to transform and revive an abandoned mountain community, (2) Apply the "Adaptive Waves"
conceptual framework for resilience and deliberate transformation, (3) Introduce communityled initiatives to revitalize a mountain community and its scalable impacts on the region and
beyond, (4) Open a dialogue on real-case challenges and solutions on multiple scales for
sustainability transformations, (5) Present a laboratory for new mountain lifestyles on different
scales, and (6) Show how the political work of individuals can improve (social) integration
processes of new entrants and attract the “right” people and entrepreneurs to enhance
sustainable development.
Speed talk:
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Political agency for disaster resilience in practice: insights from Australian
coastal communities
Silvia Serrao-Neumann, Darryl Low Choy
Cities Research Institute, Griffith University, Australia, Nathan, Australia
Human agency is a critical component of adaptive capacity concerning environmental change.
Agency refers to individuals’ capacity to become proactive, and mobilise others and resources,
in dealing with environmental change rather than being its victim. This capacity may entail
individuals and communities’ abilities to live with change and uncertainty, reorganise and
renew their social-ecological systems, learn from experience, and create opportunities for selforganisation and transformation. However, agency is also influenced by the structure of the
system it is trying to change, hence the need for political agency in its expanded view (cf.
O’Brien 2015). This paper investigates the conditions which are necessary for political agency
to flourish in communities affected by disasters caused by natural hazards – which may intensify
because of climate change. The paper draws on action research carried out in two Australian
coastal communities which have been affected by severe disasters, and continue to be
susceptible to natural hazards such as tropical cyclones, floods, wildfires, and sea-level rise.
Both communities took advantage of their disaster recovery phase to undertake a participatory,
and essentially bottom-up, planning process to prepare and implement strategies to increase
their resilience to future natural hazards. The paper discusses the challenges to political agency
confronted by both communities in harnessing opportunities for transformation during the
process of preparing and implementing their strategies for change. Challenges are discussed
from an intrinsic (individual and community’s agency capacity) and external (structure of the
system) perspectives, including: understanding current and future problems affecting their
social-ecological system through knowledge information and generation; devising solutions to
critical problems and understanding associated implications; understanding other people’s and
self- interests and values; developing and applying holistic and integrative thinking to solving
problems; and communicating and implementing solutions.
Speed talk:
Ecosocial innovations – small-scale steps towards sustainable economy and
resilient communities?
Tuuli Hirvilammi 1, Ingo Stamm 2, Aila-Leena Matthies 3, Kati Närhi 4
1
Postdoctoral researcher University of Jyväskylä Kokkola University Consortium Chydenius,
Kokkola, Finland
2
Postdoctoral researcher University of Jyväskylä Kokkola University Consortium Chydenius,
Kokkola, Finland
3
Professor of Social Work University of Jyväskylä Kokkola University Consortium Chydenius,
Kokkola, Finland
4
Professor of Social Work University of Jyväskylä, Jyväskylä, Finland
The present production, employment and income systems are built on the premises of an
unsustainable growth economy. Within this economic system, the challenge of unemployment
is often seen as a social risk and an economic problem without understanding how employment
is intertwined with the broader social-ecological system. Consequently, the aim of increasing
production can result in improving the employment situation in a society – but often at the
expense of the resilience of the biosphere. Drawing upon the social-ecological resilience
approach we call for more integrated solutions and search for innovations in production and
participation which are embedded in a resilient biosphere. This presentation is based on a 4-
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
year-long Finnish research project funded by the Academy of Finland that studies the
contribution of social work and systems of income security for the transition towards
sustainability. In this phase of the project, we focus on “ecosocial innovations” emerging in
European countries. With ecosocial innovations we mean organizations, projects or selforganized groups that are developing sustainable production and consumption patterns and new
participation possibilities, especially for young people in precarious situations. We present the
preliminary results of five empirical case studies on ecosocial innovations conducted in four
European countries (Finland, Germany, Belgium and Italy). We illustrate how for instance food
co-operatives, upcycling workshops, social kitchens and open art galleries are contributing to
sustainable economy and resilient communities. Inventing and developing these initiatives
requires a strong commitment and engagement but rarely offers a sufficient source of income
for the participants. Thus, we ask how do people involved in these innovations make their living
and what kind of work is needed to sustain and advance the new social practices of these
ecosocial innovations. We also discuss what structural obstacles they face and what policy
changes could improve their transformative potential.
Speed talk:
Transformation: from protective infrastructure to multi-functional landscapes
Daniella Hirschfeld, Kristina Hill
University of California - Berkeley, San Francisco, United States
The question of how to address the future challenges of sea level rise has been debated in the
climate adaptation and spatial planning fields. Scholars such as Roggema (2012) argue for the
identification of harbingers of change while others such as Hurlimann (2014) focus on an
inclusive approach. However, the current research has not adequately created a framework to
assess project proposals and their long-term strategic impact. Our paper addresses this gap with
special attention to the San Francisco Bay context where market forces are the primary drivers
of change. Specifically, in this project, we build on the prior work of Timmerman (1997) and
his conceptualization of coastal cities as well as the growing body of literature on intentional
changes in social-ecological systems (SES). First, using a simplified typology we categorize
current physical proposals and compare the degree of change they are able to generate.
Additionally, using iterative spatial models we will demonstrate possible future changes around
the San Francisco Bay. We will discuss how different projects compare to each other as well as
the degree of change they could generate in the bay. We argue that by using this framework,
which is based on prior work in the field of evolutionary landscapes, planners can better manage
transformations of social-ecological system. In conclusion, this project, by closely examining
current proposals in comparison to long-term needs, sheds new light on the little recognized
issue of inter-generational and inter-species equity. Works Cited Hurlimann, Anna, et al. 2014.
“Urban Planning and Sustainable Adaptation to Sea-Level Rise.” Landscape and Urban
Planning 126 (June): 84–93. Roggema, Rob, et al. 2012. “Incremental Change, Transition or
Transformation? Optimising Change Pathways for Climate Adaptation in Spatial Planning.”
Sustainability 4 (12): 2525–49. Timmerman, Peter, and Rodney White. 1997. “Megahydropolis:
Coastal Cities in the Context of Global Environmental Change.” Global Environmental Change
7 (3): 205–34.
Speed talk:
Transformation mindset providing a framework for implementing socialecological transformation
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Samuel Mann 1, Phil Osborne 1, Phoebe Eden-Mann 3, Lesley Smith 1, Glenys Ker 1, Philip
Alexander Crawford 2
1
Otago Polytechnic, Dunedin, New Zealand
Te Matarau Education Trust, Whangarei, New Zealand
3
University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
2
Despite widespread agreement about sustainability goals, progress has been limited because of
a disconnect between values of social actors within their professional practice. This disconnect
has hampered the agency of sustainable practitioners in driving transformational change
because of a lack of clear frameworks for implementing at the level of mindset. This mindset
framework recognises the link between values systems and behaviour as established by
Schwartz (1996, 2012). In this paper we describe an approach to considering values that we call
a transformation mindset. Adopting the structure of the Agile Manifesto, this transformation
mindset considers ten elements which extend Sterling’s earlier attributes of thought to mindset
elements which provide frameworks for work in conflicted professional practice. We describe
the application of the transformation mindset to education for sustainability, transformative
business, and indigenous regional development and show that the approach delivers insight and
an opportunity to develop alternative systems. We expect that this innovation will allow
sustainable practitioners in any field to create and implement sustainable solutions.
Speed talk:
Inside-out sustainability: The role of inner transformation for system change
Rebecca Freeth 1, Christopher Ives 2, Joern Fischer 1
1
2
Leuphana University, Lüneburg, Germany
Nottingham University, Nottingham, United Kingdom
Like all science, sustainability science has separated itself from the world in order to better
understand external reality. While sustainability science has generated a much improved
understanding of social-ecological systems, it has arguably been less successful in generating
transformative knowledge on how to bring about desired changes in these systems. At the same
time, we contend that internal dimensions of reality, including internal sources of human
agency, innovation and learning, represent a blind spot in sustainability science. In this paper,
we assess the field of sustainability science through the lens of Ken Wilber’s ‘integral theory’.
Integral theory seeks to synthesise all different modes of human inquiry by understanding
knowledge as (i) pertaining to interior versus exterior dimensions, and (ii) relating to individual
versus collective entities. Sustainability science has extensively addressed the exterior world,
especially at a societal level. By contrast, it has greatly neglected ‘interior worlds’, especially
at the individual level. According to integral theory, this means sustainability science has missed
a substantial part of human existence, the very entity it seeks to transform. Donella Meadows
introduced the notion of deep leverage points - places to intervene in a system for change where
change is difficult but will fundamentally alter system behaviour. Arguably, the relative lack of
interest in individual, internal change in sustainability science thus amounts to a missed
opportunity to engage with one of the deepest leverage points for sustainability there is.
Sustainability science, we argue, thus needs to move beyond its roots in enlightenment, and take
a stronger interest in the internal values and worldviews within individuals that underpin the
external, societal-level patterns we seek to alter. To this end, we invite sustainability scientists
into a conversation about combining scholarly pursuits with personal practices that focus on
inner change, such as philosophy, psychology, art, ethics, religion and spirituality.
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Speed talk:
Regenerating Soil, Regenerating the Soul: Theorizing the Role of the “Interior” in
Farmers’ Transitions to Regenerative Agriculture
Hannah Gosnell, Bruce Goldstein
Oregon State University, Corvallis, United States
The growing interest in regenerative agriculture, characterized by a management focus on
fundamental ecosystem processes associated with soil health, biodiversity, water/mineral cycles
and energy flow, an Earth stewardship ethic, and resilience thinking, can be thought of as part
of a larger sustainability transition taking place on agricultural landscapes globally that
exemplifies an integral approach to climate change adaptation. While there has been some
scholarly attention to the “exterior” dimensions of this movement (institutional, technological,
behavioral), there is need for better understanding of “interior” dynamics (psychological,
cultural, spiritual) that have bearing on the potential for scaling up the movement to a sustained,
global transformation. Since the principles and practices associated with this approach to food
and fiber production are often quite different than those employed in more conventional forms
of agriculture, transitioning one’s operation can be challenging, as the process can involve a
whole suite of technical, financial, managerial, and psychological challenges, a steep learning
curve, and a fundamental change in worldview towards a more “worldcentric” ethic. Drawing
on empirical research on Australian farmers’ experiences transitioning from conventional to
regenerative agriculture, the paper uses integral theory to explain the personal transformation
that accompanies and, more importantly, sustains farmers’ transitions, and considers how
changes in behavior relate to interior and exterior dynamics occurring in the personal, cultural
and institutional realms. A key objective is to highlight the value of an integral approach to
characterizing critical links between personal and social transformation, and the psychological,
spiritual, and ethical development that accompanies new kinds of interactions with soil, plants,
and animals. Such systematic consideration of “the interior” are missing from scholarship on
social-ecological transformation and can inform strategies for catalyzing and sustaining such
transformation in other arenas. The paper also breaks new ground in efforts to integrate theories
about social-ecological transformation with integral theory.
Speed talk:
Transformation to Sustainability: Western Canadian Resource Communities.
Robert Summers 1, Kristof Van Assche 1, 2, Monica Gruezmacher 3, Leith Deacon 1
1
Planning and Human Geography, EAS, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada
Development, Bonn University, Bonn, Germany
3
Faculty of Extension, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada
2
This paper explores alternative planning and economic development strategies that small to
medium sized resource communities in western Canada have taken in the face of economic,
environmental, social, and cultural instability. It draws from in depth research undertaken by an
interdisciplinary team in more than 20 western Canadian communities historically dependent
on resource industries. In most cases, the communities have a diverse cultural heritage with long
term residents, indigenous populations, and migrant workers. In most cases, economic activities
have resulted in significant degradation of local ecological systems and communities have
suffered through intermittent or permanent economic downturns as global markets shifted. It
was found that some communities have embraced efforts to transition towards increased
sustainability and long term resilience with varied levels of success. Key factors contributing to
success in transformative efforts include the use of local introspective governance processes to
identify community strengths, intercultural engagement, local actors providing strong
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
leadership, collaboration with regional partners, support from provincial governments, and a
willingness of local governments to resist or temper outside economic forces seeking to impose
particular forms of development on municipalities. The role of local innovation in identifying
and enacting strategies towards transforming towards sustainability was of key importance as
strategies and ‘best practices’ from elsewhere were often not well suited to the local context of
communities. The paper concludes with the development of a procedural framework rooted in
collective action theory to assist communities in similar contexts to undertake processes of
transformation. The research is rooted in evolutionary governance theory with a specific focus
on community planning and development.
Speed talk:
Muck and magic: individual transformations in social-ecological systems
Katrina Brown, Thomas James
University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Transformation is widely promoted in resilience literature yet there are relatively few empirical
studies of transformation at multiple scales. Moreover, resilience studies lack a nuanced
understanding of how individuals aspire to pursue the alternative visions for the future that lie
at the heart of transformational change. This thesis applies a resilience lens to investigate
conversions of farmland from conventional to organic status by members of the Tamar Valley
Organics Group, UK, as transformations in social-ecological systems. Resilience concepts and
ideas are embedded in action research practice to provide a temporal sweep of transformation
at the scales of the individual and collective, and how such transformations relate to cross-scale
change in a broader social-ecological system. Transformations are identified as intertwined
fundamental shifts in understanding and management of agroecosystem fertility. These
transformations are shaped by distinct contributions from pioneer and facilitator key individuals
through processes of self-organisation and social learning across temporal and spatial scales.
Transformations in understanding and management of agroecosystem fertility result in a shift
in how individuals connect and relate to change in a social-ecological system. Transformations
enable individual feelings of optimism, confidence, and self-efficacy to address and shape
dynamic drivers of change. However, individual capacities to scale-out transformations are
constrained by limited and marginalising levels of understanding and acceptance of
transformations by individuals at more proximal scales. These findings act as the foundations
for a more nuanced set of issues to emerge. Transformations are characterised by complex crossscale interplay between small and large changes. It is the way in which these cross-scale
dynamics work with each other that informs a resilience understanding of the individual and
collective dimensions of transformations in social-ecological systems.
Speed talk:
Case-specific design of deliberate transformation processes towards sustainable
food systems
Johannes Halbe 1, Claudia Pahl-Wostl 1, Uwe Schneidewind 2
1
2
Institute of Environmental Systems Research, University of Osnabrueck, Osnabrueck, Germany
Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Wuppertal, Germany
Sustainability transformations require broad societal change ranging from individual behavioral
change, to community projects, businesses that offer sustainable products as well as policymakers that set suitable incentive structures. Concepts, methods and tools are currently lacking
that help to explore such diverse interactions of actors, as well as help to find strategies to
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
actively facilitate sustainability transformations. This contribution presents a methodology for
the analysis and design of case-specific transformation processes. Sustainability
transformations are understood as the deliberate implementation of sustainability innovations
(e.g., practices and technologies with sustainability benefits), which require learning at multiple
societal levels (i.e., individual, group, organizational and policy levels). Supportive factors of
learning are practical leverage points for the implementation of sustainability innovations.
These learning factors can take the form of knowledge (e.g., skills), institutions (e.g., a piece of
legislation) or operational aspects (e.g., infrastructure). The methodology combines an expert
and participatory approach to identify learning factors and to examine those relevant in specific
cases: 1) a systematic literature review of supportive and impeding factors of learning; 2) a
participatory modeling approach to identify case-specific sustainability innovations as well as
related implementation barriers, drivers, and actor roles; and 3) a governance system analysis
to operationalize these findings by designing case-specific transformation processes as a
sequence of action situations. A case study on sustainable food systems in Southwestern Ontario
is provided that demonstrates the potential of the methodology to design case-specific
transformation processes. Sustainability innovations in regional food systems were analyzed,
including urban gardening initiatives as well as organic and diversified farming approaches.
Multiple entry points for interventions and roles of several actors were identified based upon
local and expert knowledge. More specifically, the case study results underline the importance
of consumer awareness, a cooperative mindset of actors within the food system and an enabling
institutional context.
Speed talk:
The role of academic actors along transformations of small scale fisheries. An
agency-culture-structure approach.
Martinez-Peña Rodrigo, Kirill Orach, Per Olsson, Maja Schlüter
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
Calls for a fundamental change have increasingly been made due to the multiple global
environmental crises. Resilience scholarship has responded by studying transformations of
linked social-ecological systems towards more sustainable trajectories. These processes of
systemic change involve social, political, resource management and ecological change, and
imply a shift in regulatory frameworks, norms, values, knowledge production systems, equity,
and power distribution. A central issue within this field is to understand how and in what
conditions specific actors create, navigate and stabilize change. The role of certain actors such
as leaders, stewards and shadow networks is well understood but a study focusing on academic
actors is lacking. Here we show that academic actors play a variety of facilitating roles along
the phases of the process of transformation by exercising seven types of strategic agency linked
to structural relations with funding bodies, although, they often act in spite of their own vested
interests. By means of a literature review of case studies of small-scale fisheries transformations
we found: groups of scientists conducting participatory action research triggering local
transformations, networks of researchers bringing actors together and providing legitimacy in
the transition of change and, as a result of the institutionalizing phase, universities becoming
co-managers and individual scientist occupying positions within formal decision making
bodies. This study takes the morphogenetic approach from realist social theory, which explains
social change in terms of structure, culture and agency. Through this perspective it is shown
that scientists mainly contribute to modify the cultural sphere, e.g. perceptions, values and
knowledge, which precedes change of structures. By using the morphogenetic approach we
managed to account for power relations in the study of transformative processes, which
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
contributes to more comprehensive studies in the field. Finally, we aimed to inform a reflection
about the endeavor of academic actors in the face of the global social-ecological change.
Monday, 21 August - Poster area - 14:00 - 14:40
Cross-cutting theme Poster tour
Cross-cutting perspectives on resilience
Chair/s: Valentina Savo
Poster:
Formative resilience assessments transform system resilience
Susara Van der Merwe
Centre for Complex Systems in Transition, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa
Enterprise Resilience Department, Risk & Sustainability Group, Eskom, Sandton, South Africa
To apply resilience normatively it is necessary to assess and build resilience throughout the
complex system. From educational assessments we learn that assessments can be performed
summatively, to report on what students have achieved, or formatively, for teachers to gauge
where students are at, to inform the learning required towards mastery. From the application of
this insight to systems resilience, different assessment approaches can be categorised based on
its intention. If the purpose is comparison of levels of resilience across systems or time, or to
give account of levels of resilience achieved, summative assessments should be employed. If
the purpose is applying resilience normatively, recognising that resilience cannot be fully
attained, ongoing formative assessments needs to be adopted to continuously enhance levels of
resilience. As a system’s level characteristic resilience cannot be achieved as the outcome of a
linear programme. Instead the enabling conditions need to be created for resilience to emerge
across the system using complex feedback. If resilience assessments are done formatively it
contributes to a continuous assess-and-build cycle, which can serve as catalyst for resilience to
emerge. It facilitates participative processes of reflection on levels of resilience and renewing
commitment to resilience objectives. It deliberately strengthens positive feedback loops that
becomes part of a virtuous cycle that result in the emergence of resilience across the system.
Formative resilience assessments consist of a systematic cycle of investigation, participative
engagement and joint reflection to make sense of current levels of systems resilience,
discussions on where it needs to improve to achieve resilience norms, and agreement on
alternative paths to attain it. It requires focused attention, stimulating a collective mindfulness
of resilience objectives and the adoption of multiple alternative approaches. Formative
resilience assessments can evolve into adaptive and transformative cycles of building resilience
across the system.
Poster:
Cognitive abilities and the resilience of common pool resource systems to
ecological change
Samantha Nabity 2, Tam The Nguyen 3, Jacob Freeman 2, Jacopo Baggio 1
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
1
Department of Environment and Society, Utah State University, Logan, United States
Anthropology Program, Utah State University, Logan, United States
3
Computer Science, Utah State University, Logan, United States
2
Most policy challenges–from persistent inequality to pollution control–revolve around social
dilemmas. In this paper we test the effects of individual cognitive abilities on the capability of
a group to solve a social dilemma in a social-ecological system (SES). Two cognitive capacities
are considered critical for groups to solve complex problems associated with social dilemmas:
general intelligence (g) and social intelligence (SI). G is critical to understand how a SES works
and find the best strategy to manage resources under conditions of ecological change. SI is
critical to maintain social cohesion in spite of social change. Thus, a functional diversity of
intelligence capacities results in more resilient solutions to social dilemmas in dynamic SES
than either an abundance of individuals with high g or SI alone. To evaluate these premises we
conducted behavioral experiments where participants learned to harvest resources as a group
for three rounds and were then faced with an unexpected ecological change (perturbation) The
perturbation reduced the availability of resources, stressing established rules and strategies for
harvesting resources. All else being equal, the likelihood of resource collapse increased and
gross resource harvest declined after the perturbation. Groups with high average g scores had a
lower rate of resource collapse. Groups with higher average SI were better at cooperating in
devising strategies to harvest resources prior to and after the ecological perturbation. More
optimal harvest results and the minimization of resource collapse were more likely in groups
with a mix of individuals with high g and high SI scores. Our results help us understand the
effects of diverse individual cognitive abilities on the resilience of a social-ecological system
under conditions of ecological change.
Poster:
Opportunities for resilient communities, ecosystems, and infrastructure by
optimizing management of New England dams
Samuel Roy 1, Bridie McGreavy 1, Tyler Quiring 1, Emi Uchida 2, Karen Wilson 3, Sharon Klein 1,
Emma Fox 1, Joseph Zydlewski 1, 4
1
University of Maine, Orono, United States
University of Rhode Island, Kingston, United States
3
University of Southern Maine, Gorham, United States
4
United States Geological Survey, Orono, United States
5
University of New Hampshire, Durham, United States
2
In New England, where an industrial past is reflected along many rivers, dam removal has
become a cornerstone of environmental restoration practice. One outcome of dam removal that
has received significant attention is improved fish passage to historic habitat, providing a crucial
gain in ecosystem resilience and health in New England rivers. However, there are many
additional trade-offs that complicate the decision-making process for dam removal or
modification, leading to contentious management practices and uncertain outcomes for
ecosystems and communities. Many of these decisions are made at the individual project level,
with little consideration for the basin-scale impact of removal. We explore ways to improve
upon these practices through an interdisciplinary modeling approach to 1) identify basin-scale
decision scenarios that optimize trade-offs between multiple ecosystem services; and 2) assess
the potential for efficiency gains of those decisions that represent stakeholder preferences. We
hypothesize that basin-scale optimization can significantly improve the trade-off efficiency of
ecosystem services beyond current conditions, but that plausible opportunities for efficiency
gains are shaped by key stakeholder concerns relating to dam decisions. Numerous basin-scale
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
decisions can increase the resilience of some ecosystem services, such as fisheries, with minimal
impact to other ecosystem services, such as hydropower generation and reservoir storage.
Generally speaking, run-of-river dams located near the head of tide are common choices for
removal due to low power capacity and high impact on fish passage. Existing literature and our
survey, interview, and media data suggest that stakeholders have major concerns regarding the
uncertainty of post-removal conditions, including loss of cultural identity, reductions in
property values, and the proliferation of invasive species. We describe how inclusive and
ongoing communication between stakeholders and dam removal experts through interviews,
focus groups, active and iterative engagement, and participatory modeling approaches helps to
understand the constraints and opportunities in improving efficiency.
Poster:
Raising awareness of marine and climate issues through teaching across subjects
in the southern Cape coastal region of South Africa
Gregory Duggan 1, Astrid Jarre 1, Grant Murray 2
1
2
Marine Research Institute, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
Duke Marine Lab, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States
Marginalised communities are exposed to a multiplicity of stressors, to which some, lacking
capacity, tend to react rather than adapt. Successful transformation to a more resilient, adaptive
state depends in part on improving access to information and appropriate knowledge tools.
Based on findings of ethnographic and interview-based research in two rural, underprivileged
communities in the southern Cape coastal region of South Africa, we describe the process,
challenges, and successes of co-developing, with students and teachers, integrative teaching
modules related to marine and climate issues. The modules augment the South African
government’s CAPS school curriculum for grades 7-9, and were co-designed to draw examples
and practical lessons from the surrounding environment, exposing learners to a range of
scientific and other approaches they otherwise would not have had access to. The modules were
designed to provide education to empower, enhancing adaptive capacity and resilience by
sharing and spreading knowledge in the communities, including interactive exercises to
facilitate knowledge sharing between learners and adult residents. Identified challenges
included a lack of contextually-relevant examples and coverage of topics pertinent to the local
context in the CAPS curriculum and textbooks. Successes include initiating thinking and
learning among the students about pressing social-ecological issues in one community and
coterminously opening a conversation around these issues with the community, despite a
context of historical marginalisation and mistrust of outsiders. The findings suggest that the codevelopment of the modules is a useful process for enhancing teaching in underprivileged, rural
schools, representing a first step in moving beyond typical ‘top-down’ approaches to
community education, by focussing on education not only about the environment, but for the
environment. In relation to conventional approaches to social learning, the work shifts focus
away from learning amongst adults, to fostering resilience thinking, empowering future
generations of stakeholders and leaders.
Poster:
Strategizing rather than coping: considering one’s options in case the fish leave
Louise Gammage 1, Astrid Jarre 1, 2, Charles Mather 3, 4, Marcus Haward 5
1
Marine Research Institute & Department of Biological Sciences University of Cape Town, Cape
Town, South Africa
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
2
Centre for Statistics in Ecology, the Environment: University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South
Africa
3
Department of Geography, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Canada
4
Department of Geography, Environmental Management and Energy Studies, University of
Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa
5
Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia
Small-scale fishers, and the communities they support, face a range of social and ecological
challenges that undermine their ability to sustain livelihoods and achieve resilience. Traditional
handline fishers in South Africa’s southern Cape region are no exception. Responding to these
challenges requires an understanding of how these stressors interact in a context of a
dynamically changing regulatory environment. The impact and interplay of multiple stressors
at multiple scales must be considered to improve our understanding of social-ecological
linkages and their associated systems. Only then can sustainable livelihoods be effectively
supported through the development and implementation of response strategies that promote
community changes to improve social-ecological system well-being. This presentation reports
on an interactive and iterative scenario planning process taking place in the small-scale fishing
community of Melkhoutfontein. Recent research has found this low- to middle- income
community at intermediate levels of adaptive capacity, coping with the multiplicity of stressors
related to long-term changes on land, in the sea and in regulations, rather than just reacting or
even adapting to them. The initial steps of this transformative scenario planning process have
seen future scenario ‘stories’ built by research participants in an interactive and iterative
process. This process has included developing structured decision-making tools such as causal
diagrams to provide an improved understanding of drivers of change within the context of the
social-ecological system. In addition to improved understanding of these drivers, the process
has also encouraged capacity building and learning within the community. We reflect on the
initial results from the research and on the feasibility of scenarios in ensuring a more sustainable
future for Melkhoutfontein and similar fishing communities on South Africa’s south coast.
Poster:
British Columbia’s new marine spatial plans – A tipping point in marine
management in Canada?
Linda Nowlan
West Coast Environmental Law, Vancouver, Canada
The completion of the Marine Planning Partnership (MaPP) plans in 2015 has brought British
Columbia (BC) to the forefront of best practices in Marine Spatial Planning (MSP). This
innovative governance process, co-led by the governments of BC and 17 First Nations,
produced Canada’s first large-scale marine spatial plans for a vast area stretching from the
northern tip of Vancouver Island to the Alaska border. Using a unique process, the MaPP plans
encompass critical aspects of resource governance through stakeholder participation in
decision-making, including allocation of marine space to reflect social and ecological objectives
within three zone types (protection management, general management and special management)
and employing an ecosystem-based management framework based on resilience principles. The
MaPP initiative demonstrates how different orders of government can plan together for a future
of sustainable marine management. The plans reflect First Nations laws, values, and traditions,
and Marine Advisory Committees composed of individuals from a variety of backgrounds were
key to building local support. This conservation planning model can be scaled up in other marine
regions of Canada, the Arctic, and globally. Will implementation of these plans mark a tipping
point in marine management in Canada? This presentation argues that legalization of the MaPP
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
plans is a necessary step in our transformation to a more sustainable way of using ocean
resources. To fully realize the MaPP government-to-government process and resulting plans,
and to enhance support and compliance, legal implementation is needed to create binding
obligations and new cogovernance bodies, enshrine Indigenous laws and knowledge, and
devolve enforcement authority. Legally embedded stakeholder participation rights will
accelerate the shift that MaPP has catalyzed.
Poster:
Inter-agency management of rangelands: Learning effects on innovation adoption
rates
Gwendwr Meredith, Jacopo Baggio
Department of Environment and Society, Utah State University, Logan, United States
Public rangelands constitute nearly half the land in the western United States; however, this
land is managed by a multitude of different federal and state management agencies. With this
mosaic of different management strategies across the landscape, adoption of management
innovations that promote the sustainable management of rangelands may not reach their full
potential. Empirical data concerning innovation adoption and knowledge transfer among and
within these agencies is lacking. Previous research shows that success-biased imitation, in
comparison to conformist or individual learning strategies, increases the probability of dealing
with ecological disturbances. Thus, for rangeland managers to adopt the most effective
management plan, they must rely at least partially on information gathered from fellow
managers. To examine innovation adoption acquired through success-biased imitation, I
conducted semi-structured qualitative interviews with agency personnel. This resulted in a
social network of intra- and inter-agency connections based on whom one goes to for advice,
perceptions of those advisors’ success, and whether it led to adoption of a rangeland
management practice. The data from this empirical case study is helpful in determining how
rangeland managers perceived as successful can affect the adoption rates of management
innovations. Furthermore, I examine how the perceived success of the initial adopter of an
innovation within this network can either limit or expand the innovation’s adoption. Examining
patterns of adoption between agencies shows where there is a breakdown in transfer of
innovations, marking areas where increased collaboration is necessary. These areas are crucial
to identify because agencies managing rangelands will have to operate in a continually changing
environment. Their ability to share innovations and knowledge amongst themselves will
increase their transformative capacity and the subsequent management quality.
Poster:
Environmental policy tortuousness: implications for sustainable community coexistence with nature
Patience DONWA 1, Osaro AGBONTAEN 2
1
2
University of Benin, Benin City, Nigeria
PAN-Atlantic University, Lagos, Nigeria
The environment experiences avertable ecological hazards as a result of the activities of firms
in the extraction section. This condition persists because policy undermines the plan to secure
inclusive access to replenish devastated biodiversity. Fundamentally, oil and gas exploration
persistently degrade terrestrial and marine vegetation because of inefficiencies in handling
dangerous wastes that emits toxic chemicals. Basically, the Nigeria petrol industrial bill
specifies health, safety and environmental standards. However, it does not state the process of
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
implementation and effective monitoring. This study sheds light on systematic policy insights
directed at community-based biosphere conservation relating to oil exploration. It examines
domestic and international policies potential to mitigate the environmental plights of the rural
oil producing communities. It seeks how these virtual revolutionary policies support natural
resource management. The autoregressive distribution lag model test the dynamics of the
variables specified. These include gas flare growth rate, which represent environmental damage
because of flares. Change in the value of crude oil export represents the effect of crude oil
exploration. Difference in domestic crude oil exploration output at the 1990 crude value
indicates the international permitted limits as declared in the Kyoto protocol. Gas flared annual
value deducted from its 1977 worth captures the Nigeria Petroleum Act efficiency. Community
agitation dummy expresses regional crisis, while government intervention shows welfare
intensity in petroleum producing area. The results suggest that the policies guiding oil and gas
extraction in Nigeria are not environmentally prudent. The present generation stands the risk of
losing the ecosystem that has supported their existence for centuries. Consequently, the future
generation may not have a foothold on cultural environmental insights for survival in the region.
Other findings have implications for government, donor agencies, prospective investors and
company’s oil and gas exploration regulations. JEL Classification: C32, L71, N50, O11, O21,
Q40, Q50, R23
Poster:
Ocean Resilience – Two Sides of One Coin
Anja Engel 1, Konrad Ott 2, Heidrun Kopp 1, Enno Prigge 1
1
2
GEOMAR Helmholtz-Centre for Ocean Kiel,, Kiel, Germany
Department of Philosophy University Kiel, Kiel, Germany
Human activities have altered the ocean and its ecosystems beyond their natural state.
Anthropogenic impacts on the ocean are manifold and include warming and acidification,
deoxygenation, biodiversity loss and bio-invasion, eutrophication, resource extraction and
pollution. As a consequence, ocean and ecosystem services such as food provisioning, climate
regulation, coastal protection and cultural benefits are diminishing. Eventually, finite marine
resources and services will inevitably require a shift from conservation to recovery. With a
growing proportion of humankind living close to the sea, ocean disasters such as tsunamis,
submarine mass movements or volcanic eruptions increasingly impact societies around all
ocean basins. Ocean Resilience mutually addresses human-ocean relations, the societies as well
as ocean ecosystems, and their capacities to endure and recover from stress and disturbances.
How a positive synergism between societies and ocean ecosystems can be achieved in the future
is one of the central research questions of the Excellence Cluster ‘The Future Ocean’ at Kiel
University. Providing new ideas for mitigating anthropogenic disturbances and for marine
ecosystem restoration, and developing new concepts for societal resilience to natural oceanic
disasters will be an important step to secure sustainable human-ocean interactions in the future
We will present the concept of an integrative and transdisciplinary approach to address (i)
threats to the ocean and prospects of marine ecosystems to endure and recover from stress and
anthropogenic disturbances (ecosystem resilience) and (ii) threats from the ocean and the
capability of (coastal) societies to reduce risk (coastal resilience) and to adjust adaptation and
mitigation planning to ocean disasters.
Poster:
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Innovations confronting reality: Effect, perception and adaptation of innovations
in soil-water conservation and nutrient recycling in Bolo Silasie, Ethiopia
Linus Dagerskog
Stockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm, Sweden
Stockholm Reslience Center, Stockholm, Sweden
Food demand in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is expected to increase three fold by 2050 as a result
of rapid population growth together with dietary changes from increased incomes. The
challenge will be to intensify food production while maintaining and preferably enhancing the
underlying natural capital and associated ecosystem services, on a sub-continent where 50
million small farms produce the lion share of the food consumed. This challenge is reflected in
the SDG2, calling for “…doubling production of small holder farmers” while “…ensuring
sustainable food production systems”. Conservation of local soil, water and nutrient resources
is fundamental to sustainable food systems. Innovations facilitating both resource retention in
the field in the field and the recycling of what is taken out from the field need to be tried out,
adapted and adopted on in local contexts. In Bolo Silasie village in Ethiopia, the biophysical
effects and possible synergies of promising innovations related to conservation tillage, water
harvesting and productive sanitation were tested with farmers in various field trials 2012-2015.
For such innovations to scale up/out, they need not only to be economically beneficial but also
fit the needs of the local farming system and culture as well as being in line with national
policies and legislation. A cost-benefit analysis as well as surveys on farmer perceptions and
the process of adaptation of technologies to suit local realities will be shared. These local results
together with the Ethiopian institutional context frame the analysis of opportunities and hinders
for further uptake of the tested innovations.
Poster:
MODELLING SOCIO-ECOLOGICAL TIPPING POINTS FOR THE
LATINAMERICAN CENTER OF SCALLOP CULTIVATION (MOSETIP)
Lotta Clara Kluger 1, Philipp Gorris 2, Sophia Kochalski 3, Miriam S. Müller 4, Giovanni
Romagnoni 5, Matthias Wolff 1
1
Leibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Research, Fahrenheitstraße 6, 28359 Bremen, Germany,
Bremen, Germany
2
Institute of Environmental Systems Research (IUSF), Osnabrueck University, Germany, Osnabrueck,
Germany
3
Leibniz Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries (IGB), Berlin, Germany, Berlin,
Germany
4
Posgrado en Ciencias del Mar y Limnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Unidad
Académica Mazatlán, Mexico, Mazatlán, Mexico
5
Center for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis (CEES), Dept. of Biosciences, University of Oslo,
Norway, Oslo, Norway
This project aims to analyse the resilience of the social-ecological system (SES) of a bay system
in North Peru through an integrated network modelling approach. In this bay, an open-access
multispecies diving fishery was recently transformed into a property-rights-based regime for
the cultivation of the Peruvian scallop (Argopecten purpuratus). About 25000 persons are
involved in the scallop production process, representing the most important socio-economic
activity in the region. However, it is assumed that today’s single-species dependence makes this
SES highly vulnerable as scallop market price fluctuations and environmental disturbances may
threaten scallop populations and alternative livelihood options appear absent. For instance,
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
during El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, higher temperatures and strong rains, as
well as changes in primary productivity, species composition and biodiversity are observed in
this region. Scallop populations are predicted to suffer from the resulting reduction in water
salinity and natural food production. Furthermore, scallop overstocking may surpass the bay’s
ecological carrying capacity at a certain (tipping) point, threatening ecosystem functioning. The
sustainability and resilience of the SES thus depends on successful ecosystem-based
management and on the ability of local stakeholders to cope with disturbance events. A socialecological network model based on trophic and non-trophic interactions (links) among
functional groups (nodes) was constructed. First preliminary results of this ongoing research
include the identification of key nodes and pathways, and the exploration of different
environmental and management scenarios for the prediction of tipping points as well as points
of leverage to render the system more resilient. Hereby, this work helps to better understand the
feedback mechanisms between scallop mariculture, ecosystem health, and people’s well-being,
and the effects of management measures to improve the resilience of the overall SES.
Poster:
Closing the Phosphorus supply chain through Phosphorus recovery in European
urban areas. A case study on Stockholm Budapest
Claudiu Eduard Nedelciu 1, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir 1, Ingrid Stjernquist 2
1
2
University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
Stockholm University, Stokcholm, Sweden
Phosphorus (P) is one of the three irreplaceable fertilizers needed for agricultural production.
Most of the P fertilizers come from phosphate rock, obtained by surface mining in countries
like the US, China and Morocco and peak production is imminent in the future. Once applied
on farms, a part of the P is absorbed by crops for growth, while another part leaks into waterways
causing eutrophication in surface waters, coastal zones and inland seas. P is also found in
sewage and it is an important component in urban wastewater, further contributing to
eutrophication of water resources. This poster investigates the degree to which urban areas can
reinvent their role from main P pollution and P loss hubs into hotspots of P recovery through a
circular system, by exploring the socio-economic processes needed for such a transformation.
An increase in population and food production will potentially increase P pollution from
agricultural runoff and sewage. We explore the role of P recovery from urban areas as a means
to move towards circular P nutrient cycle. P recovery from urban wastewater is already being
implemented throughout Europe and several countries have already set up a series of successful
projects, some at a large scale. Preliminary results indicate that up to 90% of P can be recycled
from sewage sludge, bringing down the need for primary resource extraction, lowering import
costs, and reducing harmful environmental pollution. Studies show that Europe, which at
present imports 92% of its P fertilizers, could recover up to 15% of its total P need from urban
sludge. By using systems analysis and qualitative research methods, this study explores the
dynamics of pilot projects in Stockholm and Budapest, in order to determine their efficiency,
applicability and upscalability and advance suggestions for innovative solutions to close the
urban P cycle in Europe.
Monday, 21 August - Poster area - 14:00 - 14:50
Connectivity theme Poster tour
Connectivity and cross-scale dynamics in the Anthropocene
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
Chair/s: Max Troell
Poster:
n aesthetics of resilience: design and agency in contemporary coral restoration
Rennie Meyers
University of Rhode Island, Department of Marine Affairs, NY, United States
TJ Watson Foundation, NY, United States
If the Anthropocene points to how human action can destabilise earth’s systems, then it also
implies that human agency can refurbish and redesign those same systems in the name of mutual
survival. On Koh Tao, an island in the Gulf of Thailand, a cohort of tourists and conservationists
collect, cultivate, and propagate coral species on artificial reef structures. Koh Tao's economy
is dependent on its local reefs to support scuba tourism, but only the New Heaven Restoration
and Conservation Program (NHRCP) maintains conservation efforts to support reef resilience
and the island’s economic health. Its students and instructors re-form their relationship to global
climate change as doubly active agents in the Anthropocene: first, claiming responsibility for
the ecological impacts of anthropogenic climate change; second, reforming the life-path of coral
fragments under new scientific and aesthetic paradigms. As scientists, participants prioritise
coral species’ genetic diversity and ecological needs. As conservationists, they create narratives
that perpetuate investment in resilience. From coral nurseries to underwater sculptures,
NHRCP’s participants rework their relationship to global climate change and their own sense
of agency made manifest through ecological design. They imagine new livelihoods by
fashioning resilient, genetically diverse coral species. Their choices become an aesthetic of
resilience.
Poster:
CONNECTIVITY AND CROSS-SCALE DYNAMICS: MBA LEARNING
EXPERIENCES ACROSS THREE REGIONS.
Jose M Alcaraz 1, Keary Shandler 2, Mark Edwards 3
1
Munich Business School, Munich, Germany
Murdoch University, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
3
Western Australia University, Perth, Germany
2
How can non-experts and, particularly, business professionals and students grasp key issues
around industry, connectivity and cross-scale dynamics? Here we will present the findings of
our pedagogical work, undertaken during more than two years across three regions (Perth in
Western Australia, a mining-dependent state, and the two fast-developing regions of Singapore
and Dubai). Our key assumption is that it is precisely the business community the one that needs
to understand and address important connectivity issues, as industry is the main driver of the
Anthropocene. We engaged our MBA [Master in Business Administration] students in an
amateur, documentary-style film-making project centered on the linkages between industry, the
Anthropocene and the planetary boundaries framework (Rockstrom et al, 2009; Steffen et al,
2015). Here we will present the multiple insights and outcomes (at cognitive, skills and
emotional spheres) resulting from their experiential-learning project, and how similar
pedagogical experiences may help learners identify key industry dynamics, interactions and
teleconnections - experiencing those at the local level ("in their own skin" or "backyard"), at
regional and planetary levels. We argue that these are key issues for organizational leaders, to
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
foster deeper and more informed approaches to justice and responsibility and, ultimately, to
reconnect with the biosphere.
Poster:
Exploring the intermediate grounds between local and global resource markets
Laura Elsler, Maja Schlueter
Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm, Sweden
Dealing with the effects and managing cross-scale interactions in social-ecological systems is a
central challenge. Interactions across spatial, conceptual and temporal scales can lead to both
emergence and contagion. In the context of marine resource exploitation, the globalization of
markets introduced these dynamics result, for example, in rapid substitution of supplies, roving
bandits and species-related elasticity. Local fisheries markets have rapidly expanded to global
trade markets with almost 40% of seafood internationally traded. The threat to the sustainability
of the resource creates the pressing need for actions and institutions to manage the interplay of
different markets. Building cross-scale management requires understanding of the mechanisms
which interplay between and within different markets. Here we model the feedbacks between
local and global market, human behavior and fish stocks. The local market serves a limited
demand which saturates as supply increases. Global demand is theoretically unlimited. The
model results show the resilience of the resource extractor, as one key management unit,
increases with diversity in markets and ecosystem. The development of such models is
interdisciplinary by essence and will have implications to guide building structures of crossscale management in local resource extraction.
Poster:
Sustainability Science in Latin America: who is doing what?
Juan Rocha 1, 2, Matias Piaggio 3, 4, Nestor Mazzeo 4, 5
1
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden
Beijer Institute, Stockholm, Sweden
3
Environment for Development (EfD) - Tropical Agricultural and Higher Education Centre (CATIE),
Turrialba, Costa Rica
4
Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay
5
South American Institute for Resilience and Sustainability Studies, Maldonado, Uruguay
2
Resilience and sustainability science have been vibrant areas of research worldwide. Concepts,
theory and methods have developed within the scientific realm and appropriated on the policy
one. However, these developments have followed different scholarly trajectories responding to
local needs and priorities, especially in developing countries. Here we review the development
of resilience and sustainability science in the Latin American context. Using tools from text
mining, we analyse a corpora of 5299 records retrieved from the Web of Science and map a
network of actors, funding agencies, and the evolution of key topics over time. We found that
although there is a back bone network of authors and collaborations, it is dominated by
researchers based in non-Latin American countries, and fails to connect with a large bulk of
minor groups scattered across the continent. In fact, with exception of Brazil, the major funding
agencies supporting sustainability science research have been based in the United States,
Europe, and with a lesser extend in China. Topic modelling reveals high levels of
interdisciplinary across Latin American scholars. Major topics centre around natural resource
management and agricultural development. Topics related to energy issues, from clean energy
to mining and biofuels, are becoming more trendy over time; while topics related to health (e.g.
Final PDF-version, August 18th 2017. For later updates please see the interactive programme.
HIV), learning, schooling, justice, tourism and violence seem constant over time. Resilience
and sustainability science have provided Latin American scholars with a common language,
shared conceptual frameworks, and very similar context and research problems. Our results
suggest that there is scope for larger regional collaborations. While local funding might be a
limitation, current communication technologies and knowing who is doing what can facilitate
such cooperation. Here we provide such map.
Poster:
Is there a cultural dimension to life in the Anthropocene ?
Uno SVEDIN, Maria TENGÖ
Stockholm University/Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm, Sweden
During the last one and a half decade new framing have emerged about the human condition
within a planetary development outlook. Sustainability and resilience thinking have been
complemented e.g. with discussions about a possible classification in historical time within
which the planet Earth now